The DOI matches its Crossref record.
Role of substitution in mitigating the supply pressure of rare earths in electric road transport applications
Open accessAbstract
The development of new high-efficiency magnets and/or electric traction motors using a limited amount of critical rare earths or none at all is crucial for the large-scale deployment of electric vehicles (EVs) and related applications, such as hybrid electric vehicles (HEVs) and e-bikes. For these applications, we estimated the short-term demand for high-performing NdFeB magnets and their constituent rare earths: neodymium, praseodymium and dysprosium. In 2020, EV, HEV and e-bike applications combined could require double the amount used in 2015. To meet the global deployment target of 7.2 million EVs sales in 2020 proposed by the International Energy Agency, the demand for NdFeB in the EV sector might increase by up to 14 times in only 5 years (2015–2020). Due to concerns about the security of supply of rare earths some manufacturers have decided to develop and adopt alternative solutions. By assessing up-to-date available component substitutes, we show that the permanent magnet synchronous-traction motor (PSM) remains the technology of choice, especially for hybrid vehicles (HEV and PHEV). Better material efficiency and a larger adoption of motors free of rare earths have the potential to reduce the pressure on rare earths supply for use in electric road transport applications. However even if such substitution measures are successfully implemented, the demand growth for rare earths in the EV sector is expected to increase significantly by 2020 and beyond.
Overview
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Verification
Claims the paper makes
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
Investigations on substitution opportunities of rare earth metals in low-carbon technologies such as lighting, wind turbines, or electric vehicles show mixed results.
“Investigations on substitution opportunities of rare earth metals in low-carbon technologies such as lighting, wind turbines, or electric vehicles show mixed results [88-90].”
From Digitalization and the Decoupling Debate: Can ICT Help to Reduce Environmental Impacts While the Economy Keeps Growing? (2020) · cites this paper as [89]
Growing demand for electric vehicles is expected to increase the demand for rare earth metals.
“Growing demand for electric vehicles is expected to also increase the demand for rare earth metals [89].”
From Digitalization and the Decoupling Debate: Can ICT Help to Reduce Environmental Impacts While the Economy Keeps Growing? (2020) · cites this paper as [89]
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
The self-check needs the paper’s full text.
Citations
Cites
No references could be resolved yet.
Research works printed but not linked: 36
- International Energy Agency Report, 2015, 10.1787/weo-2015-en · DOI
- Bustamante, 2016, Life cycle assessment of jointly produced solar energy materials: challenges and best practices, Sol. Energy Mater. Sol. Cells, 156, 11, 10.1016/j.solmat.2016.05.007 · DOI
- Moss, 2013, The potential risks from metals bottlenecks to the deployment of strategic energy technologies, Energ Policy, 55, 556, 10.1016/j.enpol.2012.12.053 · DOI
- Zhang, 2016, Coercivity enhancement of Nd-Fe-B sintered magnets with intragranular adding (Pr, Dy, Cu)-Hx powders, J. Magn. Magn. Mater., 399, 159, 10.1016/j.jmmm.2015.09.071 · DOI
- Riba, 2016, Rare-earth-free propulsion motors for electric vehicles: a technology review, Renew. Sust. Energ. Rev., 57, 367, 10.1016/j.rser.2015.12.121 · DOI
- Stegen, 2015, Heavy rare earths, permanent magnets, and renewable energies: an imminent crisis, Energ Policy, 79, 1, 10.1016/j.enpol.2014.12.015 · DOI
- Alonso, 2012, Evaluating rare earth element availability: a case with revolutionary demand from clean technologies, Environ. Sci. Technol., 46, 3406, 10.1021/es203518d · DOI · Paper page
- Nansai, 2014, Global flow of critical metals necessary for low-carbon technologies: the case of neodymium, cobalt, and platinum, Environ. Sci. Technol., 48, 1391, 10.1021/es4033452 · DOI
- De Boer, 2013, Scarcity of rare earths elements, ChemSusChem, 6, 2045, 10.1002/cssc.201200794 · DOI
- Baldi, 2014, Clean energy industries and rare earth materials: economic and financial issues, Energ Policy, 66, 53, 10.1016/j.enpol.2013.10.067 · DOI
- Golev, 2014, Rare earths supply chain: current status, constraints and opportunities, Resour. Policy, 41, 52, 10.1016/j.resourpol.2014.03.004 · DOI
- Habib, 2014, Exploring rare earths supply constraints for the emerging clean energy technologies and the role of recycling, J. Clean. Prod., 84, 348, 10.1016/j.jclepro.2014.04.035 · DOI
- Massari, 2013, Rare earth elements as critical raw materials: focus on international markets and future strategies, Resour. Policy, 38, 36, 10.1016/j.resourpol.2012.07.001 · DOI
- Achzet, 2013, How to evaluate raw material supply risk — an overview, Resour. Policy, 38, 435, 10.1016/j.resourpol.2013.06.003 · DOI
