The DOI matches its Crossref record; 1 of the 1 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Will moist convection be stronger in a warmer climate?
Abstract
The intensity of moist convection is an important diagnostic of climate change not currently predicted by most climate models. We show that a simple estimate of the vertical velocity of convective updrafts in a global climate model reproduces observed land‐ocean differences in convective intensity. Changes in convective intensity in a doubled CO 2 simulation are small because the tropical lapse rate tends to follow a moist adiabatic profile. However, updrafts strengthen by ∼1 m s−1 with warming in the lightning‐producing regions of continental convective storms, primarily due to an upward shift in the freezing level. For the western United States, drying in the warmer climate reduces the frequency of lightning‐producing storms that initiate forest fires, but the strongest storms occur 26% more often. For the central‐eastern United States, stronger updrafts combined with weaker wind shear suggest little change in severe storm occurrence with warming, but the most severe storms occur more often.
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Citations
Cites
Warming and earlier spring increase western U.S. forest wildfire activity.
Westerling, A. L., Hidalgo, H. G., Cayan, D. R., & Swetnam, T. W. (2006) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.1128834 · Cited by 5,176 · cited 2×
“Forest fire activity and burned area in the western U.S. and Canada have increased in recent decades due to climate warming and drying [Gillett et al., 2004; Westerling et al., 2006].”
Background
Cited by
Atmospheric composition change – global and regional air quality
Monks, P. S., Granier, C., Fuzzi, S., Stohl, A., Williams, M. L., Akimoto, H., Amann, M., Baklanov, A., Baltensperger, U., Bey, I., et al. (2009) · Atmospheric Environment · doi:10.1016/j.atmosenv.2009.08.021 · Cited by 872
Walsh, J., Wuebbles, D., Hayhoe, K., Kossin, J., Kunkel, K., Stephens, G., Thorne, P., Vose, R., Wehner, M., Willis, J., et al. (2014) · doi:10.7930/j0kw5cxt · Cited by 423
Robust increases in severe thunderstorm environments in response to greenhouse forcing
Diffenbaugh, N. S., Scherer, M., & Trapp, R. J. (2013) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.1307758110 · Cited by 419
Analysis of present-day and future OH and methane lifetime in the ACCMIP simulations
Voulgarakis, A., Naik, V., Lamarque, J.-F., Shindell, D. T., Young, P. J., Prather, M. J., Wild, O., Field, R. D., Bergmann, D., Cameron-Smith, P., et al. (2013) · Atmospheric chemistry and physics · doi:10.5194/acp-13-2563-2013 · Cited by 324
Effects of 2000–2050 global change on ozone air quality in the United States
Wu, S., Mickley, L. J., Leibensperger, E. M., Jacob, D. J., Rind, D., & Streets, D. G. (2008) · Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres · doi:10.1029/2007jd008917 · Cited by 272
Metadata
- Authors
- Del Genio, A. D., Yao, M., & Jonas, J.
- Venue
- Geophysical Research Letters
- Publisher
- American Geophysical Union (AGU)
- Published
- 2007-08-17
- Volume
- 34
- Issue
- 16
- ISSN
- 0094-8276 (ISSN-L)
- 1944-8007
- OpenAlex
- W1635331734
- Cited by
- 216
- References
- 1
- FWCI
- 8.82
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
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Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).
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