The DOI matches its Crossref record; 2 of the 2 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Information-related changes in contact patterns may trigger oscillations in the endemic prevalence of infectious diseases
Open accessAbstract
It is well known that behavioral changes in contact patterns may significantly affect the spread of an epidemic outbreak. Here we focus on simple endemic models for recurrent epidemics, by modelling the social contact rate as a function of the available information on the present and the past disease prevalence. We show that social behavior change alone may trigger sustained oscillations. This indicates that human behavior might be a critical explaining factor of oscillations in time-series of endemic diseases. Finally, we briefly show how the inclusion of seasonal variations in contacts may imply chaos.
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Citations
Cites
Social Contacts and Mixing Patterns Relevant to the Spread of Infectious Diseases
Mossong, J., Hens, N., Jit, M., Beutels, P., Auranen, K., Mikolajczyk, R., Massari, M., Salmaso, S., Tomba, G. S., Wallinga, J., et al. (2008) · PLoS Medicine · doi:10.1371/journal.pmed.0050074 · Cited by 2,900
Seasonal infectious disease epidemiology
Grassly, N. C., & Fraser, C. (2006) · Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences · doi:10.1098/rspb.2006.3604 · Cited by 574 · cited 2×
“…1973, Aron and Schwartz 1984, Earn et al. 2000), nonlinear resonance and chaos may be triggered by seasonal variations of the contact patterns (Grassly and Fraser 2006, Keeling and Grenfell 2002, Bacaer and Abdurahman 2008, Wang and Zhao 2008), modelled by one-year periodically modulating the…”
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Cited by
Statistical physics of vaccination
Wang, Z., Bauch, C. T., Bhattacharyya, S., d'Onofrio, A., Manfredi, P., Perc, M., Perra, N., Salathé, M., & Zhao, D. (2016) · Physics Reports · doi:10.1016/j.physrep.2016.10.006 · Cited by 872
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Metadata
- Authors
- d’Onofrio, A., & Manfredi, P.
- Venue
- Journal of Theoretical Biology
- Publisher
- Elsevier BV
- Published
- 2009-02
- Volume
- 256
- Issue
- 3
- Pages
- 473-478
- ISSN
- 0022-5193 (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W2026544868
- Cited by
- 167
- References
- 2
- FWCI
- 1.86
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- green
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- d’Onofrio, A., & Manfredi, P. (2009). Information-related changes in contact patterns may trigger oscillations in the endemic prevalence of infectious diseases. Journal of Theoretical Biology. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jtbi.2008.10.005
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Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).
Semantic Scholar’s data is described in: Kinney, R., et al. (2023). The Semantic Scholar Open Data Platform. arXiv:2301.10140.
