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Supervised Machine Learning for Population Genetics: A New Paradigm
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Abstract
As population genomic datasets grow in size, researchers are faced with the daunting task of making sense of a flood of information. To keep pace with this explosion of data, computational methodologies for population genetic inference are rapidly being developed to best utilize genomic sequence data. In this review we discuss a new paradigm that has emerged in computational population genomics: that of supervised machine learning (ML). We review the fundamentals of ML, discuss recent applications of supervised ML to population genetics that outperform competing methods, and describe promising future directions in this area. Ultimately, we argue that supervised ML is an important and underutilized tool that has considerable potential for the world of evolutionary genomics.
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BackgroundGenomic exploration of the journey of Plasmodium vivax in Latin America
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“Inference of demographic history and recombination rates in a population using artificial neural network has an emerging application in the field of population genetics (Schrider and Kern 2018).”
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“…and neutral sweeps could lead to very similar dips of diversity at individual loci (Moinet et al. 2022), it seems that the distinction between selection and demography would be better achieved by examining overall genomic patterns rather than looking at individual windows (Schrider and Kern 2018).”
BackgroundSweepNet: A Lightweight CNN Architecture for the Classification of Adaptive Genomic Regions
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“The latest efforts in population genetics explore deep learning (DL) to distinguish between neutrality and a selective sweep by relying on the accurate classification of adaptive genomic regions [12].”
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Population Genomics and Phylogeography
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On the relative ease of speciation with periodic gene flowPreprint
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“Machine learning approaches approaches based on realistic forward-time simulations and multiple summaries of genetic data (e.g., Schrider and Kern (2018)) or even raw genotype matrices (Flagel et al., 2019) represent a largely untapped frontier in our quest to understand the mechanisms underlying…”
Expanding the stdpopsim species catalog, and lessons learned for realistic genome simulationsPreprint
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Henry, G. A., & Stinchcombe, J. (2024) · bioRxiv · doi:10.1093/gbe/evae275 · Cited by 6
Mahmud, M. I., & Banerjee, T. (2026) · Briefings in Bioinformatics · doi:10.1093/bib/bbag229 · Cited by 11
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Amin, M. R., Hasan, M., Arnab, S. P., & DeGiorgio, M. (2023) · Molecular Biology and Evolution · doi:10.1093/molbev/msad216 · Cited by 9
“This pattern of selective sweeps at genes related to cancer was also found by other studies that developed machine learning approaches for detecting sweep (e.g. Lou et al. 2014; Schrider and Kern 2017, 2018; Mughal et al. 2020; Arnab et al. 2023).”
A supervised machine learning workflow for the reduction of highly dimensional biological data
Andersen, L. K., & Reading, B. J. (2023) · Artificial Intelligence in the Life Sciences · doi:10.1016/j.ailsci.2023.100090 · Cited by 9
Disease Propagation Prediction using Machine Learning for Crowdsourcing Mobile Applications
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“Machine learning can be divided into two broad categories [5], namely supervised learning [6] and unsupervised learning [7].”
BackgroundHow Machine Learning Methods Helped Find Putative Rye Wax Genes Among GBS Data
Góralska, M., Bińkowski, J., Lenarczyk, N., Bienias, A., Grądzielewska, A., Czyczyło-Mysza, I. M., Laskoś, K., Stojałowski, S. A., & Myśków, B. (2020) · International Journal of Molecular Sciences · doi:10.3390/ijms21207501 · Cited by 9
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Backgroundda Fonseca, E. M., Pope, N. S., Peterman, W. E., Werneck, F. P., Colli, G. R., & Carstens, B. C. (2024) · Heredity · doi:10.1038/s41437-024-00682-5 · Cited by 6
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“This could also be extended to considering how best to embrace advances in machine learning and artificial intelligence (AI) to handle high-dimensional genomic data effectively (Korfmann et al. 2023; Schrider and Kern 2018).”
Phylogenetic Methods Meet Deep Learning
Braichenko, S., Borges, R., & Kosiol, C. (2025) · Genome Biology and Evolution · doi:10.1093/gbe/evaf177 · Cited by 7
“The advent of DL, a branch of machine learning (ML), has significantly transformed the analysis of genomic data sets (Schrider and Kern 2018).”
InfluentialMachine learning and statistical inference in microbial population genomics
Sheppard, S. K., Arning, N., Eyre, D. W., & Wilson, D. J. (2025) · Genome biology · doi:10.1186/s13059-025-03775-4 · Cited by 10
“The most frequent classification across trees is used (“aggregated”), which improves accuracy [50–52].”
