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A hybrid machine learning approach to cerebral stroke prediction based on imbalanced medical dataset
Abstract
Background and objective Cerebral stroke has become a significant global public health issue in recent years. The ideal solution to this concern is to prevent in advance by controlling related metabolic factors. However, it is difficult for medical staff to decide whether special precautions are needed for a potential patient only based on the monitoring of physiological indicators unless they are obviously abnormal. This paper will develop a hybrid machine learning approach to predict cerebral stroke for clinical diagnosis based on the physiological data with incompleteness and class imbalance.Methods Two steps are involved in the whole process. Firstly, random forest regression is adopted to impute missing values before classification. Secondly, an automated hyperparameter optimization(AutoHPO) based on deep neural network(DNN) is applied to stroke prediction on an imbalanced dataset.Results The medical dataset contains 43,400 records of potential patients which includes 783 occurrences of stroke. The false negative rate from our prediction approach is only 19.1%, which has reduced by an average of 51.5% in comparison to other traditional approaches. The false positive rate, accuracy and sensitivity predicted by the proposed approach are respectively 33.1, 71.6, and 67.4%.Conclusion The approach proposed in this paper has effectively reduced the false negative rate with a relatively high overall accuracy, which means a successful decrease in the misdiagnosis rate for stroke prediction. The results are more reliable and valid as the reference in stroke prognosis, and also can be acquired conveniently at a low cost.
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“And, indeed, AI-powered systems have been shown to produce overall lower error rates than traditional methods [19–21].”
From Explainability for artificial intelligence in healthcare: a multidisciplinary perspective (2020) · cites this paper as [21]
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MethodInfluentialChitosan-Based Flocculant Heavy Metal Removal Prediction Using Machine Learning Models
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Histopatolojik Görüntülerden Kolon Kanseri Tespiti için EfficientNetB0 ve DVM Tabanlı Yaklaşım
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Prediction of rhinitis based on label-links classifier chain using feature-block
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An Empirical Evaluation of Machine Learning Models for Stroke Risk Assessment with Explainable AI
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A Metalearning Approach to Personalized Automatic Assessment of Rectilinear Sketches
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High-precision blood glucose prediction and hypoglycemia warning based on the LSTM-GRU model
Peng, X., Li, Q., Yannian, W., & Yan, D. (2022) · Trends in Computer Science and Information Technology · doi:10.17352/tcsit.000053
“Hybrid blood glucose prediction models [12] combine the two previous approaches together.”
MethodEvaluating Biomedical Features for Reactive Hypoglycaemia Prediction with Machine Learning
Dany, F., & Retiaty, F. (2023) · doi:10.2991/978-94-6463-112-8_11
Development of a flexible self-calculation scoring model to determine stroke occurrence
Kyeong, S.-H., & Kim, D. H. (2023) · Journal Of Big Data · doi:10.1186/s40537-023-00785-6
“18% of the whole original dataset [15].”
MethodWang, X.-J., Han, H., Xu, M., Li, S., Zhang, D., Du, S., & Xu, M. (2023) · Frontiers in Neuroscience · doi:10.3389/fnins.2023.1212049
“Due to the characteristics of the disease, training data often contains more benign lesions than malignant ones, resulting in insufficient attention given to malignant samples during network training and negatively impacting model optimization (Liu et al., 2019a) and (Xu et al., 2020).”
BackgroundXu, Z., Li, W., Yang, F., Wang, H., Sun, J., Wang, S., & Zhang, Y. (2026) · Journal of Imaging Science and Technology · doi:10.2352/j.imagingsci.technol.2026.70.6.060501
Web Design for Stroke Early Detection Using Decision Tree C5.0
Purwanti, E., Nor, R. U. N. U., & Soelistyono, S. (2023) · Komputasi Jurnal Ilmiah Ilmu Komputer dan Matematika · doi:10.33751/komputasi.v20i2.8265
Biased Cv Static Correlation Based XGB-SVM Stack Model for Stroke PredictionPreprint
Kanna, P. R. (2023) · Research Square · doi:10.21203/rs.3.rs-3461792/v1
Kar, İ., & Bakırarar, B. (2023) · Turkiye Klinikleri Journal of Biostatistics · doi:10.5336/biostatic.2023-99050
Stroke Risk Stratification Using Neural Networks
Pawar, S. (2024) · Lecture notes in networks and systems · doi:10.1007/978-981-99-8031-4_3
Machine Learning Prediction of Stroke Occurrence: A Systematic ReviewPreprint
Lolak, S., Suppasilp, C., Poprom, N., Sapankaew, T., Yin, M. S., Thammasudjarit, R., McKay, G. J., Attia, J., & Thakkinstian, A. (2024) · medRxiv · doi:10.1101/2024.03.28.24305014
Prediction of rhinitis with class imbalance based on heterogeneous ensemble learning
Yang, J., Jiang, B., Qiu, Z., Meng, Y., Zhang, X., Yu, S., Dai, F., & Qian, Y. (2024) · Computer Methods in Biomechanics & Biomedical Engineering · doi:10.1080/10255842.2024.2339461
“In addition, Tianyu Liu proposed a novel deep neural network models (DNN) (Liu et al. 2019), AutoHPO, to cope with the class imbalance for medical dataset.”
