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Inflation dynamics: A structural econometric analysis

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Galı́, Jordi, Gertler, Mark·1999·Journal of Monetary Economics

Abstract

We develop and estimate a structural model of inflation that allows for a fraction of firms that use a backward-looking rule to set prices. The model nests the purely forward-looking New Keynesian Phillips curve as a particular case. We use measures of marginal cost as the relevant determinant of inflation, as the theory suggests, instead of an ad hoc output gap. Real marginal costs are a significant and quantitatively important determinant of inflation. Backward-looking price setting, while statistically significant, is not quantitatively important. Thus, we conclude that the New Keynesian Phillips curve provides a good first approximation to the dynamics of inflation.

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Metadata

Authors
Galı́, J., & Gertler, M.
Venue
Journal of Monetary Economics
Publisher
Elsevier BV
Published
1999-10
Volume
44
Issue
2
Pages
195-222
ISSN
0304-3932 (ISSN-L)
OpenAlex
W3123935426
Cited by
3,087
References
0
FWCI
146.40
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
hybrid

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CoChat. (2026). Citation check: Inflation dynamics: A structural econometric analysis. https://app.cochat.ai/papers/10.1016/s0304-3932(99)00023-9
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Galı́, J., & Gertler, M. (1999). Inflation dynamics: A structural econometric analysis. Journal of Monetary Economics. https://doi.org/10.1016/s0304-3932(99)00023-9

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Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).

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