The DOI matches its Crossref record; 58 of the 58 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
What does the yield curve tell us about GDP growth?
Overview
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Verification
Claims the paper makes
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
The self-check needs the paper’s full text.
Citations
Cites
Newey, W. K., & West, K. D. (1987) · Econometrica · doi:10.2307/1913610 · Cited by 16,936
A Simple, Positive Semi-Definite, Heteroskedasticity and AutocorrelationConsistent Covariance Matrix
Newey, W., & West, K. (1986) · National Bureau of Economic Research · doi:10.3386/t0055 · Cited by 12,278
A New Approach to the Economic Analysis of Nonstationary Time Series and the Business Cycle
Hamilton, J. D. (1989) · Econometrica · doi:10.2307/1912559 · Cited by 9,646
Discretion versus policy rules in practice
Taylor, J. B. (1993) · Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy · doi:10.1016/0167-2231(93)90009-l · Cited by 9,065
Diebold, F., & Mariano, R. (1994) · National Bureau of Economic Research · doi:10.3386/t0169 · Cited by 5,185
Diebold, F. X., & Mariano, R. S. (1995) · Journal of Business & Economic Statistics · doi:10.1080/07350015.1995.10524599 · Cited by 5,130
Monetary Policy Rules and Macroeconomic Stability: Evidence and Some Theory*
Clarida, R., Gali, J., & Gertler, M. (2000) · Quarterly Journal of Economics · doi:10.1162/003355300554692 · Cited by 4,625
Empirical exchange rate models of the seventies
Meese, R. A., & Rogoff, K. (1983) · Journal of International Economics · doi:10.1016/0022-1996(83)90017-x · Cited by 4,107
The Dividend-Price Ratio and Expectations of Future Dividends and Discount Factors
Campbell, J. Y., & Shiller, R. J. (1988) · Review of Financial Studies · doi:10.1093/rfs/1.3.195 · Cited by 3,774
Parsimonious Modeling of Yield Curves
Nelson, C. R., & Siegel, A. F. (1987) · The Journal of Business · doi:10.1086/296409 · Cited by 2,909
Cited by
Credit spreads and business cycle fluctuations
Gilchrist, S., & Zakrajšek, E. (2012) · American Economic Review · doi:10.1257/aer.102.4.1692 · Cited by 2,213
Do macro variables, asset markets, or surveys forecast inflation better?
Ang, A., Bekaert, G., & Wei, M. (2007) · Journal of Monetary Economics · doi:10.1016/j.jmoneco.2006.04.006 · Cited by 801
Self-citationRisk Premiums in Dynamic Term Structure Models with Unspanned Macro Risks
JOSLIN, S., PRIEBSCH, M., & SINGLETON, K. J. (2014) · The Journal of Finance · doi:10.1111/jofi.12131 · Cited by 585
Financial Markets and the Real Economy
Cochrane, J. H. (2008) · Handbook of the Equity Risk Premium · doi:10.1016/b978-044450899-7.50014-2 · Cited by 543
A New Perspective on Gaussian Dynamic Term Structure Models
Joslin, S., Singleton, K. J., & Zhu, H. (2011) · Review of Financial Studies · doi:10.1093/rfs/hhq128 · Cited by 543
Metadata
- Authors
- Ang, A., Piazzesi, M., & Wei, M.
- Venue
- Journal of Econometrics
- Publisher
- Elsevier BV
- Published
- 2006-03
- Volume
- 131
- Issue
- 1-2
- Pages
- 359-403
- ISSN
- 0304-4076 (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W3021590600
- Cited by
- 800
- References
- 58
- FWCI
- 61.39
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review
How to cite
Cite CoChat for the checks on this page, and the paper for its own findings.
- This page
- CoChat. (2026). Citation check: What does the yield curve tell us about GDP growth? https://app.cochat.ai/papers/10.1016/j.jeconom.2005.01.032
- The paper
- Ang, A., Piazzesi, M., & Wei, M. (2006). What does the yield curve tell us about GDP growth? Journal of Econometrics. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jeconom.2005.01.032
Data sources
Bibliographic data: Semantic Scholar, OpenAlex, Crossref.
Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).
Semantic Scholar’s data is described in: Kinney, R., et al. (2023). The Semantic Scholar Open Data Platform. arXiv:2301.10140.