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The asymmetric effects of income and fuel price on air transport demand
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An industry's response to macroeconomic factors is nonlinear, showing greater sensitivity to negative economic shocks than to positive shocks.
“An industry's response to these factors is nonlinear, in that they show greater sensitivity to negative economic shocks than to positive shocks (Goh and Law, 2011; Chi and Baek, 2013; Wadud, 2014; Chi, 2024).”
From Passenger and Freight Demand under Macroeconomic Volatility: Evidence from South Korea and The United States (2026) · cites this paper as Wadud, 2014
The Conclusions report asymmetric air-transport demand responses to income and fuel-price changes. But the Results (section 4) do not establish greater sensitivity to negative shocks generally: fuel-price increases have a stronger effect than cuts, while the effect of falling income is not statistically distinguishable from that of income rising above a previous maximum. The findings also concern US air transport demand, not industries broadly. (LLM, conf=0.88)
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Cited by
Sorted by citations
Adedoyin, F. F., Bekun, F. V., Driha, O. M., & Balsalobre-Lorente, D. (2020) · Technological Forecasting and Social Change · doi:10.1016/j.techfore.2020.120297 · Cited by 199
Jung, N. (2026) · Transport and Telecommunication Journal · doi:10.2478/ttj-2026-0011 · Cited by 1
“An industry’s response to these factors is nonlinear, in that they show greater sensitivity to negative economic shocks than to positive shocks (Goh and Law, 2011; Chi and Baek, 2013; Wadud, 2014; Chi, 2024).”
Metadata
- Authors
- Wadud, Z.
- Affiliations
- University of Leeds (GB)
- Corresponding author
- Wadud, Zia
- ORCID
- Wadud, Zia
- Venue
- Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice
- Publisher
- Elsevier BV
- Published
- 2014-07
- Volume
- 65
- Pages
- 92-102
- ISSN
- 0965-8564 (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W2139241748
- Cited by
- 37
- References
- 0
- Citations by year
- 2026: 3 · 2025: 6 · 2024: 2 · 2023: 1 · 2022: 4 · 2021: 4 · 2020: 5 · 2019: 2 · 2018: 2 · 2017: 3 · 2016: 2 · 2015: 2 · 2014: 1
- FWCI
- 7.49
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- Transportation Research Part A Policy and Practice (publishedVersion)
- White Rose Research Online (University of Leeds, The University of Sheffield, University of York) (acceptedVersion)
- RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (submittedVersion)
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Economics, Econometrics and Finance › General Economics, Econometrics and Finance › Aviation Industry Analysis and Trends
- Physical Sciences › Energy › Renewable Energy, Sustainability and the Environment › Energy, Environment, and Transportation Policies
- Social Sciences › Transportation › Transportation Planning and Optimization
- Keywords
- air travel demand, passenger demand forecasting, fuel prices, income effects, hysteresis
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