Artificial intelligence–guided precision treatment of chronic kidney disease–mineral bone disorder
Open accessAbstract
Chronic kidney disease (CKD)–mineral bone disorder (MBD) is a complex clinical syndrome that begins early during CKD and evolves into one of the deadliest complications of CKD through its effects on the cardiovascular and skeletal systems. Achievement of treatment goals to decrease the risk of accelerated cardiovascular events and fractures has been challenging. We hypothesized that application of quantitative systems pharmacology (QSP) modeling combined with artificial intelligence techniques could improve the management of CKD–MBD with the goal of improving outcomes for patients with CKD. We present the implementation of a reinforcement learning (RL) approach to achieve the prescribed goals for serum calcium, phosphorus, and parathyroid hormone through concurrent dosing of phosphate binders, vitamin D analogs, and calcimimetics by simulation in 80 subjects in Matlab. In silico simulation results demonstrate that the application of a QSP model coupled with RL more effectively and quickly achieves treatment goals even in the setting of inferior simulated subject compliance with medical therapy and identifies key decision variables for therapeutic recommendations.
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Previous mathematical modeling studies have used the underlying calcium homeostasis and bone remodeling model to study CKD-metabolic bone disorder.
“Previous mathematical modeling studies have used the underlying calcium homeostasis and bone remodeling model to study this disorder [15, 16, 55].”
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A physiologically based mathematical model of integrated calcium homeostasis and bone remodeling
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Stadt, M. M., & Layton, A. T. (2025) · bioRxiv (Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory) · doi:10.1101/2025.05.01.651663
“Previous mathematical modeling studies have used the underlying calcium homeostasis and bone remodeling model to study this disorder [15, 16, 55].”
- Authors
- Gaweda, A. E., Lederer, E. D., & Brier, M. E.
- Affiliations
- Division of Nephrology, Department of Medicine University of Louisville School of Medicine Louisville Kentucky USA
- VA North Texas Health Care System (US)
- University of Louisville (US)
- Corresponding author
- Lederer, Eleanor D.
- Venue
- CPT: Pharmacometrics & Systems Pharmacology
- Publisher
- Wiley
- Published
- 2022-08-03
- Volume
- 11
- Issue
- 10
- Pages
- 1305-1315
- ISSN
- 2163-8306 (ISSN-L)
- PMC
- PMC9574726
- OpenAlex
- W4289711169
- Cited by
- 18
- References
- 1
- Citations by year
- 2026: 4 · 2025: 6 · 2024: 5 · 2023: 2 · 2022: 1
- FWCI
- 2.22
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- gold
- doi.org
- Licence
- Locations
- CPT Pharmacometrics & Systems Pharmacology (publishedVersion, cc-by-nc)
- PubMed Central (publishedVersion, cc-by-nc)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals) (submittedVersion, cc-by-sa)
- Funders
- U.S. Department of Veterans Affairs (CX001614)
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Nephrology › Parathyroid Disorders and Treatments
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Health Informatics › Artificial Intelligence in Healthcare and Education
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Nephrology › Dialysis and Renal Disease Management
- Keywords
- chronic kidney disease-mineral bone disorder, artificial intelligence, reinforcement learning, quantitative systems pharmacology, phosphate binders, vitamin D analogs, calcimimetics, serum calcium, serum phosphorus, parathyroid hormone, treatment goal attainment, medication adherence, cardiovascular risk, fracture risk
- MeSH terms
- Artificial Intelligence, Calcium, Humans, Minerals, Parathyroid Hormone, Phosphates, Phosphorus, Vitamin D, Renal Insufficiency, Chronic
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