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Inflation dynamics: A structural econometric analysis
Open accessAbstract
We develop and estimate a structural model of inflation that allows for a fraction of firms that use a backward-looking rule to set prices. The model nests the purely forward-looking New Keynesian Phillips curve as a particular case. We use measures of marginal cost as the relevant determinant of inflation, as the theory suggests, instead of an ad hoc output gap. Real marginal costs are a significant and quantitatively important determinant of inflation. Backward-looking price setting, while statistically significant, is not quantitatively important. Thus, we conclude that the New Keynesian Phillips curve provides a good first approximation to the dynamics of inflation.
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Citations
Cited by
Nominal Rigidities and the Dynamic Effects of a Shock to Monetary Policy
Christiano, L. J., Eichenbaum, M., & Evans, C. L. (2005) · Journal of Political Economy · doi:10.1086/426038 · Cited by 6,238
The Science of Monetary Policy: A New Keynesian Perspective
Clarida, R., Galí, J., & Gertler, M. (1999) · Journal of Economic Literature · doi:10.1257/jel.37.4.1661 · Cited by 4,916
Self-citationSome Evidence on the Importance of Sticky Prices
Bils, M., & Klenow, P. J. (2004) · Journal of Political Economy · doi:10.1086/422559 · Cited by 1,540
Fiscal Volatility Shocks and Economic Activity
Fernández-Villaverde, J., Guerrón-Quintana, P., Kuester, K., & Rubio-Ramírez, J. (2015) · American Economic Review · doi:10.1257/aer.20121236 · Cited by 938
Testing for Indeterminacy: An Application to U.S. Monetary Policy
Lubik, T. A., & Schorfheide, F. (2004) · American Economic Review · doi:10.1257/000282804322970760 · Cited by 868
Metadata
- Authors
- Galı́, J., & Gertler, M.
- Venue
- Journal of Monetary Economics
- Publisher
- Elsevier BV
- Published
- 1999-10
- Volume
- 44
- Issue
- 2
- Pages
- 195-222
- ISSN
- 0304-3932 (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W3123935426
- Cited by
- 3,087
- References
- 0
- FWCI
- 146.40
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- hybrid
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