Chapter 21: Modelling the impact of HPV vaccines on cervical cancer and screening programmes
Abstract
The impact of human papillomavirus (HPV)-16/18 vaccination on the incidence of infection and disease can be explored in a range of different models. Here we explore the epidemiological and economic impact of vaccination where screening is absent and where it is well established. The importance for epidemiology of assumptions about naturally-acquired immunity and heterogeneity in risk behaviours are highlighted, as are the importance for health economic outcomes of vaccine costs and the ability to modify screening strategies. To date, model results are consistent in predicting a useful role for vaccine, but further epidemiological data are required to help test the validity of models.
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Claims the paper makes
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
The individual-based microsimulation model was chosen over the HPV 16 and 18 transmission model because the former can simulate detailed screening strategies as well as vaccination, and includes other HPV types not targeted by the vaccine, enabling calibration to many epidemiological targets.
“This was a purposeful decision as the former can simulate detailed screening strategies as well as vaccination, and includes other HPV types not targeted by the vaccine, enabling us to take advantage of all available data by calibrating to many epidemiological targets (Garnett et al, 2006).”
From Health and economic impact of HPV 16 and 18 vaccination and cervical cancer screening in India (2008) · cites this paper as Garnett et al, 2006
Cited by
Sorted by citations
Kim, J. J., Andres-Beck, B., & Goldie, S. J. (2007) · British Journal of Cancer · doi:10.1038/sj.bjc.6604023 · Cited by 156 · see citing works
Self-citationHealth and economic impact of HPV 16 and 18 vaccination and cervical cancer screening in India
Diaz, M., Kim, J. J., Albero, G., de Sanjosé, S., Clifford, G., Bosch, F. X., & Goldie, S. J. (2008) · British Journal of Cancer · doi:10.1038/sj.bjc.6604462 · Cited by 132 · see citing works
Self-citation
- Authors
- Garnett, G. P., Kim, J. J., French, K., & Goldie, S. J.
- Affiliations
- Harvard University (US)
- Imperial College London (GB)
- ORCID
- Kim, Jane J.
- Venue
- Vaccine
- Publisher
- Elsevier BV
- Published
- 2006-08
- Volume
- 24
- Pages
- S178-S186
- ISSN
- 0264-410X (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W2053976574
- Cited by
- 162
- References
- 0
- Citations by year
- 2026: 1 · 2024: 2 · 2023: 1 · 2021: 3 · 2020: 1 · 2019: 1 · 2018: 5 · 2017: 3 · 2016: 1 · 2015: 5 · 2014: 8 · 2013: 8 · 2012: 12
- FWCI
- 18.87
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- Vaccine (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Funders
- European Commission
- Medical Research Council
- National Cancer Institute (R01CA093435)
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Epidemiology › Cervical Cancer and HPV Research
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health › Women's cancer prevention and management
- Life Sciences › Immunology and Microbiology › Microbiology › Reproductive tract infections research
- Keywords
- HPV vaccination, cervical cancer, cervical cancer screening, HPV-16/18 vaccine, vaccine impact, natural immunity, risk heterogeneity, vaccine cost, health economic evaluation, epidemic modeling
- MeSH terms
- Uterine Cervical Neoplasms, Female, Humans, Mass Screening, Models, Theoretical, Papillomavirus Infections, Papillomavirus Vaccines
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review