Cost-Effectiveness of the 15 Drugs Selected for Initial Price Applicability Year 2027 by Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services Drug Price Negotiation Program
Abstract
Objectives To analyze published cost-effectiveness analyses (CEAs) for the 15 drugs selected for the Initial Price Applicability Year 2027 by the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services. Methods We identified CEAs for the 15 drugs from the Tufts Cost-Effectiveness Analysis Registry. For each drug, we included all base-case incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) and calculated median and interquartile ranges for positive ICERs for each drug indication. We also performed the analyses on CEAs conducted in the United States, which used a lifetime horizon, or were industry sponsored. We present all costs in 2022 US dollars. Results A total of 20 drug-indications were included in the analysis. Most studies used a nonsocietal perspective and were industry sponsored. Median positive ICERs ranged from $1800 (linagliptin) to $640 000 (acalabrutinib) with 6 drug indications having a median ICER less than $50 000 and 10 more than $100 000. Among the 13 drug indications with US-based CEAs, 11 had a median ICER near or more than $100 000. Among CEAs with a lifetime horizon, 7 drug indications had a median ICER less than $50 000, and 5 more than $100 000. CEAs sponsored by industry had median ICERs more than $100 000 for 5 drug indications. The median ICERs differed considerably between the 2 covered indications for semaglutide, linaclotide, and rifaximin. Conclusions As Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services continues to implement its drug price negotiation program, promoting…
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Tirzepatide likely will not be eligible for Medicare price negotiation until 2030, with implementation of negotiated pricing in 2033.
“Although tirzepatide likely will not be eligible for Medicare price negotiation until 2030, with implementation of negotiated pricing in 2033”
From Affordable access to GLP-1 obesity medications: strategies to guide market action and policy solutions in the US (2025) · cites this paper as [84]
Semaglutide is at the top of the list of the set of drugs for Medicare price negotiation for implementation in 2027.
“semaglutide is at the top of the list of the set of drugs for Medicare price negotiation for implementation in 2027 [84]”
From Affordable access to GLP-1 obesity medications: strategies to guide market action and policy solutions in the US (2025) · cites this paper as [84]
Cited by
Sorted by citations
Pearson, S. D., Whaley, C. M., & Emond, S. K. (2025) · Journal of Comparative Effectiveness Research · doi:10.57264/cer-2025-0083 · Cited by 50 · see citing works
- Authors
- Xie, F., Zhou, T., Ma, Y., Cohen, J. T., & Neumann, P. J.
- Affiliations
- McMaster University (CA)
- China Pharmaceutical University (CN)
- Tufts Medical Center (US)
- Corresponding author
- Xie, Feng
- Venue
- Value in Health
- Publisher
- Elsevier BV
- Published
- 2026-01
- Volume
- 29
- Issue
- 1
- Pages
- 14-18
- ISSN
- 1098-3015 (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W4414105061
- Cited by
- 1
- References
- 0
- Citations by year
- 2026: 1
- FWCI
- 0.91
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- Value in Health (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Economics, Econometrics and Finance › Economics and Econometrics › Health Systems, Economic Evaluations, Quality of Life
- Social Sciences › Economics, Econometrics and Finance › Economics and Econometrics › Pharmaceutical Economics and Policy
- Social Sciences › Economics, Econometrics and Finance › Economics and Econometrics › Healthcare Policy and Management
- Keywords
- Medicare Part D, cost-effectiveness analysis, incremental cost-effectiveness ratio, drug pricing, value-based pricing, semaglutide, linaclotide, rifaximin, acalabrutinib, linagliptin
- MeSH terms
- Cost-Effectiveness Analysis, Pharmaceutical Preparations, United States, Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services, U.S., Drug Costs, Negotiating
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