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Cited by 628

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The Future of Sensitivity Analysis: An essential discipline for systems modeling and policy support

Open access
Razavi, Saman, Jakeman, Anthony, Saltelli, Andrea, Prieur, Clémentine, Iooss, Bertrand, Borgonovo, Emanuele, Plischke, Elmar, Lo Piano, Samuele, Iwanaga, Takuya, Becker, William, Tarantola, Stefano, Guillaume, Joseph H.A., Jakeman, John, Gupta, Hoshin, Melillo, Nicola, Rabitti, Giovanni, Chabridon, Vincent, Duan, Qingyun, Sun, Xifu, Smith, Stefán, Sheikholeslami, Razi, Hosseini, Nasim, Asadzadeh, Masoud, Puy, Arnald, Kucherenko, Sergei, Maier, Holger R.·2021·Environmental Modelling & Software

Abstract

Sensitivity analysis (SA) is en route to becoming an integral part of mathematical modeling. The tremendous potential benefits of SA are, however, yet to be fully realized, both for advancing mechanistic and data-driven modeling of human and natural systems, and in support of decision making. In this perspective paper, a multidisciplinary group of researchers and practitioners revisit the current status of SA, and outline research challenges in regard to both theoretical frameworks and their applications to solve real-world problems. Six areas are discussed that warrant further attention, including (1) structuring and standardizing SA as a discipline, (2) realizing the untapped potential of SA for systems modeling, (3) addressing the computational burden of SA, (4) progressing SA in the context of machine learning, (5) clarifying the relationship and role of SA to uncertainty quantification, and (6) evolving the use of SA in support of decision making. An outlook for the future of SA is provided that underlines how SA must underpin a wide variety of activities to better serve science and society.

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Metadata

Authors
Razavi, S., Jakeman, A., Saltelli, A., Prieur, C., Iooss, B., Borgonovo, E., Plischke, E., Lo Piano, S., Iwanaga, T., Becker, W., Tarantola, S., Guillaume, J. H. A., Jakeman, J., Gupta, H., Melillo, N., Rabitti, G., Chabridon, V., Duan, Q., Sun, X., Smith, S., Sheikholeslami, R., Hosseini, N., Asadzadeh, M., Puy, A., Kucherenko, S., & Maier, H. R.
Venue
Environmental Modelling & Software
Publisher
Elsevier BV
Published
2021-03
Volume
137
Pages
104954
ISSN
1364-8152 (ISSN-L)
OpenAlex
W3112134271
Cited by
628
References
320
FWCI
38.58
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
hybrid

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The paper
Razavi, S., Jakeman, A., Saltelli, A., Prieur, C., Iooss, B., Borgonovo, E., Plischke, E., Lo Piano, S., Iwanaga, T., Becker, W., Tarantola, S., Guillaume, J. H. A., Jakeman, J., Gupta, H., Melillo, N., Rabitti, G., Chabridon, V., Duan, Q., Sun, X., . . . Maier, H. R. (2021). The Future of Sensitivity Analysis: An essential discipline for systems modeling and policy support. Environmental Modelling & Software. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2020.104954

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Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).

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