Differences in the potential for dementia prevention between major ethnic groups within one country: A cross sectional analysis of population attributable fraction of potentially modifiable risk factors in New Zealand
Open accessAbstract
BACKGROUND: Twelve potentially modifiable risk factors (less education, hypertension, obesity, alcohol, traumatic brain injury (TBI), hearing loss, smoking, depression, physical inactivity, social isolation, diabetes, air pollution) account for an estimated 40% of worldwide dementia cases. We aimed to calculate population attributable fractions (PAFs) for dementia for the four largest New Zealand ethnic groups (European, Māori, Asian, and Pacific peoples) to identify whether optimal dementia prevention targets differed by ethnicity. METHODS: We calculated risk factor prevalence for 10 risk factors using the New Zealand Health Survey 2018/19 and published reports for hearing loss and TBI prevalences. We calculated the PAF for each risk factor using calculated prevalence and relative risk estimates from previous meta-analyses. To account for risk factor overlap, we calculated communality of risk factors and a weighted PAF. FINDINGS: The weighted PAF for dementia was 47.7% overall in New Zealand, 47.6% for Europeans, 51.4% for Māori, 50.8% for Pacific peoples, and 40.8% for Asians. Highest PAFs for Europeans were hearing loss (8%) and social isolation (5.7%), and for Asians hearing loss (7.3%) and physical inactivity (5.5%). For Māori and Pacific peoples, highest PAFs were for obesity (7.3% and 8.9% respectively) and hearing loss (6.5% and 6.6%). INTERPRETATION: New Zealand has higher dementia prevention potential than worldwide estimates with high prevalences of untreated hearing loss and obesity. The relative contribution of individual risk factors PAFs varies by ethnic group. Public health strategies for dementia prevention need to be tailored to these differences. FUNDING: Health Research Council of New Zealand (HRC:20/021).
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Underserved ethnic groups, such as the Māori group in New Zealand, First Nation groups in Australia, Black individuals in the US and UK, and Hispanic individuals in the US, have higher prevalence of potentially modifiable risk factors.
“Underserved ethnic groups, such as the Māori group in New Zealand, First Nation groups in Australia, Black individuals in the US and UK, and Hispanic individuals in the US, have higher prevalence of potentially modifiable risk factors.(38-45)”
From Dementia prevention, intervention, and care: 2024 report of the Lancet standing Commission (2024) · cites this paper as [39]
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References 32 · Cited by 82
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- Authors
- Ma'u, E., Cullum, S., Cheung, G., Livingston, G., & Mukadam, N.
- Affiliations
- University of Auckland (NZ)
- St Pancras Hospital (GB)
- Venue
- The Lancet Regional Health - Western Pacific
- Publisher
- Elsevier BV
- Published
- 2021-08
- Volume
- 13
- Pages
- 100191
- ISSN
- 2666-6065 (ISSN-L)
- PMC
- PMC8358157
- OpenAlex
- W3177707402
- Cited by
- 82
- References
- 32
- Citations by year
- 2026: 7 · 2025: 16 · 2024: 26 · 2023: 22 · 2022: 10 · 2021: 1
- FWCI
- 10.58
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- gold
- doi.org
- Licence
- Locations
- The Lancet Regional Health - Western Pacific (publishedVersion, cc-by-nc-nd)
- Europe PMC (PubMed Central) (publishedVersion, other-oa)
- PubMed Central (publishedVersion, cc-by-nc-nd)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals) (submittedVersion, cc-by-sa)
- UCL Discovery (University College London) (submittedVersion)
- ResearchSpace (University of Auckland) (submittedVersion, cc-by-nc-nd)
- Funders
- NIHR Biomedical Research Centre, Royal Marsden NHS Foundation Trust/Institute of Cancer Research
- Ministerio de Sanidad, Consumo y Bienestar Social
- National Institute for Health Research
- Alzheimer's Society
- Health Research Council of New Zealand
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Psychiatry and Mental health › Dementia and Cognitive Impairment Research
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Cardiology and Cardiovascular Medicine › Cardiovascular Health and Risk Factors
- Social Sciences › Health › Health disparities and outcomes
- Keywords
- dementia prevention, population attributable fraction, modifiable risk factors, ethnic differences, Māori, Pacific Islanders, Asian populations, European populations, hearing loss, obesity, social isolation, physical inactivity, New Zealand
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