- Glöser, 2015, Raw material criticality in the context of classical risk assessment, Resour. Policy, 44, 35, 10.1016/j.resourpol.2014.12.003 · DOI
- Goe, 2014, Identifying critical materials for photovoltaic in the US: a multi-metric approach, Appl. Energy, 123, 387, 10.1016/j.apenergy.2014.01.025 · DOI
- Rademaker, 2013, Recycling as a strategy against rare earth element criticality: a systemic evaluation of the potential yield of NdFeB magnet recycling, Environ. Sci. Technol., 47, 10129, 10.1021/es305007w · DOI
- Peiró, 2013, Material flow analysis of scares metals: sources, functions, end-uses and aspects for future supply, Environ. Sci. Technol., 47, 2939, 10.1021/es301519c · DOI
- Graedel, 2015, On the materials basis of modern society, PNAS, 112, 6295, 10.1073/pnas.1312752110 · DOI
- Nassar, 2015, Limitation to elemental substitution as exemplified by the platinum-group metals, Green Chem., 17, 2226, 10.1039/C4GC02197E · DOI
- Pavel, 2016, Critical raw materials in lighting applications: substitution opportunities and implication on their demand, Phys. Status Solidi A, 216, 2937, 10.1002/pssa.201600594 · DOI · Paper page
- Smith, 2016, Multifaced material substitution: the case of NdFeB magnets, 2010–2015, JOM, 7, 1964, 10.1007/s11837-016-1913-2 · DOI
- Graedel, 2002, Material substitution: a resource supply perspective, Resour. Conserv. Recycl., 34, 107, 10.1016/S0921-3449(01)00097-0 · DOI
- Ayres, 2007, On the practical limits to substitution, Ecol. Econ., 61, 115, 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2006.02.011 · DOI
- Nakamura, 2011, Managing the scarcity of chemical elements, Nat. Mater., 10, 158, 10.1038/nmat2969 · DOI
- Powell, 2011, Sparing the rare earths: potential shortages of useful metals inspire scientists to seek alternatives for magnet technologies, Sci. News, 180, 18
- Kumar, 2014, Electric propulsion system for electric vehicular technology: a review, Renew. Sust. Energ. Rev., 29, 924, 10.1016/j.rser.2013.09.014 · DOI
- Widmer, 2015, Electric vehicle traction motors without rare earth magnets, Sustain. Mater. Technol., 3, 7
- Gutfleisch, 2011, Magnetic materials and devices for the 21st century: stronger, lighter, and more energy efficient, Adv. Mater., 23, 821, 10.1002/adma.201002180 · DOI
- Hoenderdaal, 2013, Can a dysprosium shortage threaten green energy technologies?, Energy, 49, 344, 10.1016/j.energy.2012.10.043 · DOI
- Binnemans, 2013, Recycling of rare earths: a critical review, J. Clean. Prod., 51, 1, 10.1016/j.jclepro.2012.12.037 · DOI
- C.C. Pavel, R. Lacal-Arántegui, A. Marmier, E. Tzimas, D. Schüler, M. Buchert, D. Blagoeva, Role of rare earths in permanent magnets and review of substitution opportunities in wind turbines, Manuscript submitted for publication to Resour. Policy. (2017) (MS Ref No JRPO_2017_7).
- Lacal-Arántegui, 2015, Materials use in electricity generators in wind turbines — state-of-the-art and future specification, J. Clean. Prod., 87, 275, 10.1016/j.jclepro.2014.09.047 · DOI
- Green Car Congress press release
- MotorBrain press release
- Green Car Congress press release
Cited by
Sorted by citations
Substitution strategies for reducing the use of rare earths in wind turbines
Pavel, C. C., Lacal-Arántegui, R., Marmier, A., Schüler, D., Tzimas, E., Buchert, M., Jenseit, W., & Blagoeva, D. (2017) · Resources Policy · doi:10.1016/j.resourpol.2017.04.010 · Cited by 235
Self-citationSantarius, T., Pohl, J., & Lange, S. (2020) · Sustainability · doi:10.3390/su12187496 · Cited by 132
“Growing demand for electric vehicles is expected to also increase the demand for rare earth metals [89].”
Background
Metadata
- Authors
- Pavel, C. C., Thiel, C., Degreif, S., Blagoeva, D., Buchert, M., Schüler, D., & Tzimas, E.
- Affiliations
- Joint Research Centre (NL)
- European Commission (BE)
- Oeko Institut (DE)
- Corresponding author
- Pavel, Claudiu C.
- Venue
- Sustainable Materials and Technologies
- Publisher
- Elsevier BV
- Published
- 2017-07
- Volume
- 12
- Pages
- 62-72
- ISSN
- 2214-9929 (ISSN-L)
- 2214-9937
- OpenAlex
- W2581031316
- Cited by
- 86
- References
- 0
- Citations by year
- 2026: 5 · 2025: 8 · 2024: 17 · 2023: 13 · 2022: 7 · 2021: 10 · 2020: 12 · 2019: 7 · 2018: 6 · 2017: 1
- FWCI
- 5.53
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- hybrid
- doi.org
- Locations
- Sustainable materials and technologies (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- Joint Research Centre (European Commission) (submittedVersion)
- Funders
- European Commission (C112996)
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Materials Science › Metals and Alloys › Extraction and Separation Processes
- Physical Sciences › Materials Science › Electronic, Optical and Magnetic Materials › Magnetic Properties of Alloys
- Physical Sciences › Engineering › Electrical and Electronic Engineering › Electric Motor Design and Analysis
- Keywords
- rare-earth substitution, Nd-Fe-B permanent magnets, electric vehicles, hybrid electric vehicles, electric bicycles, neodymium, praseodymium, dysprosium, rare-earth-free motors
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review