The DOI matches its Crossref record; 40 of the 41 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
The proportion of cancer attributable to occupational exposures
Open accessAbstract
Purpose To review the literature on the estimation of the population attributable fraction (PAF) of cancer due to occupational exposures and to describe challenges in the estimation of this metric. To help illustrate the inherent challenges, we also estimate PAFs for selected cancers diagnosed in the United States in 2010 attributable to work as a painter (causally associated with bladder and lung cancer) and shift work (possibly associated with breast cancer).Methods We reviewed and summarized previous reports providing quantitative estimates of PAF for total cancer due to occupational exposures. We calculated PAF estimates for painters and shift work using methodology from a detailed investigation of the occupational cancer burden in Great Britain, with adaptations made for the US population.Results The estimated occupation-attributable fraction for total cancer generally ranged between 2% and 8% (men, 3%-14%; women, 1%-2%) based on previous reports. We calculated that employment as a painter accounted for a very small proportion of cancers of the bladder and lung diagnosed in the United States in 2010, with PAFs of 0.5% for each site. In contrast, our calculations suggest that the potential impact of shift work on breast cancer (if causal) could be substantial, with a PAF of 5.7%, translating to 11,777 attributable breast cancers.Conclusions Continued efforts to estimate the occupational cancer burden will be important as scientific evidence and economic trends evolve. Such projects should consider the challenges involved in PAF estimation, which we summarize in this report.
Overview
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Verification
Claims the paper makes
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
In the citing paper
“The variability in these findings may be related to other contributing factors, such as individual differences in susceptibility to carcinogenesis, occupational exposure to carcinogenic agents, and lifestyle [68,69].”
From Shift Work: Disrupted Circadian Rhythms and Sleep—Implications for Health and Well-being (2017) · cites this paper as [69]
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
The self-check needs the paper’s full text.
Citations
Cites
IARC Monographs on the Evaluation of Carcinogenic Risks to Humans
Zuckerman, A. J. (1995) · Journal of Clinical Pathology · doi:10.1136/jcp.48.7.691-a · Cited by 8,766
The Causes of Cancer: Quantitative Estimates of Avoidable Risks of Cancer in the United States Today
Doll, R., & Peto, R. (1981) · JNCI: Journal of the National Cancer Institute · doi:10.1093/jnci/66.6.1192 · Cited by 3,927
The Causes of Cancer: Quantitative Estimates of Avoidable Risks of Cancer in the United States Today
Peto, R. (1983) · Springer eBooks · doi:10.1007/978-1-4757-1117-2_30 · Cited by 3,504
Use and misuse of population attributable fractions
Rockhill, B., Newman, B., & Weinberg, C. (1998) · American Journal of Public Health · doi:10.2105/ajph.88.1.15 · Cited by 1,683
Estimating the population attributable risk for multiple risk factors using case-control data.
BRUZZI, P., GREEN, S. B., BYAR, D. P., BRINTON, L. A., & SCHAIRER, C. (1985) · American Journal of Epidemiology · doi:10.1093/oxfordjournals.aje.a114174 · Cited by 1,214
Occupational Injury and Illness in the United States
Leigh, J. P. (1997) · Archives of Internal Medicine · doi:10.1001/archinte.1997.00440350063006 · Cited by 509
Contribution of the Environment to Cancer Incidence: An Epidemiologic Exercise
Wynder, E. L., & Gori, G. B. (1977) · JNCI Journal of the National Cancer Institute · doi:10.1093/jnci/58.4.825 · Cited by 479
A review of adjusted estimators of attributable risk
Bénichou, J. (2001) · Statistical Methods in Medical Research · doi:10.1177/096228020101000303 · Cited by 440
Diesel and gasoline engine exhausts and some nitroarenes.
(1989) · PubMed Central · Cited by 399
An Overview of Methods for Calculating the Burden of Disease Due to Specific Risk Factors
Steenland, K., & Armstrong, B. (2006) · Epidemiology · doi:10.1097/01.ede.0000229155.05644.43 · Cited by 367
Cited by
Sorted by citations
Items 101–127 of 127
Incidencia y mortalidad del cáncer de vejiga en Costa Rica y Panamá, 2007-2013
Quirós, A., Dickson, M. A., Chacón-Araya, M., McClure, R. W., & Ramos-Esquivel, A. (2019) · Acta Médica Costarricense · doi:10.51481/amc.v61i3.1036
Cancer Risk Assessment and Communication
Fedewa, S. A. (2019) · Elsevier eBooks · doi:10.1016/b978-0-12-409548-9.11737-3
The role of modifiable risk factors in incident cancer in transport, rescue, and security industries
Herttua, K., Thapa, S., Ahrenfeldt, L. J., & Paljärvi, T. (2023) · Annals of Epidemiology · doi:10.1016/j.annepidem.2023.04.013
Kresna, A., Fuk, L. J., Widyahening, I. S., Soemarko, D. S., & Fitriani, D. Y. (2023) · Occupational and Environmental Medicine Journal of Indonesia · doi:10.7454/oemji.v1i2.1022
Iles, K. E., & Dickinson, D. A. (2023) · Elsevier eBooks · doi:10.1016/b978-0-323-99967-0.00088-0
Ocupação e câncer no Brasil: um desafio perene
Fernandes, G. A., & Filho, V. W. (2023) · Revista Brasileira de Saúde Ocupacional · doi:10.1590/2317-6369/35422pt2023v48edcinq10
“Naturalmente, as distintas abordagens têm reflexos nos resultados 18 .”
