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Characterizing nonlinearities in business cycles using smooth transition autoregressive models

Terasvirta, T., Anderson, H. M.·1992·Journal of Applied Econometrics

Abstract

During the past few years investigators have found evidence indicating that various time-series representing business cycles, such as production and unemployment, may be nonlinear. In this paper it is assumed that if the time-series is nonlinear, then it can be adequately described by a smooth transition autoregressive (STAR) model. The paper describes the application of these models to quarterly logarithmic production indices for 13 countries and ‘Europe’. Tests reject linearity for most of these series, and estimated STAR models indicate that the nonlinearity is needed mainly to describe the responses of production to large negative shocks such as oil price shocks.

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Crossref · 10.1002/jae.3950070509

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Metadata

Authors
Terasvirta, T., & Anderson, H. M.
Venue
Journal of Applied Econometrics
Publisher
Wiley
Published
1992-12
Volume
7
Issue
S1
Pages
S119-S136
ISSN
  • 0883-7252 (ISSN-L)
  • 1099-1255
OpenAlex
W2132978003
Cited by
890
References
1
FWCI
24.69
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
closed

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CoChat. (2026). Citation check: Characterizing nonlinearities in business cycles using smooth transition autoregressive models. https://app.cochat.ai/papers/10.1002/jae.3950070509
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Terasvirta, T., & Anderson, H. M. (1992). Characterizing nonlinearities in business cycles using smooth transition autoregressive models. Journal of Applied Econometrics. https://doi.org/10.1002/jae.3950070509

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Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).

Semantic Scholar’s data is described in: Kinney, R., et al. (2023). The Semantic Scholar Open Data Platform. arXiv:2301.10140.