Lifetime risk of a diagnosis of HIV infection in the United States

Hess, Kristen L.; Hu, Xiaohong; Lansky, Amy; Mermin, Jonathan; Hall, Hildegard Irene

doi:10.1016/j.annepidem.2017.02.003

Lifetime risk of a diagnosis of HIV infection in the United States

Purpose To estimate lifetime risk of receiving an HIV diagnosis in the United States if existing infection rates continue. Methods We used mortality, census, and HIV surveillance data for 2010–2014 to calculate age-specific probabilities of an HIV diagnosis. The probabilities were applied to a hy…