Assessing energy security: An overview of commonly used methodologies
Open accessAbstract
This paper provides an overview of methodologies used for quantitative evaluations of security of supply. The studied material is mainly based on peer-reviewed articles and the methodologies are classified according to which stage in the supply chain their main focus is directed to, as well as their scientific background. Our overview shows that a broad variety of approaches is used, but that there are still some important gaps, especially if the aim is to study energy security in a future-oriented way. First, there is a need to better understand how sources of insecurity can develop over time and how they are affected by the development of the energy system. Second, the current tendency to study the security of supply for each energy carrier separately needs to be complemented by comparisons of different energy carrier's supply chains. Finally, the mainly static perspective on system structure should be complemented with perspectives that to a greater extent take the systems' adaptive capacity and transformability into account, as factors with a potential to reduce the systems vulnerabilities. Furthermore, it may be beneficial to use methodological combinations, conduct more thorough sensitivity analysis and alter the mind-set from securing energy flows to securing energy services.
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Resilience as a characteristic of the system is often influenced more by the system structure, relationships and interactions between different components rather than by the performance of the individual components.
“Resilience as a characteristic of the system is often influenced more by the system structure, relationships and interactions between different components rather than by the performance of the individual components of the system [50].”
From Energy system resilience – A review (2021) · cites this paper as [50]
Many papers describe the focus of reliability as operation within desired system state boundaries under high probability threats, while the resilience focus is described in terms of less likely threats that knock the system outside the desired system state.
“Many of these papers describe the focus of reliability as operation within desired system state boundaries under high probability threats, while the resilience focus is described in terms of less likely threats that knock the system outside the desired system state [10,17,50,51].”
From Energy system resilience – A review (2021) · cites this paper as [50]
Complexity, narrow focus, and intentional inflation seem often to be the reason for diverging definitions.
“Complexity, narrow focus, and intentional inflation seem often to be the reason for diverging definitions [50].”
From Energy system resilience – A review (2021) · cites this paper as [50]
The main oil security concerns involve import dependency, reliability of oil supplying countries, and security of transit routes.
“The main oil security concerns involved import dependency (share of imports and options to choose a supplier), reliability of oil supplying countries, and security of transit routes [39,50,80].”
From Energy system resilience – A review (2021) · cites this paper as [50]
The security of transit routes primarily involves the security of key chokepoints in main marine routes.
“The security of transit routes primarily involves the security of key chokepoints in main marine routes [50,90].”
From Energy system resilience – A review (2021) · cites this paper as [50]
Cites
Resilience, Adaptability and Transformability in Social–ecological Systems
Walker, B., Holling, C. S., Carpenter, S. R., & Kinzig, A. P. (2004) · Ecology and Society · doi:10.5751/es-00650-090205 · Cited by 7,821 · see citing works
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Principles and criteria for assessing urban energy resilience: a literature review
Sharifi, A., & Yamagata, Y. (2016) · Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews · doi:10.1016/j.rser.2016.03.028 · Cited by 592 · see citing works
Energy system resilience – A review
Jasiūnas, J., Lund, P. D., & Mikkola, J. (2021) · Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews · doi:10.1016/j.rser.2021.111476 · Cited by 412 · see citing works
“present strengths and weaknesses with examples of methodologies for energy security evaluation from fields of economics, engineering, system studies, and natural sciences [50].”
BackgroundInfluential
- Authors
- Månsson, A., Johansson, B., & Nilsson, L. J.
- Affiliations
- Lund University (SE)
- Swedish Defence Research Agency (SE)
- Corresponding author
- Månsson, André
- Venue
- Energy
- Publisher
- Elsevier BV
- Published
- 2014-08
- Volume
- 73
- Pages
- 1-14
- ISSN
- 0360-5442 (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W1971628357
- Cited by
- 272
- References
- 1
- Citations by year
- 2026: 17 · 2025: 18 · 2024: 26 · 2023: 25 · 2022: 28 · 2021: 27 · 2020: 30 · 2019: 22 · 2018: 24 · 2017: 22 · 2016: 15 · 2015: 14 · 2014: 3 · 2012: 1
- FWCI
- 51.99
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- hybrid
- doi.org
- Licence
- Locations
- Energy (publishedVersion, cc-by-nc-sa)
- RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (acceptedVersion)
- Lund University Publications (Lund University) (submittedVersion, other-oa)
- Funders
- Swedish Energy Agency (33646-1)
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Energy › General Energy › Global Energy Security and Policy
- Physical Sciences › Engineering › Electrical and Electronic Engineering › Integrated Energy Systems Optimization
- Physical Sciences › Engineering › Civil and Structural Engineering › Infrastructure Resilience and Vulnerability Analysis
- Keywords
- energy security, supply security, assessment methods, energy supply chain, energy carriers, adaptive capacity, transformability, system vulnerabilities, energy services, sensitivity analysis
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