Cited by 18Parathyroid Disorders and TreatmentsArtificial Intelligence in Healthcare and EducationDialysis and Renal Disease Management

Artificial intelligence–guided precision treatment of chronic kidney disease–mineral bone disorder

Open access
Gaweda, Adam E., Lederer, Eleanor D., Brier, Michael E.·2022·CPT: Pharmacometrics & Systems Pharmacology

Abstract

Chronic kidney disease (CKD)–mineral bone disorder (MBD) is a complex clinical syndrome that begins early during CKD and evolves into one of the deadliest complications of CKD through its effects on the cardiovascular and skeletal systems. Achievement of treatment goals to decrease the risk of accelerated cardiovascular events and fractures has been challenging. We hypothesized that application of quantitative systems pharmacology (QSP) modeling combined with artificial intelligence techniques could improve the management of CKD–MBD with the goal of improving outcomes for patients with CKD. We present the implementation of a reinforcement learning (RL) approach to achieve the prescribed goals for serum calcium, phosphorus, and parathyroid hormone through concurrent dosing of phosphate binders, vitamin D analogs, and calcimimetics by simulation in 80 subjects in Matlab. In silico simulation results demonstrate that the application of a QSP model coupled with RL more effectively and quickly achieves treatment goals even in the setting of inferior simulated subject compliance with medical therapy and identifies key decision variables for therapeutic recommendations.

The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.

Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.

A few free checks a day · papers already verified open instantly · results are public

Integrity signals

Registry

Crossref · 10.1002/psp4.12843

Cites

1 of 1 references verified0 citation errors · 0 not checkable

Statistics

Claims the paper makes

The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.

Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.

A few free checks a day · papers already verified open instantly · results are public

Claims other papers make about this one

Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?

Self-check

Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.

The self-check needs the paper’s full text.

Cites

Flagged first, then by citations

Research works printed but not linked: 22

  1. [1]Sorger PK, Allerheiligen SRB, Abernethy DR, et al. ed. Quantitative and systems pharmacology in the post‐genomic era: new approaches to discovering drugs and understanding therapeutic mechanisms. Ans NIH White Paper by the QSP Workshop Group. National Institute of Health; 2011.
  2. [2]Peterson MC, Riggs MM. FDA advisory meeting clinical pharmacology review utilizes a quantitative systems pharmacology (QSP) model: a watershed moment? CPT Pharmacometrics Syst Pharmacol. 2015; 4(3): e00020. 26225239 PMC4394612
  3. [3]Block GA, Klassen PS, Lazarus JM, Ofsthun N, Lowrie EG, Chertow GM. Mineral metabolism, mortality, and morbidity in maintenance hemodialysis. J Am Soc Nephrol. 2004; 15(8): 2208‐ 2218. 15284307
  4. [4]Chronic Kidney Disease Prognosis C, Matsushita K, van der Velde M, et al. Association of estimated glomerular filtration rate and albuminuria with all‐cause and cardiovascular mortality in general population cohorts: a collaborative meta‐analysis. Lancet. 2010; 375(9731): 2073‐ 2081. 20483451 PMC3993088
  5. [5]Go AS, Chertow GM, Fan D, McCulloch CE, Hsu CY. Chronic kidney disease and the risks of death, cardiovascular events, and hospitalization. N Engl J Med. 2004; 351(13): 1296‐ 1305. 15385656
  6. [6]Hui X, Matsushita K, Sang Y, Ballew SH, Fulop T, Coresh J. CKD and cardiovascular disease in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study: interactions with age, sex, and race. Am J Kidney Dis. 2013; 62(4): 691‐ 702. 23769137 PMC3783539
  7. [7]Matsushita K, Coresh J, Sang Y, et al. Estimated glomerular filtration rate and albuminuria for prediction of cardiovascular outcomes: a collaborative meta‐analysis of individual participant data. Lancet Diabetes Endocrinol. 2015; 3(7): 514‐ 525. 26028594 PMC4594193
  8. [8]van der Velde M, Matsushita K, Coresh J, et al. Lower estimated glomerular filtration rate and higher albuminuria are associated with all‐cause and cardiovascular mortality. A collaborative meta‐analysis of high‐risk population cohorts. Kidney Int. 2011; 79(12): 1341‐ 1352. 21307840
  9. [9]Iseri K, Carrero JJ, Evans M, et al. Fractures after kidney transplantation: Incidence, predictors, and association with mortality. Bone. 2020; 140: 115554. 32730931
  10. [10]Ketteler M, Block GA, Evenepoel P, et al. Executive summary of the 2017 KDIGO Chronic Kidney Disease‐Mineral and Bone Disorder (CKD–MBD) Guideline Update: what's changed and why it matters. Kidney Int. 2017; 92(1): 26‐ 36. 28646995
  11. [12]Gaweda AE, McBride DE, Lederer ED, Brier ME. Development of a quantitative systems pharmacology model of chronic kidney disease: metabolic bone disorder. Am J Physiol Renal Physiol. 2021; 320(2): F203‐ F211. 33308018 PMC11163996
  12. [13]Sutton RS, Barto AG. Reinforcement learning: an introduction. 2nd ed. The MIT Press; 2018: 526 xxii.
  13. [14]Silver D, Huang A, Maddison CJ, et al. Mastering the game of Go with deep neural networks and tree search. Nature. 2016; 529(7587): 484‐ 489. 26819042
  14. [15]Silver D, Schrittwieser J, Simonyan K, et al. Mastering the game of Go without human knowledge. Nature. 2017; 550(7676): 354‐ 359. 29052630
  15. [16]Sammut C. Behavioral cloning. In: Sammut C, Webb GI, eds. Encyclopedia of Machine Learning. Springer US; 2010: 93‐ 97.
  16. [17]Wiewiora E. Reward Shaping. In: Sammut C, Webb GI, eds. Encyclopedia of Machine Learning. Springer US; 2010: 863‐ 865.
  17. [18]Kingma DP, Ba J. Adam: A Method for Stochastic Optimization 2014 December 01, 2014: [arXiv:1412.6980]. Available from: https://ui.adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/2014arXiv1412.6980K. · arXiv
  18. [19]Breiman L, Breiman L. Classification and regression trees. First ed. Wadsworth International Group; 1984: 358.
  19. [20]Bernardor J, Flammier S, Ranchin B, et al. Inhibition of osteoclast differentiation by 1.25‐D and the calcimimetic KP2326 reveals 1.25‐D resistance in advanced CKD. J Bone Miner Res. 2020; 35(11): 2265‐ 2274. 32598518
  20. [21]Mary A, Objois T, Brazier M, et al. Decreased monocyte calcium sensing receptor expression in patients with chronic kidney disease is associated with impaired monocyte ability to reduce vascular calcification. Kidney Int. 2021; 99(6): 1382‐ 1391. 33647324
  21. [22]Gaweda AE, Muezzinoglu MK, Jacobs AA, Aronoff GR, Brier ME. Model predictive control with reinforcement learning for drug delivery in renal anemia management. Conf Proc IEEE Eng Med Biol Soc. 2006; 2006: 5177‐ 5180. 17946288
  22. [23]Brier ME, Gaweda AE, Dailey A, Aronoff GR, Jacobs AA. Randomized trial of model predictive control for improved anemia management. Clin J Am Soc Nephrol. 2010; 5(5): 814‐ 820. 20185598 PMC2863987