BackgroundOccupation and cancer in Brazil: a perennial challenge
Fernandes, G. A., & Filho, V. W. (2023) · Revista Brasileira de Saúde Ocupacional · doi:10.1590/2317-6369/35422en2023v48edcinq10
Takada, M., Hirouchi, J., Kujiraoka, I., Takahara, S., Schneider, T., & Kai, M. (2024) · Journal of Radiological Protection · doi:10.1088/1361-6498/ad2ebc
“Cancer mortality attributable to occupational exposure to carcinogens is estimated to be in the range of several percent, 5.3% in the UK in 2005 [7], and 2%–8% in the US in 2010 [8].”
InfluentialArbeitsmedizinische Aspekte in der Onkologie: Wonach muss gefragt werden?
Nowak, D., & Kaifie-Pechmann, A. (2024) · InFo Hämatologie + Onkologie · doi:10.1007/s15004-024-0542-0
Kodali, V., Erdely, A., & Zeidler-Erdely, P. C. (2024) · Elsevier eBooks · doi:10.1016/b978-0-323-95488-4.00102-9
[Approaches to the study of occupational neoplasms with a low etiological fraction]
Oddone, E., & Imbriani, M. (2016) · Giornale italiano di medicina del lavoro ed ergonomia · doi:10.4081/gimle.671
Additional file 1 of Effectiveness of workplace cancer screening interventions: a systematic review
Mon, H. M., Robb, K. A., & Demou, E. (2024) · Figshare · doi:10.6084/m9.figshare.26549313
Jan, I., Ali, T., Bashir, R., Khaki, P. S. S., Andrabi, K. I., & Bader, G. N. (2026) · Elsevier eBooks · doi:10.1016/b978-0-443-23908-3.00018-6
Role of artificial intelligence in bladder cancer management
Jadeja, P., Rathod, D., Patel, R., Prajapati, J. B., Manchanda, R., & Mehta, A. (2026) · Elsevier eBooks · doi:10.1016/b978-0-443-36632-1.00008-0
Characterization of the FGFR3 regulatory network in bladder cancer
Moreno-Vega, A. I. (2020) · theses.fr (ABES) · doi:10.70675/6eeb1e56z5a60z42bcz9a00z1bf9509f7449
Aaron, D. G. (2026) · Texas A&M Law Review · doi:10.37419/lr.v13.i3.1
Donald Barceloux MD, F., & Robert B. Palmer PhD, D. (2026) · Medical Toxicology · doi:10.1002/9781119872979.ch48
Schneider, J. E. (2026) · Global perspectives on wealth and distribution · doi:10.1007/978-3-032-20355-7_4
Jawahar, J., & James, S. (2026) · Journal of Xenobiotics · doi:10.3390/jox16030087
“The Doll and Peto estimates were derived from mortality data predating widespread identification of many modern industrial carcinogens [9,10].”
Naghibzadeh‐Tahami, A., Khosravi, Y., Zamani, A. R., & Haghdoost, A.-A. (2026) · BMC Public Health · doi:10.1186/s12889-026-28144-z
“…low-and middle-income countries, including Iran, indicates increasing occupational exposure to carcinogenic agents such as BTEX compounds, crystalline silica, and heavy metals, alongside ongoing industrial expansion, suggesting a potentially increasing future burden of occupational cancer [15–17] .”
Brunier, S., Jouzel, J.-N., & Prête, G. (2026) · Social Science & Medicine · doi:10.1016/j.socscimed.2026.119567
Pukkala, ., Hirvonen, E. M., Seppä, K., Toikkanen, S., Uuksulainen, S., Tanskanen, T. J., Santonen, T., Liukkonen, T., & Lappi-Heikkinen, S. (2026) · Annals of Work Exposures and Health · doi:10.1093/annweh/wxag062
de Crom, T. O. E., Eekhout, I., Lebbink, E., Lanting, C. I., Peters, S., Pronk, A., & Ge, C. (2026) · BMJ Public Health · doi:10.1136/bmjph-2025-004797
Metadata
- Authors
- Purdue, M. P., Hutchings, S. J., Rushton, L., & Silverman, D. T.
- Affiliations
- Ontario Institute for Cancer Research (CA)
- Imperial College London (GB)
- National Cancer Institute (US)
- Corresponding author
- Purdue, Mark P.
- Venue
- Annals of Epidemiology
- Publisher
- Elsevier BV
- Published
- 2015-03
- Volume
- 25
- Issue
- 3
- Pages
- 188-192
- ISSN
- 1047-2797 (ISSN-L)
- PMC
- PMC4631263
- OpenAlex
- W1982873400
- Cited by
- 127
- References
- 41
- Citations by year
- 2026: 11 · 2025: 6 · 2024: 16 · 2023: 19 · 2022: 13 · 2021: 7 · 2020: 10 · 2019: 15 · 2018: 12 · 2017: 10 · 2016: 6 · 2015: 1
- FWCI
- 2.88
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- green
- www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
- Locations
- Annals of Epidemiology (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- PubMed Central (acceptedVersion)
- Funders
- National Institutes of Health
- National Cancer Institute (ZIACP010123)
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Oncology › Global Cancer Incidence and Screening
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Pulmonary and Respiratory Medicine › Occupational and environmental lung diseases
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health › Occupational Health and Safety in Workplaces
- Keywords
- occupational cancer, population attributable fraction, occupational exposure, painters, shift work, breast cancer, bladder cancer, lung cancer, cancer burden estimation
- MeSH terms
- Female, United Kingdom, Humans, Male, Neoplasms, Occupational Diseases, United States, Occupational Exposure, Risk Assessment
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review