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Warfarin versus aspirin for stroke prevention in an elderly community population with atrial fibrillation (the Birmingham Atrial Fibrillation Treatment of the Aged Study, BAFTA): a randomised controlled trial
Abstract
Background Anticoagulants are more effective than antiplatelet agents at reducing stroke risk in patients with atrial fibrillation, but whether this benefit outweighs the increased risk of bleeding in elderly patients is unknown. We assessed whether warfarin reduced risk of major stroke, arterial embolism, or other intracranial haemorrhage compared with aspirin in elderly patients.Methods 973 patients aged 75 years or over (mean age 81.5 years, SD 4.2) with atrial fibrillation were recruited from primary care and randomly assigned to warfarin (target international normalised ratio 2-3) or aspirin (75 mg per day). Follow-up was for a mean of 2.7 years (SD 1.2). The primary endpoint was fatal or disabling stroke (ischaemic or haemorrhagic), intracranial haemorrhage, or clinically significant arterial embolism. Analysis was by intention to treat. This study is registered as an International Standard Randomised Controlled Trial, number ISRCTN89345269.Findings There were 24 primary events (21 strokes, two other intracranial haemorrhages, and one systemic embolus) in people assigned to warfarin and 48 primary events (44 strokes, one other intracranial haemorrhage, and three systemic emboli) in people assigned to aspirin (yearly risk 1.8%vs 3.8%, relative risk 0.48, 95% CI 0.28-0.80, p=0.003; absolute yearly risk reduction 2%, 95% CI 0.7-3.2). Yearly risk of extracranial haemorrhage was 1.4% (warfarin) versus 1.6% (aspirin) (relative risk 0.87, 0.43-1.73; absolute risk reduction 0.2%, -0.7 to 1.2).Interpretation These data support the use of anticoagulation therapy for people aged over 75 who have atrial fibrillation, unless there are contraindications or the patient decides that the benefits are not worth the inconvenience.
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“Antiplatelet therapy increases bleeding risk, especially dual antiplatelet therapy (2.0% vs. 1.3% with antiplatelet monotherapy; P < 0.001), 433 with bleeding rates that are similar to those on OAC.354,362,431,434”
From 2016 ESC Guidelines for the management of atrial fibrillation developed in collaboration with EACTS (2016) · cites this paper as [362]
In the citing paper
“Good data are available to support the use of anticoagulants in older patients from BAFTA (Birmingham Atrial Fibrillation Treatment of the Aged Study), 362 the NOAC trials, 39 and from analyses in elderly Americans (Medicare).396”
From 2016 ESC Guidelines for the management of atrial fibrillation developed in collaboration with EACTS (2016) · cites this paper as [362]
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BackgroundMethodInfluentialCatheter ablation for atrial fibrillation and impact on clinical outcomes
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“No evidence suggested that anticoagulants were less safe than aspirin within the same age group.(37) These results parallel those of other studies.”
ResultKennedy, C., Gabr, A., McCormack, J., Collins, R., Barry, M. G., & Harbison, J. (2021) · British Journal of Clinical Pharmacology · doi:10.1111/bcp.14938 · Cited by 12
“in frail elderly patients with AF, the use of antiplatelets instead has been reported.(27) DOACs offered another option with convenient initiation and monitoring, thus reducing the burden on prescribers and patients.”
BackgroundNeurología y cardiología: puntos de contacto
Goldstein, L. B., & Husseini, N. E. (2011) · Revista Española de Cardiología · doi:10.1016/j.recesp.2010.12.004 · Cited by 12
Shao, X., Yang, Y., Zhu, J., Zhang, H., Liu, Y. Z., Gao, X., Yu, L., Liu, L., Zhao, L., Yu, P.-F., et al. (2014) · Clinical Interventions in Aging · doi:10.2147/cia.s67123 · Cited by 12
Caballero, L., Ruiz-Nodar, J. M., Marín, F. R., Roldán, V., Hurtado, J. A., Valencia, J., Manzano‐Fernández, S., Sogorb, F., Valdés, M., & Lip, G. Y. H. (2012) · Age and Ageing · doi:10.1093/ageing/afs121 · Cited by 12
Dreischulte, T., Barnett, K. N., Madhok, V. B., & Guthrie, B. (2013) · European Journal of General Practice · doi:10.3109/13814788.2013.852535 · Cited by 12
Stroke Prevention in Atrial Fibrillation: Where are We Now?