Cited by

Sorted by citations

Authors
Gaweda, A. E., Lederer, E. D., & Brier, M. E.
Affiliations
  • Division of Nephrology, Department of Medicine University of Louisville School of Medicine Louisville Kentucky USA
  • VA North Texas Health Care System (US)
  • University of Louisville (US)
Corresponding author
Lederer, Eleanor D.
Venue
CPT: Pharmacometrics & Systems Pharmacology
Publisher
Wiley
Published
2022-08-03
Volume
11
Issue
10
Pages
1305-1315
ISSN
2163-8306 (ISSN-L)
OpenAlex
W4289711169
Cited by
18
References
1
Citations by year
2026: 4 · 2025: 6 · 2024: 5 · 2023: 2 · 2022: 1
FWCI
2.22
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
Locations
  • CPT Pharmacometrics & Systems Pharmacology (publishedVersion, cc-by-nc)
  • PubMed Central (publishedVersion, cc-by-nc)
  • PubMed (publishedVersion)
  • DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals) (submittedVersion, cc-by-sa)
Funders
U.S. Department of Veterans Affairs (CX001614)
Topics
  • Health Sciences › Medicine › Nephrology › Parathyroid Disorders and Treatments
  • Health Sciences › Medicine › Health Informatics › Artificial Intelligence in Healthcare and Education
  • Health Sciences › Medicine › Nephrology › Dialysis and Renal Disease Management
Keywords
chronic kidney disease-mineral bone disorder, artificial intelligence, reinforcement learning, quantitative systems pharmacology, phosphate binders, vitamin D analogs, calcimimetics, serum calcium, serum phosphorus, parathyroid hormone, treatment goal attainment, medication adherence, cardiovascular risk, fracture risk
MeSH terms
Artificial Intelligence, Calcium, Humans, Minerals, Parathyroid Hormone, Phosphates, Phosphorus, Vitamin D, Renal Insufficiency, Chronic

About these checks

Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.

Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.

Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.

What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›

Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review