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Predicting land-cover and land-use change in the urban fringe
Open accessAbstract
Land-cover and land-use (LCLU) change was quantified for the last 35 years within and in the vicinity of a fast growing city in Mexico, using rectified aerial photographs and geographic information systems (GIS). LCLU change was projected for the next 20 years using Markov chains and regression analyses. The study explored the relationships between urban growth and landscape change, and between urban growth and population growth. The analysis of Markov matrices suggests that the highest LCLU attractor is the city of Morelia, followed by plantations and croplands. Grasslands and shrublands are the least stable categories. The most powerful use of the Markov transition matrices seems to be at the descriptive rather than the predictive level. Linear regression between urban and population growth offered a more robust prediction of urban growth in Morelia. Hence, we suggest that linear regression should be used when projecting growth tendencies of cities in regions with similar characteristics.
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Cited by
An, L., Linderman, M., Qi, J., Shortridge, A., & Liu, J. (2005) · Annals of the Association of American Geographers · doi:10.1111/j.1467-8306.2005.00450.x · Cited by 300
Al-sharif, A. A. A., & Pradhan, B. (2014) · Arabian Journal of Geosciences · doi:10.1007/s12517-013-1119-7 · Cited by 276
Ibrahim Mahmoud, M., Duker, A., Conrad, C., Thiel, M., & Shaba Ahmad, H. (2016) · Remote Sensing · doi:10.3390/rs8030220 · Cited by 105
A Complex Network Approach to Urban Growth
Andersson, C., Frenken, K., & Hellervik, A. (2006) · Environment and Planning A: Economy and Space · doi:10.1068/a37418 · Cited by 67
Hidden Path Selection Network for Semantic Segmentation of Remote Sensing Images
Yang, K., Tong, X.-Y., Xia, G.-S., Shen, W., & Zhang, L. (2022) · IEEE Transactions on Geoscience and Remote Sensing · doi:10.1109/tgrs.2022.3197334 · Cited by 22
Metadata
- Authors
- López, E., Bocco, G., Mendoza, M., & Duhau, E.
- Venue
- Landscape and Urban Planning
- Publisher
- Elsevier BV
- Published
- 2001-08
- Volume
- 55
- Issue
- 4
- Pages
- 271-285
- ISSN
- 0169-2046 (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W1212601590
- Cited by
- 585
- References
- 0
- FWCI
- 7.16
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- hybrid
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- López, E., Bocco, G., Mendoza, M., & Duhau, E. (2001). Predicting land-cover and land-use change in the urban fringe. Landscape and Urban Planning. https://doi.org/10.1016/s0169-2046(01)00160-8
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