Cited by 139Health Systems, Economic Evaluations, Quality of LifePharmaceutical Economics and PolicyHealthcare Systems and Reforms

The use of cost-effectiveness thresholds for evaluating health interventions in low- and middle-income countries from 2015 to 2020: a review

Open access
Kazibwe, Joseph, Gheorghe, Adrian, Wilson, David, Ruiz, Francis, Chalkidou, Kalipso, Chi, Y-Ling·2022·Value in Health

Abstract

OBJECTIVES: Evidence-informed priority setting, in particular cost-effectiveness analysis (CEA), can help target resources better to achieve universal health coverage. Central to the application of CEA is the use of a cost-effectiveness threshold. We add to the literature by looking at what thresholds have been used in published CEA and the proportion of interventions found to be cost-effective, by type of threshold. METHODS: We identified CEA studies in low- and middle-income countries from the Global Health Cost-Effectiveness Analysis Registry that were published between January 1, 2015, and January 6, 2020. We extracted data on the country of focus, type of interventions under consideration, funder, threshold used, and recommendations. RESULTS: A total of 230 studies with a total 713 interventions were included in this review; 1 to 3× gross domestic product (GDP) per capita was the most common type of threshold used in judging cost-effectiveness (84.3%). Approximately a third of studies (34.2%) using 1 to 3× GDP per capita applied a threshold at 3× GDP per capita. We have found that no study used locally developed thresholds. We found that 79.3% of interventions received a recommendation as "cost-effective" and that 85.9% of studies had at least 1 intervention that was considered cost-effective. The use of 1 to 3× GDP per capita led to a higher proportion of study interventions being judged as cost-effective compared with other types of thresholds. CONCLUSIONS: Despite the wide concerns about the use of 1 to 3× GDP per capita, this threshold is still widely used in the literature. Using this threshold leads to more interventions being recommended as "cost-effective." This study further explore alternatives to the 1 to 3× GDP as a decision rule.

The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.

Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.

A few free checks a day · papers already verified open instantly · results are public

Integrity signals

Registry

Crossref · 10.1016/j.jval.2021.08.014

Cites

1 of 1 references verified0 citation errors · 0 not checkable

Statistics

Claims the paper makes

The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.

Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.

A few free checks a day · papers already verified open instantly · results are public

Claims other papers make about this one

Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?

  • The most common approach to determine cost-effectiveness in LMICs is to apply a criterion that the incremental cost of an intervention should be no more than 1-3 times the per capita GDP for each DALY averted, but this approach remains controversial.

    “The most common approach is to apply a criterion that the incremental cost of an intervention should be no more than 1-3 times the per capita GDP for each disabilityadjusted life-year (DALY) averted, but this approach remains controversial. 436”

    From The Lancet Psychiatry Commission on youth mental health (2024) · cites this paper as [436]

Self-check

Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.

The self-check needs the paper’s full text.

