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Robust inference on average treatment effects with possibly more covariates than observations
Open accessAbstract
This paper concerns robust inference on average treatment effects following model selection. Under selection on observables, we construct confidence intervals using a doubly-robust estimator that are robust to model selection errors and prove their uniform validity over a large class of models that allows for multivalued treatments with heterogeneous effects and selection amongst (possibly) more covariates than observations. The semiparametric efficiency bound is attained under appropriate conditions. Precise conditions are given for any model selector to yield these results, and we specifically propose the group lasso, which is apt for treatment effects, and derive new results for high-dimensional, sparse multinomial logistic regression. Both a simulation study and revisiting the National Supported Work demonstration show our estimator performs well in finite samples.
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Cited by
Doubly robust difference-in-differences estimators
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High-Dimensional Methods and Inference on Structural and Treatment Effects
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Double/debiased machine learning for treatment and structural parameters
Newey, W. K., Hansen, C., Duflo, E., Robins, J., Chernozhukov, V., Demirer, M., & Chetverikov, D. (2017) · doi:10.1920/wp.cem.2017.2817 · Cited by 486
Program evaluation and causal inference with high-dimensional data
Belloni, A., Chernozhukov, V., Fern�ndez-Val, I., & Hansen, C. (2017) · Econometrica · doi:10.3982/ecta12723 · Cited by 317
Causal Inference About the Effects of Interventions From Observational Studies in Medical Journals
Dahabreh, I. J., & Bibbins-Domingo, K. (2024) · JAMA · doi:10.1001/jama.2024.7741 · Cited by 242
Metadata
- Authors
- Farrell, M. H.
- Venue
- Journal of Econometrics
- Publisher
- Elsevier BV
- Published
- 2015-11
- Volume
- 189
- Issue
- 1
- Pages
- 1-23
- ISSN
- 0304-4076 (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W2100532505
- Cited by
- 320
- References
- 92
- FWCI
- 19.56
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- green
- Licence
- www.elsevier.com/tdm/userlicense/1.0/ (tdm)
- www.elsevier.com/legal/tdmrep-license (tdm)
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