Viewpoint: The uptake of new crop science: Explaining success, and failure
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Farmers' decisions to adopt GM crops hinge on the expected profits of adoption and the associated risks, the availability of the technology and its alternatives, marketing exposure, and farm characteristics including farm size and farmer education level.
“farmers' decisions to adopt GM crops hinge on the expected profits of adoption and the associated risks ( 31 ), the availability of the technology and its alternatives, marketing exposure ( 32 ) and farm characteristics including farm size and farmer education level ( 33 ).”
From Environmental impacts of genetically modified crops (2024) · cites this paper as [31]
Section 2 says GM crops were adopted quickly where regulations allowed their sale and planting, in part because they made weed and insect control easier and cheaper. The paper thus supports benefits and availability as factors in uptake, but the passages do not support the claimed roles of marketing exposure, alternative technologies, farm size, or farmer education level. No page number is provided in our copy. (LLM, conf=0.86)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measuredEmpirical studies report either no significant reduction in overall pesticide use following HT adoption or a substantial increase in the quantity of herbicides used.
“empirical studies report either no significant reduction in overall pesticide use following HT adoption ( 31 ) or a substantial increase in the quantity of herbicides used ( 43 ).”
From Environmental impacts of genetically modified crops (2024) · cites this paper as [31]
The discussion of herbicide-tolerant soybeans in section 4 says fields became free of weeds after one or two Roundup sprays and that some weeds later developed resistance. It does not report an empirical increase in the quantity of herbicides used after adoption. Searches for herbicide and pesticide use found no passage establishing that attributed finding; the sentence attaches this citation to the increase, not to the separate claim about overall pesticide use. (LLM, conf=0.74)
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References 19 · Cited by 7
Research works printed but not linked: 4
- Lynas, M., 2018. Seeds of Science: Why we got it so wrong on GMOs. Bloomsbury Sigma, London.
- Purnhagen, K., 2019. How to manage the Union's diversity: The regulation of New Plant Breeding Technologies in Confédération paysanne and Others. Common Market Law Review 56 (1379-1396), 2019.
- USDA, 2022a. Regulated Article Letters of Inquiry, APHIS. https://www.aphis.usda.go v/aphis/ourfocus/biotechnology/am-i-regulated/regulated_article_letters_of_inquiry /regulated_article_letters_of_inquiry.
- Villar, J.L., 2001. GMO contamination around the world. Friends of the Earth International. https://www.academia.edu/44544161/GMO_contamination_around_ the_world.
- Authors
- Paarlberg, R., Bhattacharya, A., Huang, J., Karembu, M., Pray, C., & Wesseler, J.
- Affiliations
- Harvard University (US)
- Maharashtra Hybrid Seeds (India) (IN)
- Peking University (CN)
- Rutgers, The State University of New Jersey (US)
- Wageningen University & Research (NL)
- Corresponding author
- Paarlberg, Robert
- Venue
- Food Policy
- Publisher
- Elsevier BV
- Published
- 2024-01
- Volume
- 122
- Pages
- 102572
- ISSN
- 0306-9192 (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W4389462493
- Cited by
- 7
- References
- 19
- Citations by year
- 2026: 1 · 2025: 4 · 2024: 2
- FWCI
- 1.10
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- green
- research.wur.nl
- Licence
- Locations
- Food Policy (publishedVersion)
- Socio-Environmental Systems Modeling (submittedVersion)
- RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (submittedVersion)
- Topics
- Life Sciences › Agricultural and Biological Sciences › Plant Science › Genetically Modified Organisms Research
- Life Sciences › Agricultural and Biological Sciences › General Agricultural and Biological Sciences › Agricultural Innovations and Practices
- Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Risk Perception and Management
- Keywords
- technology adoption, genetically modified crops, Green Revolution, success factors, genome-edited crops, agricultural innovation diffusion, social trust, food safety concerns, GMO detection, crop acreage, agricultural policy
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Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
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