Cites

Flagged first, then by citations

Research works printed but not linked: 20

  1. [2]Leech A.A. Kim D.D. Cohen J.T. Neumann P.J. Use and misuse of cost-effectiveness analysis thresholds in low- and middle-income countries: trends in cost-per-DALY studies Value Heal 21 7 2018 759 761 PMC6041503 30005746
  2. [3]The world health report: Health systems financing the path to universal coverage. World Health Organization https://apps.who.int/iris/bitstream/handle/10665/44371/9789241564021_eng.pdf?sequence=1 PMC2878164 20539847
  3. [4]Chi Y.L. Blecher M. Chalkidou K. What next after GDP-based cost-effectiveness thresholds? Gates Open Res 4 2020 176 33575544 PMC7851575
  4. [5]Government at a glance. OCED iLibrary https://www.oecd-ilibrary.org/governance/government-at-a-glance-2019_8ccf5c38-en
  5. [7]Santos A.S. Guerra-Junior A.A. Godman B. Morton A. Ruas C.M. Cost-effectiveness thresholds: methods for definition and cases around the world Expert Rev Pharmacoecon Outcomes Res 18 2018 277 288 29468951
  6. [8]Thavorncharoensap M. Teerawattananon Y. Natanant S. Kulpeng W. Yothasamut J. Werayingyong P. Estimating the willingness to pay for a quality- adjusted life year in Thailand: does the context of health gain matter? Clinicoecon Outcomes Res 5 1 2013 29 36 23345984 PMC3548562
  7. [9]Robinson L.A. Hammitt J.K. Chang A.Y. Resch S. Understanding and improving the one and 3 times GDP per capita cost-effectiveness thresholds Health Policy Plan 32 1 2017 141 145 27452949
  8. [10]Meyer-Rath G. van Rensburg C. Larson B. Jamieson L. Rosen S. Revealed willingness-to-pay versus standard cost-effectiveness thresholds: evidence from the South African HIV Investment Case PLoS One 12 10 2017 e0186496 PMC5658054 29073167
  9. [11]Bertram M.Y. Lauer J.A. De Joncheere K. Cost-effectiveness thresholds: pros and cons Bull World Health Organ 94 12 2016 925 930 27994285 PMC5153921
  10. [12]Woods B. Revill P. Sculpher M. Claxton K. Country-level cost-effectiveness thresholds: initial estimates and the need for further research Value Heal 19 8 2016 929 935 PMC5193154 27987642
  11. [13]Loganathan T. Ng C.W. Lee W.S. Hutubessy R.C.W. Verguet S. Jit M. Thresholds for decision-making: informing the cost-effectiveness and affordability of rotavirus vaccines in Malaysia Heal Policy Plan 33 2 2018 204 214 29228339
  12. [15]Moher D. Liberati A. Tetzlaff J. Altman D.G. The PRISMA Group Preferred reporting items for systematic reviews and meta-analyses: the PRISMA statement PLoS Med 6 7 2009 e1000097 19621072 PMC2707599
  13. [18]Neumann P.J. Thorat T. Zhong Y. A systematic review of cost-effectiveness studies reporting cost-per-DALY averted PLoS One 11 12 2016 e0168512 PMC5179084 28005986
  14. [19]Price J.T. Wheeler S.B. Stranix-Chibanda L. Cost-effectiveness of pre-exposure HIV prophylaxis during pregnancy and breastfeeding in Sub-Saharan Africa J Acquir Immune Defic Syndr 72 suppl 2 2016 S145 S153 27355502 PMC5043081
  15. [20]Kaucley L. Levy P. Cost-effectiveness analysis of routine immunization and supplementary immunization activity for measles in a health district of Benin Cost Eff Resour Alloc 13 1 2015 14 26300696 PMC4545866
  16. [21]Nayagam S. Conteh L. Sicuri E. Cost-effectiveness of community-based screening and treatment for chronic hepatitis B in the Gambia: an economic modelling analysis Lancet Glob Health 4 8 2016 e568 e578 27443782
  17. [22]Tolla M.T. Norheim O.F. Memirie S.T. Prevention and treatment of cardiovascular disease in Ethiopia: a cost-effectiveness analysis Cost Eff Resour Alloc 14 1 2016 1 14 27524939 PMC4983058
  18. [23]Culyer A. Cost-effectiveness thresholds in health care: a bookshelf guide to their meaning and use. Centre for Health Economics, University of York http://eprints.whiterose.ac.uk/135882/ 26906561
  19. [24]Suraratdecha C. Stuart R.M. Manopaiboon C. Cost and cost-effectiveness analysis of pre-exposure prophylaxis among men who have sex with men in two hospitals in Thailand J Int AIDS Soc 21 suppl 5 2018 e25129 PMC6055129 30033559
  20. [26]Ochalek J. Lomas J. Claxton K. Estimating health opportunity costs in low-income and middle-income countries: a novel approach and evidence from cross-country data BMJ Global Health 3 6 2018 e000964 Erratum in: BMJ Glob Health. 2019 Jun 4;4(3):e000964corr1 PMC6231096 30483412

Cited by

Sorted by citations

Authors
Kazibwe, J., Gheorghe, A., Wilson, D., Ruiz, F., Chalkidou, K., & Chi, Y.-L.
Affiliations
  • Imperial College London (GB)
  • Gates Foundation (US)
Corresponding author
Chi, Y-Ling
Venue
Value in Health
Publisher
Elsevier BV
Published
2022-03
Volume
25
Issue
3
Pages
385-389
ISSN
1098-3015 (ISSN-L)
OpenAlex
W3208194388
Cited by
139
References
1
Citations by year
2026: 22 · 2025: 48 · 2024: 29 · 2023: 28 · 2022: 11 · 2021: 1
FWCI
13.17
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
Locations
  • Value in Health (publishedVersion, cc-by)
  • PubMed Central (publishedVersion, cc-by)
  • PubMed (publishedVersion)
  • LSHTM Research Online (London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine) (acceptedVersion)
Funders
Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation (INV-006987)
Topics
  • Social Sciences › Economics, Econometrics and Finance › Economics and Econometrics › Health Systems, Economic Evaluations, Quality of Life
  • Social Sciences › Economics, Econometrics and Finance › Economics and Econometrics › Pharmaceutical Economics and Policy
  • Social Sciences › Economics, Econometrics and Finance › Finance › Healthcare Systems and Reforms
Keywords
cost-effectiveness threshold, cost-effectiveness analysis, low- and middle-income countries, priority setting, health intervention evaluation, decision rules, universal health coverage, resource allocation
MeSH terms
Disability-Adjusted Life Years, Cost-Benefit Analysis, Developing Countries, Humans, World Health Organization, Gross Domestic Product

About these checks

Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.

Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.

Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.

What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›

Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review