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MethodPrusokiene, A., Prusokas, A., & Retkutė, R. (2023) · NAR Genomics and Bioinformatics · doi:10.1093/nargab/lqad077 · Cited by 6
“Machine learning is becoming an important tool that has considerable potential in biology ( 36 ), genetics and genomics, including the annotation of sequence elements and epigenetic, proteomic and metabolomic data ( 37 ), or solving problems arising in population and evolutionary genetics ( 38 ).”
BackgroundJoint inference of adaptive and demographic history from temporal population genomic data
Pavinato, V. A. C., Mita, S. D., Marin, J., & Navascués, M. (2022) · Peer Community Journal · doi:10.24072/pcjournal.203 · Cited by 8
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“In recent years, machine learning methods have seen tremendous growth in population genetics (see Schrider and Kern 2018; Korfmann et al. 2023 and Huang et al. 2024 for recent reviews).”
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Estimating recombination using only the allele frequency spectrum
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“In a follow-up review article [80], the authors argue for a”
BackgroundPanneerselvam, P., Saha, S., Senapati, A., Nayak, A. K., Kumar, U., & Mitra, D. (2021) · Current Research in Microbial Sciences · doi:10.1016/j.crmicr.2021.100067 · Cited by 6
“As described earlier by Schrider and Kern (2018), deep learning could be categorized into unsupervised and supervised learning methodologies, an example of which is PCA which is an unsupervised learning technique i.e. capable of clustering similar kind of relationships between variables.”
BackgroundPhase-type distributions in mathematical population genetics: An emerging framework
Hobolth, A., Rivas-González, I., Bladt, M., & Futschik, A. (2024) · Theoretical Population Biology · doi:10.1016/j.tpb.2024.03.001 · Cited by 6
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“Among a large number of supervised models reported, decision trees, naive Bayes, and support vector machines (SVMs) are simple and effective methods with a broad range of application in biology [8,9, 12 – 15].”
MethodWatson, J. A., Taylor, A. R., Ashley, E. A., Dondorp, A. M., Buckee, C. O., White, N. J., & Holmes, C. C. (2020) · PLoS Genetics · doi:10.1371/journal.pgen.1009037 · Cited by 6
“Supervised learning methods have also been suggested for population genetics [44] but these have been rarely applied to parasite population genetics and are outside the scope of this work.”
MethodGenetics of Autoimmune Liver Diseases
Gerussi, A., Carbone, M., Asselta, R., & Invernizzi, P. (2020) · Springer eBooks · doi:10.1007/978-3-030-51709-0_5 · Cited by 6
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“…of the GSSA vector may be directly incorporated within a supervised machine learning or ABC inferential framework to obtain parameter estimates associated with source locality likelihoods, and to test competing expansion hypotheses (He et al. 2017b Fraimout et al. 2017 Schrider & Kern 2018).”
MethodLuo, Y., Xu, J., He, N., & Cao, W. (2025) · Journal of Inflammation Research · doi:10.2147/jir.s539899 · Cited by 5
“7,8 For instance, Ming et al 9 applied machine learning techniques, including LASSO, to identify critical genes involved in sepsis-associated ARDS and explored their relationship with immune cell infiltration, which has been recognized as a key factor in the pathogenesis of sepsis.”
Plant domestication revisited: Genomic insights into origins, mechanisms, and convergent evolution
Cao, Y., Yan, J., Ross‐Ibarra, J., & Yang, N. (2025) · iScience · doi:10.1016/j.isci.2025.114062 · Cited by 7
“221,222 Although these methods require extensive datasets, high computational power, and specialized expertise, they hold great promise for uncovering cryptic genetic features beyond the reach of conventional approaches, thereby expanding our understanding of the genetic basis of domestication.”
Effects of rescaling forward-in-time population genetic simulations
Marsh, J. I., Kaushik, S., & Johri, P. (2025) · Genetics · doi:10.1093/genetics/iyaf263 · Cited by 5
“In addition, simulation-based inference approaches use simulated data as input to infer population parameters with statistical approaches such as approximate Bayesian computation (ABC; Beaumont et al. 2002) and by training machine learning models (Schrider and Kern 2018; Korfmann et al. 2023 ).”
