The DOI matches its Crossref record; 2 of the 2 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Artificial amplification of warming trends across the mountains of the western United States
Open accessAbstract
Observations from the main mountain climate station network in the western United States (U.S.) suggest that higher elevations are warming faster than lower elevations. This has led to the assumption that elevation-dependent warming is prevalent throughout the region with impacts to water resources and ecosystem services. Here we critically evaluate this network's temperature observations and show that extreme warming observed at higher elevations is the result of systematic artifacts and not climatic conditions. With artifacts removed, the network's 1991–2012 minimum temperature trend decreases from +1.16°C decade−1 to +0.106°C decade−1 and is statistically indistinguishable from lower elevation trends. Moreover, longer-term widely used gridded climate products propagate the spurious temperature trend, thereby amplifying 1981–2012 western U.S. elevation-dependent warming by +217 to +562%. In the context of a warming climate, this artificial amplification of mountain climate trends has likely compromised our ability to accurately attribute climate change impacts across the mountainous western U.S.
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Cites
An Overview of the Global Historical Climatology Network-Daily Database
Menne, M. J., Durre, I., Vose, R. S., Gleason, B. E., & Houston, T. G. (2012) · Journal of Atmospheric and Oceanic Technology · doi:10.1175/jtech-d-11-00103.1 · Cited by 1,993
Widespread increase of tree mortality rates in the western United States
van Mantgem, P. J., Stephenson, N. L., Byrne, J. C., Daniels, L. D., Franklin, J. F., Fulé, P. Z., Harmon, M. E., Larson, A. J., Smith, J. M., Taylor, A. H., et al. (2009) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.1165000 · Cited by 1,799 · cited 4×
“Studies that have related amplified temperature trends to observed biotic processes, such as tree growth [Williams et al., 2010] and mortality [van Mantgem et al., 2009], may overestimate or underestimate the actual process’ climatic sensitivity depending on whether a causal linkage between…”
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Cited by
Abatzoglou, J. T., Dobrowski, S. Z., Parks, S. A., & Hegewisch, K. C. (2018) · Scientific Data · doi:10.1038/sdata.2017.191 · Cited by 3,421
Self-citationThe twenty‐first century Colorado River hot drought and implications for the future
Udall, B., & Overpeck, J. (2017) · Water Resources Research · doi:10.1002/2016wr019638 · Cited by 608
Spatial models reveal the microclimatic buffering capacity of old-growth forests
Frey, S. J. K., Hadley, A. S., Johnson, S. L., Schulze, M., Jones, J. A., & Betts, M. G. (2016) · Science Advances · doi:10.1126/sciadv.1501392 · Cited by 369
Gridded Ensemble Precipitation and Temperature Estimates for the Contiguous United States
Newman, A. J., Clark, M. P., Craig, J., Nijssen, B., Wood, A., Gutmann, E., Mizukami, N., Brekke, L., & Arnold, J. R. (2015) · Journal of Hydrometeorology · doi:10.1175/jhm-d-15-0026.1 · Cited by 184
Metadata
- Authors
- Oyler, J. W., Dobrowski, S. Z., Ballantyne, A. P., Klene, A. E., & Running, S. W.
- Venue
- Geophysical Research Letters
- Publisher
- American Geophysical Union (AGU)
- Published
- 2015-01-13
- Volume
- 42
- Issue
- 1
- Pages
- 153-161
- ISSN
- 0094-8276 (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W1977060819
- Cited by
- 172
- References
- 2
- FWCI
- 17.20
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- bronze
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