The impact of the Tokyo emissions trading scheme on office buildings: what factor contributed to the emission reduction?
Open accessAbstract
Abstract Tokyo ETS is the first emissions trading scheme to control GHG emissions from office buildings. Although the Tokyo government claimed that Tokyo ETS had been successful, some argued that the emission reduction under Tokyo ETS was actually the result of electricity price increases triggered by the Great East Japan Earthquake in 2011. Using a facility-level data set for Japanese office buildings, we conducted an econometric analysis to examine the impact of Tokyo ETS. We found that half of the emission reduction is a result of the ETS, while the rest of the reduction is due to the electricity price increase. Another unique feature of Tokyo ETS is that an accurate permit price is not publicly available due to its design. Using our estimated model, we found that the price is approximately $50 per ton of CO2 in the early phase.
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The performance of China's regional pilot ETSs is far below that (19-24%) of the Regional Greenhouse Gas Initiative (RGGI), nearing that (7-12%) of the European Union Emissions Trading System (EU ETS), almost equals to that (5-7%) of the Tokyo ETS, and being superior to the California ETS.
“This performance is far below that (19–24%) of the Regional Greenhouse Gas Initiative (RGGI),55,56 nearing that (7–12%) of the European Union Emissions Trading System (EU ETS),57,58 almost equals to that (5–7%) of the Tokyo ETS,59,60 and being superior to the California ETS.61,62”
From Carbon Abatement and Leakage in China's Regional Carbon Emission Trading (2024) · cites this paper as [59]
The finding is consistent with two previous studies on China's regional ETSs, and the comparison of the industry-based RGGI and the EU ETS with the service-based Tokyo ETS shows similar result.
“The finding is consistent with two previous studies on China’s regional ETSs,35,39 and the comparison of the industry-based RGGI and the EU ETS with the service-based Tokyo ETS shows similar result,55,57,59”
From Carbon Abatement and Leakage in China's Regional Carbon Emission Trading (2024) · cites this paper as [59]
Results of studies on emissions trading markets outside Europe remain inconclusive, showing little impact or none.
“However, the results remain inconclusive, showing little impact (Arimura and Abe 2021) or even none (Wakabayashi and Kimura 2018).”
From The Impact of Carbon Pricing on Corporate Sustainability: Evidence From the European Union (2026) · cites this paper as Arimura and Abe 2021
Cites
Environmental Policy and Directed Technological Change: Evidence from the European Carbon Market
Calel, R., & Dechezleprêtre, A. (2016) · Review of Economics and Statistics · doi:10.1162/rest_a_00470 · Cited by 1,147 · see citing works
The Impact Of Carbon Trading On Industry: Evidence From German Manufacturing Firms
Wagner, U. J., Rehdanz, K., & Petrick, S. (2014) · SSRN Electronic Journal · doi:10.2139/ssrn.2389800 · Cited by 140 · see citing works
Murray, B. C., & Maniloff, P. T. (2015) · Energy Economics · doi:10.1016/j.eneco.2015.07.013 · Cited by 134 · see citing works
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Carbon Abatement and Leakage in China's Regional Carbon Emission Trading
Jiang, J., Ye, B., Zeng, Z., Yang, X., Sun, Z., Shao, S., Feng, K., & Tan, X. (2024) · Environmental Science & Technology · doi:10.1021/acs.est.4c04738 · Cited by 23 · see citing works
The Impact of Carbon Pricing on Corporate Sustainability: Evidence From the European Union
García, C. J., Herrero, B., & Morillas‐Jurado, F. (2026) · Business Strategy and the Environment · doi:10.1002/bse.70324 · Cited by 4 · see citing works
- Authors
- Arimura, T. H., & Abe, T.
- Affiliations
- Waseda University (JP)
- Corresponding author
- Arimura, Toshi H.
- Venue
- Environmental Economics and Policy Studies
- Published
- 2020-03-18
- Volume
- 23
- Issue
- 3
- Pages
- 517-533
- ISSN
- 1432-847X (ISSN-L)
- 1867-383X
- OpenAlex
- W2982515141
- Cited by
- 70
- References
- 3
- Citations by year
- 2026: 3 · 2025: 13 · 2024: 11 · 2023: 15 · 2022: 7 · 2021: 9 · 2020: 12
- FWCI
- 9.14
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- hybrid
- doi.org
- Locations
- Environmental Economics and Policy Studies (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- SSRN Electronic Journal (acceptedVersion)
- RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (submittedVersion)
- Funders
- Environmental Restoration and Conservation Agency (2-1707)
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Economics, Econometrics and Finance › Economics and Econometrics › Climate Change Policy and Economics
- Social Sciences › Economics, Econometrics and Finance › Economics and Econometrics › Energy, Environment, Economic Growth
- Physical Sciences › Energy › Renewable Energy, Sustainability and the Environment › Energy, Environment, and Transportation Policies
- Keywords
- emissions trading, office buildings, greenhouse gas emissions reduction, electricity price increase, Great East Japan Earthquake, permit prices, carbon pricing, building energy emissions
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