Kamran, M., Zhijun, T., Ullah, A., Alvi, M. H. A., Aqeel, T., Xuejun, C., Sagheer, S., Umaira, Bingguang, X., & Xu, H. (2026) · Plant Stress · doi:10.1016/j.stress.2026.101317 · Cited by 7
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A Semi-Supervised Generative Adversarial Network for Prediction of Genetic Disease Outcomes
Davi, C. C. M., & Braga-Neto, U. (2021) · Machine learning for signal processing ... · doi:10.1109/mlsp52302.2021.9596351 · Cited by 5
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Ratti, E. (2020) · Human perspectives in health sciences and technology · doi:10.1007/978-3-030-25001-0_8 · Cited by 5
A Neophyte With AutoML: Evaluating the Promises of Automatic Machine Learning ToolsPreprint
Bezrukavnikov, O., & Linder, R. (2021) · arXiv (Cornell University) · doi:10.48550/arxiv.2101.05840 · Cited by 9
“TPOT was developed at the Computational Genetics Laboratory of the University of Pennsylvania with the goal of maximizing classification accuracy on supervised tasks [32].”
MethodGenetic diversity landscapes in outcrossing and selfing Caenorhabditis nematodesPreprint
Teterina, A., Willis, J. H., Lukac, M., Jovelin, R., Cutter, A., & Phillips, P. C. (2022) · bioRxiv · doi:10.1101/2022.12.13.520296 · Cited by 4
Utilizing Machine Learning Algorithms to Detect Emotions from Tweets
Julian, C. R., Athevan, G. R., Hanjaya, N. G., Lucky, H., & Suhartono, D. (2022) · International Conference on Advanced Informatics: Concepts, Theory and Applications (ICAICTA) · doi:10.1109/icaicta56449.2022.9932908 · Cited by 4
“According to [7], supervised machine learning is doing predictions using labeled data or trained datasets where the true values are acknowledged.”
BackgroundPower of neutrality tests for detecting natural selection
Tanaka, T., Hayakawa, T., & Teshima, K. M. (2023) · G3 Genes Genomes Genetics · doi:10.1093/g3journal/jkad161 · Cited by 7
Song, H., Chu, J., Li, W., Li, X., Fang, L., Han, J., Zhao, S., & Ma, Y. (2024) · Advanced Science · doi:10.1002/advs.202304842 · Cited by 3
Lian, L., Li, W., Zhang, Y., Gong, X., Wang, H., & Liu, Y. (2025) · Computational Materials Science · doi:10.1016/j.commatsci.2025.113969 · Cited by 4
de Moraes, R. S., Bilhalva, N. D. S., Leal, M. M., Lemos, A. B., & Coradi, P. C. (2025) · Journal of Stored Products Research · doi:10.1016/j.jspr.2025.102717 · Cited by 4
Measuring natural selection on the transcriptome
Stinchcombe, J. R., & Kelly, J. K. (2025) · New Phytologist · doi:10.1111/nph.70287 · Cited by 4
“While this field is moving quickly and a full review is beyond our scope here (see Schrider & Kern, 2018, for an entry point), there are several features of these algorithms that suggest promise in the context of measuring selection on gene expression.”
A Survey for Predicting ATP Binding Residues of Proteins Using Machine Learning Methods
Yang, Y. R., Wang, J.-S., Yuan, S.-S., Liu, M., Su, W., Lin, H., & Zhang, Z. (2021) · Current Medicinal Chemistry · doi:10.2174/0929867328666210910125802 · Cited by 4
Whole-Genome Sequencing of Plants: Past, Present, and Future
Usha, T., Panda, P., Goyal, A. K., Kukanur, A. A., Kamala, A., Prasannakumar, M. K., Sidhalinghamurthy, K. R., & Middha, S. K. (2022) · Springer eBooks · doi:10.1007/978-981-16-6974-3_8 · Cited by 4
A new method for detecting autocorrelation of evolutionary rates in large phylogeniesPreprint
Tao, Q., Tamura, K., Battistuzzi, F. U., & Kumar, S. (2018) · bioRxiv (Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory) · doi:10.1101/346635 · Cited by 4
“Machine learning (McL) is widely used to solve problems in many fields, including ecology (Christin et al. 2018; Willcock et al. 2018) and population genetics (Saminadin-Peter et al. 2012; Schrider and Kern 2016; Schrider and Kern 2018).”
