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Changes in global ocean wave heights as projected using multimodel CMIP5 simulations
Open accessAbstract
Ocean surface waves can be major hazards in coastal and offshore activities. However, there exists very limited information on ocean wave behavior in response to climate change, because such information is not simulated in current global climate models. This study made statistical projections of changes in ocean wave heights using sea level pressure (SLP) information from 20 CMIP5 (Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5) global climate models for the 21st century. The results show significant wave height increases in the tropics (especially in the eastern tropical Pacific) and in Southern Hemisphere high latitudes (south of 45°S). Under the projected 2070–2099 climate condition of the rising high concentration pathway—the RCP8.5 scenario, the occurrence frequency of the present‐day one in 10 year extreme wave heights is likely to double or triple in several coastal regions around the world. These wave height increases are primarily driven by increased SLP gradients and hence increased surface wind energy.
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Cites
An Overview of CMIP5 and the Experiment Design
Taylor, K. E., Stouffer, R. J., & Meehl, G. A. (2012) · Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society · doi:10.1175/bams-d-11-00094.1 · Cited by 14,052
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Reguero, B. G., Losada, I. J., & Méndez, F. J. (2019) · Nature Communications · doi:10.1038/s41467-018-08066-0 · Cited by 512
Extreme sea levels on the rise along Europe's coasts
Vousdoukas, M. I., Mentaschi, L., Voukouvalas, E., Verlaan, M., & Feyen, L. (2017) · Earth's Future · doi:10.1002/2016ef000505 · Cited by 429
Robustness and uncertainties in global multivariate wind-wave climate projections
Morim, J., Hemer, M., Wang, X. L., Cartwright, N., Trenham, C., Semedo, A., Young, I., Bricheno, L., Camus, P., Casas-Prat, M., et al. (2019) · Nature Climate Change · doi:10.1038/s41558-019-0542-5 · Cited by 384
Self-citationUnder-estimated wave contribution to coastal sea-level rise
Melet, A., Meyssignac, B., Almar, R., & Le Cozannet, G. (2018) · Nature Climate Change · doi:10.1038/s41558-018-0088-y · Cited by 265
Metadata
- Authors
- Wang, X. L., Feng, Y., & Swail, V. R.
- Venue
- Geophysical Research Letters
- Publisher
- American Geophysical Union (AGU)
- Published
- 2014-02-15
- Volume
- 41
- Issue
- 3
- Pages
- 1026-1034
- ISSN
- 0094-8276 (ISSN-L)
- 1944-8007
- OpenAlex
- W2094999543
- Cited by
- 216
- References
- 1
- FWCI
- 14.95
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- hybrid
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- Wang, X. L., Feng, Y., & Swail, V. R. (2014). Changes in global ocean wave heights as projected using multimodel CMIP5 simulations. Geophysical Research Letters. https://doi.org/10.1002/2013gl058650
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Bibliographic data: Semantic Scholar, OpenAlex, Crossref.
Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).
Semantic Scholar’s data is described in: Kinney, R., et al. (2023). The Semantic Scholar Open Data Platform. arXiv:2301.10140.
