The DOI matches its Crossref record; 46 of the 46 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Risk, uncertainty, and asset prices
Abstract
We identify the relative importance of changes in the conditional variance of fundamentals (which we call "uncertainty") and changes in risk aversion ("risk" for short) in the determination of the term structure, equity prices and risk premiums. Theoretically, we introduce persistent time-varying uncertainty about the fundamentals in an external habit model. The model matches the dynamics of dividend and consumption growth, including their volatility dynamics and many salient asset market phenomena. While the variation in dividend yields and the equity risk premium is primarily driven by risk, uncertainty plays a large role in the term structure and is the driver of counter-cyclical volatility of asset returns.
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Cites
Newey, W. K., & West, K. D. (1987) · Econometrica · doi:10.2307/1913610 · Cited by 16,936
Large Sample Properties of Generalized Method of Moments Estimators
Hansen, L. P. (1982) · Econometrica · doi:10.2307/1912775 · Cited by 13,467
A Simple, Positive Semi-Definite, Heteroskedasticity and AutocorrelationConsistent Covariance Matrix
Newey, W., & West, K. (1986) · National Bureau of Economic Research · doi:10.3386/t0055 · Cited by 12,278
Estimating and Testing Linear Models with Multiple Structural Changes
Bai, J., & Perron, P. (1998) · Econometrica · doi:10.2307/2998540 · Cited by 6,112
By Force of Habit: A Consumption‐Based Explanation of Aggregate Stock Market Behavior
Campbell, J. Y., & Cochrane, J. H. (1999) · Journal of Political Economy · doi:10.1086/250059 · Cited by 5,210
Asset Prices in an Exchange Economy
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Epstein, L. G., & Zin, S. E. (1989) · Econometrica · doi:10.2307/1913778 · Cited by 4,262
Risks for the Long Run: A Potential Resolution of Asset Pricing Puzzles
Bansal, R., & Yaron, A. (2004) · The Journal of Finance · doi:10.1111/j.1540-6261.2004.00670.x · Cited by 4,242
Expected stock returns and volatility
French, K. R., Schwert, G. W., & Stambaugh, R. F. (1987) · Journal of Financial Economics · doi:10.1016/0304-405x(87)90026-2 · Cited by 4,107
The Dividend-Price Ratio and Expectations of Future Dividends and Discount Factors
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Cited by
Risk, uncertainty and monetary policy
Bekaert, G., Hoerova, M., & Lo Duca, M. (2013) · Journal of Monetary Economics · doi:10.1016/j.jmoneco.2013.06.003 · Cited by 1,235
Self-citationForecasting the equity risk premium: the role of technical indicators
Neely, C. J., Rapach, D. E., Tu, J., & Zhou, G. (2014) · Management Science · doi:10.1287/mnsc.2013.1838 · Cited by 1,003
Oil shocks, policy uncertainty and stock market return
Kang, W., & Ratti, R. A. (2013) · Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money · doi:10.1016/j.intfin.2013.07.001 · Cited by 503
Does Systemic Risk in the Financial Sector Predict Future Economic Downturns?
Allen, L., Bali, T. G., & Tang, Y. (2012) · Review of Financial Studies · doi:10.1093/rfs/hhs094 · Cited by 438
Bond Risk Premiums with Machine Learning
Bianchi, D., Büchner, M., & Tamoni, A. (2021) · The Review of Financial Studies · doi:10.1093/rfs/hhaa062 · Cited by 409
Metadata
- Authors
- Bekaert, G., Engstrom, E., & Xing, Y.
- Venue
- Journal of Financial Economics
- Publisher
- Elsevier BV
- Published
- 2009-01
- Volume
- 91
- Issue
- 1
- Pages
- 59-82
- ISSN
- 0304-405X (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W2083476133
- Cited by
- 381
- References
- 46
- FWCI
- 33.24
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
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Data sources
Bibliographic data: Semantic Scholar, OpenAlex, Crossref.
Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).
Semantic Scholar’s data is described in: Kinney, R., et al. (2023). The Semantic Scholar Open Data Platform. arXiv:2301.10140.