Low-Density Lipoprotein Cholesterol, Cardiovascular Disease Risk, and Mortality in China
Open accessAbstract
Importance: Limited evidence supports the association between low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) and mortality across different atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) risk stratifications. Objective: To explore the associations between LDL-C levels and mortality and to identify the optimal ranges of LDL-C with the lowest risk of mortality in populations with diverse ASCVD risk profiles. Design, Setting, and Participants: The ChinaHEART project is a prospective cohort study that recruited residents aged 35 to 75 years from 31 provinces in mainland China between November 2014 and December 2022. Participants were categorized into low-risk, primary prevention, and secondary prevention cohorts on the basis of their medical history and ASCVD risk. Data analysis was performed from December 2022 to October 2023. Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary end point was all-cause mortality, and secondary end points included cause-specific mortality. Mortality data were collected from the National Mortality Surveillance System and Vital Registration. The association between LDL-C levels and mortality was assessed by using Cox proportional hazard regression models with various adjusted variables. Results: A total of 4 379 252 individuals were recruited, and 3 789 025 (2 271 699 women [60.0%]; mean [SD] age, 56.1 [10.0] years) were included in the current study. The median (IQR) LDL-C concentration was 93.1 (70.9-117.3) mg/dL overall at baseline. During a median (IQR) follow-up of 4.6 (3.1-5.8) years, 92 888 deaths were recorded, including 38 627 cardiovascular deaths. The association between LDL-C concentration and all-cause or cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality was U-shaped in both the low-risk cohort (2 838 354 participants) and the primary prevention cohort (829 567 participants), whereas it was J-shaped in the secondary prevention cohort (121 104 participants). The LDL-C levels corresponding to the lowest CVD mortality were 117.8 mg/dL in the low-risk group, 106.0 mg/dL in the primary prevention cohort, and 55.8 mg/dL in the secondary prevention cohort. The LDL-C concentration associated with the lowest all-cause mortality (90.9 mg/dL vs 117.0 mg/dL) and CVD mortality (87 mg/dL vs 114.6 mg/dL) were both lower in individuals with diabetes than in individuals without diabetes in the overall cohort. Conclusions and Relevance: This study found that the association between LDL-C and mortality varied among different ASCVD risk cohorts, suggesting that stricter lipid control targets may be needed for individuals with higher ASCVD risk and those with diabetes.
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Elevated LDL-C is an independent risk factor for CHD.
“Studies have shown that dyslipidemia, particularly elevated low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C), is an independent risk factor for CHD (3–5).”
From Remnant cholesterol, lipid ratios, and the severity of coronary artery lesions: a retrospective cohort study in patients with coronary heart disease (2025) · cites this paper as [5]
The Introduction (page unavailable) describes LDL-C as a leading risk factor with a causal relationship to atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease. The Methods describe adjusted analyses, and the Results associate higher LDL-C with cardiovascular mortality, but the paper does not report a CHD-specific risk estimate establishing the claim at that level of specificity. (LLM, conf=0.83)
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- Authors
- Chen, L., Chen, S., Bai, X., Su, M., He, L., Li, G., He, G., Yang, Y., Zhang, X., Cui, J., Xu, W., Song, L., Yang, H., He, W., Zhang, Y., Li, X., & Hu, S.
- Affiliations
- Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences & Peking Union Medical College (CN)
- Corresponding author
- Chen, Liang
- Li, Xi
- ORCID
- Venue
- JAMA Network Open
- Publisher
- American Medical Association (AMA)
- Published
- 2024-07-18
- Volume
- 7
- Issue
- 7
- Pages
- e2422558
- ISSN
- 2574-3805 (ISSN-L)
- PMC
- PMC11258592
- OpenAlex
- W4400774722
- Cited by
- 83
- References
- 47
- Citations by year
- 2026: 20 · 2025: 59 · 2024: 4
- FWCI
- 34.95
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- gold
- doi.org
- Licence
- cc-by
- Locations
- JAMA Network Open (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- PubMed Central (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Surgery › Lipoproteins and Cardiovascular Health
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Endocrinology, Diabetes and Metabolism › Diabetes, Cardiovascular Risks, and Lipoproteins
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Cardiology and Cardiovascular Medicine › Cardiovascular Health and Risk Factors
- Keywords
- LDL cholesterol, LDL-C, cardiovascular mortality, all-cause mortality, primary prevention, secondary prevention, J-shaped association, U-shaped relationship, China, cardiovascular risk management, cardiovascular hospitalization
- MeSH terms
- Heart Disease Risk Factors, Adult, Aged, Cardiovascular Diseases, China, Female, Humans, Cholesterol, LDL, Male, Middle Aged, Prospective Studies, Risk Factors, Proportional Hazards Models, Risk Assessment
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