Principles of confounder selection
Open accessAbstract
Selecting an appropriate set of confounders for which to control is critical for reliable causal inference. Recent theoretical and methodological developments have helped clarify a number of principles of confounder selection. When complete knowledge of a causal diagram relating all covariates to each other is available, graphical rules can be used to make decisions about covariate control. Unfortunately, such complete knowledge is often unavailable. This paper puts forward a practical approach to confounder selection decisions when the somewhat less stringent assumption is made that knowledge is available for each covariate whether it is a cause of the exposure, and whether it is a cause of the outcome. Based on recent theoretically justified developments in the causal inference literature, the following proposal is made for covariate control decisions: control for each covariate that is a cause of the exposure, or of the outcome, or of both; exclude from this set any variable known to be an instrumental variable; and include as a covariate any proxy for an unmeasured variable that is a common cause of both the exposure and the outcome. Various principles of confounder selection are then further related to statistical covariate selection methods.
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Matching variables were selected based on plausibly being a confounder or a proxy for an unmeasured confounder.
“Matching variables were selected based on plausibly being a confounder, that is, having a causal impact on both the treatment and outcome variable, or on being a proxy for an unmeasured confounder (VanderWeele, 2019).”
From A counterfactual and random intercept cross‐lagged panel analysis of the effects of reading frequency on adolescent mental health in a large longitudinal study (2026) · cites this paper as VanderWeele, 2019
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- Authors
- VanderWeele, T. J.
- Affiliations
- Harvard University (US)
- Corresponding author
- VanderWeele, Tyler J.
- Venue
- European Journal of Epidemiology
- Published
- 2019-03-06
- Volume
- 34
- Issue
- 3
- Pages
- 211-219
- ISSN
- 0393-2990 (ISSN-L)
- 1573-7284
- PMC
- PMC6447501
- OpenAlex
- W2921495327
- Cited by
- 1,535
- References
- 11
- Citations by year
- 2026: 245 · 2025: 277 · 2024: 254 · 2023: 248 · 2022: 205 · 2021: 195 · 2020: 94 · 2019: 17
- FWCI
- 99.67
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- hybrid
- doi.org
- Locations
- European Journal of Epidemiology (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed Central (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Funders
- Division of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute (R01CA222147)
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Mathematics › Statistics and Probability › Advanced Causal Inference Techniques
- Physical Sciences › Mathematics › Statistics and Probability › Statistical Methods in Epidemiology
- Physical Sciences › Mathematics › Statistics and Probability › Statistical Methods and Inference
- Keywords
- confounder selection, covariate control, causal inference, causal graphs, instrumental variables, proxy variables
- MeSH terms
- Humans, Research Design, Confounding Factors, Epidemiologic
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