Çelikbaş, Ş., Orman, Z., & Akgündoğdu, A. (2025) · Computing and Informatics · doi:10.31577/cai_2025_5_1101
“Building upon the work of Liu et al.(2019) 15 , Santos et al.(2022) 16 addressed the missing data in the preprocessing step by deleting it.”
BackgroundMethodInfluentialÇelikbaş, Ş., Orman, Z., Aksoy, T., & Baysoy, D. Y. (2024) · Düzce Üniversitesi Bilim ve Teknoloji Dergisi · doi:10.29130/dubited.1268348
Artificial intelligence-based detection of stroke in non contrast computed tomography images
(2024) · International Research Journal of Modernization in Engineering Technology and Science · doi:10.56726/irjmets60799
Integrated KIFCM Clustering Technique for Brain Stroke Segmentation
Papana, K. R., Bhavanam, S. N., & Devi, M. V. (2024) · International Conference on Image Processing and Capsule Networks (ICIPCN) · doi:10.1109/icipcn63822.2024.00029
Kalgi, J. R., & Nalbalwar, S. L. (2024) · Elsevier eBooks · doi:10.1016/b978-0-443-22038-8.00007-6
Predicting abnormal C-reactive protein level for improving utilization by deep neural network model
Mo, D., Xiong, S., Ji, T., Zhou, Q., & Zheng, Q. (2024) · International Journal of Medical Informatics · doi:10.1016/j.ijmedinf.2024.105726
Predictive Modeling of Cerebral Strokes: An ADASYN-RF Approach for Imbalanced Data
Aish, M. A. (2024) · VFAST Transactions on Software Engineering · doi:10.21015/vtse.v12i4.1932
Arun, C. B., Anusha, M. P., Kodipalli, A., Gargi, N., Harish, L., & Devamane, S. B. (2024) · IEEE International Conference for Women in Computing (InCoWoCo) · doi:10.1109/incowoco64194.2024.10863346
Pandey, S., & Mishra, R. (2025) · Communications in computer and information science · doi:10.1007/978-3-031-69115-7_26
Crunch Mode: Make Early Predictions about Risk of Stroke Using Machine Learning
Truong, V.-P., Lee, D., & Huh, J. (2025) · Journal of information and communication convergence engineering · doi:10.56977/jicce.2025.23.1.17
Examining the Accuracy of Machine Learning Classification Models in Stroke Prediction
Naskar, M. N. B. J., Prakash, A., Sinha, V., Kumari, H., & Bhattacharjee, A. (2025) · Smart innovation, systems and technologies · doi:10.1007/978-981-96-1348-9_28
Türkoğlu, B. (2025) · SSRN Electronic Journal · doi:10.2139/ssrn.5247184
Sarkar, R., Gupta, V., Gupta, P., Hiwrale, S., Patil, A., Jadhav, A. S., & Dallal, J. A. (2025) · International Conference on IT Innovation and Knowledge Discovery (ITIKD) · doi:10.1109/itikd63574.2025.11004700
“Among the many contributions to this topic one of them is a hybrid form of ML approach for predicting cerebral stroke on an imbalanced medical dataset, where missing values are filled using Random Forest Regression [9].”
Correlation Analysis of Postpartum Hemorrhage with Labor Analgesia Based on Machine Learning
Yuan, X., Wen, H., Li, F., Lin, Q., Deng, Z., Huang, X., Huang, X., & Zhang, Y. (2023) · International Conference on Networking Systems of AI (INSAI) · doi:10.1109/insai60116.2023.00053
“Moreover, a machine learning algorithm was applied to predict low blood pressure [7,8].”
Biclustering-KNN joint learning in anomaly detection for handling class-imbalance-problem
Lu, Z., Wei, H., Ye, F., & Huang, Q. (2025) · Knowledge-Based Systems · doi:10.1016/j.knosys.2025.113991
Metadata
- Authors
- Liu, T., Fan, W., & Wu, C.
- Affiliations
- Tsinghua University (CN)
- Corresponding author
- Fan, Wenhui
- Venue
- Artificial Intelligence in Medicine
- Publisher
- Elsevier BV
- Published
- 2019-11
- Volume
- 101
- Pages
- 101723
- ISSN
- 0933-3657 (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W2981817161
- Cited by
- 220
- References
- 49
- Citations by year
- 2026: 14 · 2025: 35 · 2024: 63 · 2023: 39 · 2022: 37 · 2021: 23 · 2020: 9
- FWCI
- 18.78
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- Artificial Intelligence in Medicine (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Health Professions › Health Information Management › Artificial Intelligence in Healthcare
- Physical Sciences › Computer Science › Artificial Intelligence › Imbalanced Data Classification Techniques
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Clinical Neurology › Acute Ischemic Stroke Management
- Keywords
- class imbalance, missing data imputation, random forest regression, automated hyperparameter optimization, deep neural network, physiological parameters, false negative reduction, stroke prognosis
- MeSH terms
- Machine Learning, Algorithms, Humans, Prognosis, Neural Networks, Computer, Stroke, Datasets as Topic
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