BackgroundLozano, R. D., Gazave, É., dos Santos, J. P. R., Stetter, M. G., Valluru, R., Bandillo, N. B., Fernandes, S. B., Brown, P. J., Shakoor, N., Mockler, T. C., et al. (2019) · bioRxiv (Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory) · doi:10.1101/777623 · Cited by 4
The reasonable effectiveness of domain adaptation for inference of introgressionPreprint
Cobb, K. A., & Smith, M. L. (2025) · bioRxiv (Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory) · doi:10.1101/2025.01.17.633659 · Cited by 5
“Specifically, when the models of interest are intractable in likelihood and Bayesian frameworks, supervised machine learning offers a promising solution (Schrider and Kern, 2018; Flagel et al., 2019; Korfmann et al., 2023).”
Deep learning insights into distinct patterns of polygenic adaptation across human populations
Tripathi, D., Bhattacharyya, C., & Basu, A. (2024) · Nucleic Acids Research · doi:10.1093/nar/gkae1027 · Cited by 3
Panigrahi, M., Nayak, S. S., Rajawat, D., Bose, A., Bharia, N., Das, S., Sharma, A., & Dutt, T. (2025) · Mammalian Genome · doi:10.1007/s00335-025-10138-8 · Cited by 8
Han, C., Lu, S., Hu, P., Chang, J., Zou, D., Li, F., Li, Y., Lü, Q., & Ren, H. (2025) · Communications Biology · doi:10.1038/s42003-025-08650-3 · Cited by 3
“Supervised ML uses labeled datasets to train algorithms such as Random Forest (RF), Decision Trees (DTC), Support Vector Machine (SVM), K-Nearest Neigh-bors (KNN), and Multilayer Perceptron (MLP) to predict output based on labeled input data 21 – 23 .”
Bracher‐Smith, M., & Escott‐Price, V. (2025) · Molecular Psychiatry · doi:10.1038/s41380-025-03330-4 · Cited by 5
Neural posterior estimation for population genetics
Min, J., Ning, Y., Pope, N. S., Baumdicker, F., & Kern, A. D. (2026) · Genetics · doi:10.1093/genetics/iyag107 · Cited by 5
“Normalizing flows were introduced by Rezende and Mohamed (2015) and have since been extended to conditional density estimation for simulation-based inference (Papamakarios and Murray 2016; Lueckmann et al. 2017; Greenberg et al. 2019); see Papamakarios et al. (2021) for a comprehensive review and…”
Arenas, S., & Cortés, A. J. (2026) · International Journal of Molecular Sciences · doi:10.3390/ijms27020652 · Cited by 3
“Machine learning models identified a broader set of associations [52,53], likely capturing non-linear and interactive effects, while BLINK and XGBoost prioritized highly conservative signals.”
de la Peña, P. G., Iglesias, G., Talavera, E., Meseguer, A. S., & Sanmartín, I. (2026) · Systematic Biology · doi:10.1093/sysbio/syag030 · Cited by 3
Omics Technologies in Molecular Biology
Cortés, A. J. (2026) · International Journal of Molecular Sciences · doi:10.3390/ijms27083349 · Cited by 3
Metadata
- Authors
- Schrider, D. R., & Kern, A. D.
- Affiliations
- Rutgers, The State University of New Jersey (US)
- Corresponding author
- Schrider, Daniel R.
- Kern, Andrew D.
- Venue
- Trends in Genetics
- Publisher
- Elsevier BV
- Published
- 2018-04
- Volume
- 34
- Issue
- 4
- Pages
- 301-312
- ISSN
- 0168-9525 (ISSN-L)
- PMC
- PMC5905713
- OpenAlex
- W2783880833
- Cited by
- 453
- References
- 110
- Citations by year
- 2026: 41 · 2025: 55 · 2024: 51 · 2023: 50 · 2022: 68 · 2021: 65 · 2020: 57 · 2019: 46 · 2018: 20
- FWCI
- 6.48
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- hybrid
- doi.org
- Licence
- Locations
- Trends in Genetics (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- bioRxiv (Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory) (acceptedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Europe PMC (PubMed Central) (acceptedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed Central (acceptedVersion, cc-by)
- Funders
- National Institutes of Health
- National Human Genome Research Institute (K99HG008696)
- National Institute of General Medical Sciences (R01GM117241)
- Topics
- Life Sciences › Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology › Genetics › Genetic diversity and population structure
- Life Sciences › Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology › Molecular Biology › Genomics and Phylogenetic Studies
- Life Sciences › Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology › Genetics › Forensic and Genetic Research
- Keywords
- supervised learning, population genetics, population genetic inference, genome sequencing data, evolutionary genomics
- MeSH terms
- Supervised Machine Learning, Biological Evolution, Genetics, Population, Humans, Selection, Genetic, Genome, Human, Data Mining, Datasets as Topic
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