Ahmad, Y., & Lip, G. Y. H. (2012) · Clinical Medicine Insights Cardiology · doi:10.4137/cmc.s8976 · Cited by 12
Giner‐Soriano, M., Roso‐Llorach, A., Urgell, C. V., Cervelló, X. C., Capellà, D., González, I. F., Elorza, J. M., Casajuana‐Closas, M., Troncoso‐Mariño, A., Diogène, E., et al. (2016) · Pharmacoepidemiology and Drug Safety · doi:10.1002/pds.4137 · Cited by 12
Anticoagulation in atrial fibrillation
Barra, S., & Providencia, R. A. (2020) · Heart · doi:10.1136/heartjnl-2020-316728 · Cited by 12
Ivany, E., Lane, D. A., Dan, G., Doehner, W., Farkowski, M. M., Iliodromitis, K. E., Lenarczyk, R., & Potpara, T. (2020) · EP Europace · doi:10.1093/europace/euaa423 · Cited by 12
“Non-VKA oral anticoagulants are recommenced as first-line OAC treatment by the European Society of Cardiology (ESC) and the American Heart Association (AHA) guidelines for the treatment of AF.11,12 Aspirin therapy is less effective in preventing stroke in patients with AF as compared to OAC,13 nor does aspirin reduce…”
Current Therapeutic Approach to Atrial Fibrillation in Patients with Congenital Hemophilia
Bădescu, M. C., Bădulescu, O. V., Butnariu, L. I., Floria, M., Ciocoiu, M., Costache, I. I., Popescu, D., Bratoiu, I., Buliga-Finiș, O. N., & Rezuș, C. (2022) · Journal of Personalized Medicine · doi:10.3390/jpm12040519 · Cited by 12
Stroke: management and prevention
Montagu, A., Reckless, I. P., & Buchan, A. M. (2012) · Medicine · doi:10.1016/j.mpmed.2012.06.007 · Cited by 13
Garber, J. L., Willenborg, K. L., & Rose, A. E. (2015) · Journal of Thrombosis and Thrombolysis · doi:10.1007/s11239-015-1223-5 · Cited by 12
Barth, D. D., Zuhlke, L. J., Joachim, A., Hoegger, T., Mayosi, B. M., & Engel, M. E. (2015) · BMC Health Services Research · doi:10.1186/s12913-015-0890-4 · Cited by 12
“Anticoagulation therapy, which interferes with the clotting process is highly effective at reducing the risk of stroke [12, 13] but requires regular laboratory-guided adjustments of the dose, as response to treatment is affected by interactions with food and drugs [14, 15].”
BackgroundSudlow, C. L. M. (2008) · Practical Neurology · doi:10.1136/jnnp.2008.148064 · Cited by 12
The Net Clinical Benefit of Warfarin Anticoagulation in Atrial Fibrillation
Singer, D. E., Chang, Y., & Go, A. S. (2010) · Annals of Internal Medicine · doi:10.7326/0003-4819-152-4-201002160-00018 · Cited by 12
UK academic general practice and primary care
Campbell, J., Hobbs, R. F., Irish, B., Nicholson, S., Pringle, M., Reeve, J. L., & Rosenthal, J. (2015) · BMJ · doi:10.1136/bmj.h4164 · Cited by 12
Anticoagulation du sujet âgé : nouveautés thérapeutiques
Lafuente‐Lafuente, C., Pautas, É., & Belmin, J. (2013) · La Presse Médicale · doi:10.1016/j.lpm.2012.05.031 · Cited by 11
“Un patient ne peut être privé du bénéfice démontré d’une thérapeutique au seul motif de l’âge, d’autant que le bénéfice des AVK, en termes de réduction du risque thromboembolique, est tel dans la population âgée qu’il permet d’accepter leur risque hémorragique, la balance bénéfice-risque penchant en faveur de leur ind…”
BackgroundAppelros, P., Farahmand, B. Y., Terént, A., & Åsberg, S. (2017) · Stroke · doi:10.1161/strokeaha.117.016902 · Cited by 11
A Look at Primary and Secondary Prevention in the Elderly: The Two Sides of the Same Coin
Abrignani, M. G., Lucà, F., Abrignani, V., Pelaggi, G., Aiello, A., Colivicchi, F., Fattirolli, F., Gulizia, M. M., Nardi, F., Pino, P. G., et al. (2024) · Journal of Clinical Medicine · doi:10.3390/jcm13154350 · Cited by 17
Manzi, L., Florimonte, D., Forzano, I., Buongiorno, F., Sperandeo, L., Castiello, D. S., Paolillo, R., Giugliano, G., Giacoppo, D., Sciahbasi, A., et al. (2024) · Interventional Cardiology Clinics · doi:10.1016/j.iccl.2024.07.001 · Cited by 11
Metadata
- Authors
- Mant, J., Hobbs, F. R., Fletcher, K., Roalfe, A., Fitzmaurice, D., Lip, G. Y., & Murray, E.
- Affiliations
- University of Birmingham (GB)
- Birmingham City Hospital (GB)
- Corresponding author
- Mant, Jonathan
- Venue
- The Lancet
- Publisher
- Elsevier BV
- Published
- 2007-08
- Volume
- 370
- Issue
- 9586
- Pages
- 493-503
- ISSN
- 0099-5355 (ISSN-L)
- 0140-6736
- OpenAlex
- W2159730165
- Cited by
- 1,556
- References
- 50
- Citations by year
- 2026: 14 · 2025: 15 · 2024: 25 · 2023: 43 · 2022: 35 · 2021: 51 · 2020: 60 · 2019: 53 · 2018: 73 · 2017: 94 · 2016: 124 · 2015: 116 · 2014: 120 · 2013: 142 · 2012: 158
- FWCI
- 72.56
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- The Lancet (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- University of Birmingham Research Portal (University of Birmingham) (submittedVersion)
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Cardiology and Cardiovascular Medicine › Atrial Fibrillation Management and Outcomes
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Clinical Neurology › Acute Ischemic Stroke Management
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Internal Medicine › Venous Thromboembolism Diagnosis and Management
- Keywords
- warfarin, aspirin, atrial fibrillation, stroke prevention, elderly patients, anticoagulation, antiplatelet therapy, intracranial hemorrhage, arterial embolism, bleeding risk, ischemic stroke, primary care
- MeSH terms
- Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Anti-Inflammatory Agents, Non-Steroidal, Aspirin, Atrial Fibrillation, Female, Follow-Up Studies, Humans, Male, Platelet Aggregation Inhibitors, Severity of Illness Index, Warfarin, International Normalized Ratio, Stroke
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