The DOI matches its Crossref record; 40 of the 40 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Impact of climate change on the hydroclimatology of Lake Tana Basin, Ethiopia
Abstract
Climate change has the potential to reduce water resource availability in the Nile Basin countries in the forthcoming decades. We investigated the sensitivity of water resources to climate change in the Lake Tana Basin, Ethiopia, using outputs from global climate models (GCMs). First, we compiled projected changes in monthly precipitation and temperature in the basin from 15 GCMs. Although the GCMs uniformly suggest increases in temperature, the rainfall projections are not consistent. Second, we investigated how changes in daily temperature and precipitation might translate into changes in streamflow and other hydrological components. For this, we generated daily climate projections by modifying the historical data sets to represent the changes in the GCM climatologies and calculated hydrological changes using the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT). The SWAT model itself was calibrated and validated using the flows from four tributaries of Lake Tana. For the Special Report on Emissions Scenarios A2 scenario, four of the nine GCMs investigated showed statistically significant declines in annual streamflow for the 2080–2100 period. We interpret our results to mean that anthropogenic climate changes may indeed alter the water balance in the Lake Tana Basin during the next century but that the direction of change cannot be determined with confidence using the current generation of GCMs.
Overview
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Verification
Claims the paper makes
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
The self-check needs the paper’s full text.
Citations
Cites
LARGE AREA HYDROLOGIC MODELING AND ASSESSMENT PART I: MODEL DEVELOPMENT 1
Arnold, J. G., Srinivasan, R., Muttiah, R. S., & Williams, J. R. (1998) · JAWRA Journal of the American Water Resources Association · doi:10.1111/j.1752-1688.1998.tb05961.x · Cited by 7,945
Self-citationClimate Change 2007: Mitigation of Climate Change
Change, I. P. O. C. (2007) · Cambridge University Press eBooks · doi:10.1017/cbo9780511546013 · Cited by 7,729
The future of distributed models: model calibration and uncertainty prediction
Beven, K., & Binley, A. (1992) · Hydrological Processes · doi:10.1002/hyp.3360060305 · Cited by 4,527
Soil and Water Assessment Tool Theoretical Documentation Version 2009
Neitsch, S. L., Arnold, J. G., Kiniry, J. R., & Williams, J. T. (2011) · OakTrust (Texas A&M University Libraries) · Cited by 3,980
Gassman, P. W., Reyes, M. R., Green, C. H., & Arnold, J. G. (2007) · Transactions of the ASABE · doi:10.13031/2013.23637 · Cited by 3,040
Response of mean annual evapotranspiration to vegetation changes at catchment scale
Zhang, L., Dawes, W. R., & Walker, G. R. (2001) · Water Resources Research · doi:10.1029/2000wr900325 · Cited by 2,571
Fowler, H. J., Blenkinsop, S., & Tebaldi, C. (2007) · International Journal of Climatology · doi:10.1002/joc.1556 · Cited by 2,158
Modelling hydrology and water quality in the pre-alpine/alpine Thur watershed using SWAT
Abbaspour, K. C., Yang, J., Maximov, I., Siber, R., Bogner, K., Mieleitner, J., Zobrist, J., & Srinivasan, R. (2007) · Journal of Hydrology · doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2006.09.014 · Cited by 2,020
Self-citationHydrologic Implications of Dynamical and Statistical Approaches to Downscaling Climate Model Outputs
Wood, A. W., Leung, L. R., Sridhar, V., & Lettenmaier, D. P. (2004) · Climatic Change · doi:10.1023/b:clim.0000013685.99609.9e · Cited by 1,886
Brown, A. E., Zhang, L., McMahon, T. A., Western, A. W., & Vertessy, R. A. (2005) · Journal of Hydrology · doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2004.12.010 · Cited by 1,587
Cited by
Fang, G. H., Yang, J., Chen, Y. N., & Zammit, C. (2015) · Hydrology and Earth System Sciences · doi:10.5194/hess-19-2547-2015 · Cited by 552
Mango, L. M., Melesse, A. M., McClain, M. E., Gann, D., & Setegn, S. G. (2011) · Hydrology and Earth System Sciences · doi:10.5194/hess-15-2245-2011 · Cited by 473
Self-citationModeling impacts of climate change on freshwater availability in Africa
Faramarzi, M., Abbaspour, K. C., Ashraf Vaghefi, S., Farzaneh, M. R., Zehnder, A. J. B., Srinivasan, R., & Yang, H. (2013) · Journal of Hydrology · doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2012.12.016 · Cited by 254
Self-citationPour, S. H., Shahid, S., Chung, E.-S., & Wang, X.-J. (2018) · Atmospheric Research · doi:10.1016/j.atmosres.2018.06.006 · Cited by 183
Individual and combined impacts of future climate and land use changes on the water balance
Kundu, S., Khare, D., & Mondal, A. (2017) · Ecological Engineering · doi:10.1016/j.ecoleng.2017.04.061 · Cited by 142
Metadata
- Authors
- Setegn, S. G., Rayner, D., Melesse, A. M., Dargahi, B., & Srinivasan, R.
- Venue
- Water Resources Research
- Publisher
- American Geophysical Union (AGU)
- Published
- 2011-04
- Volume
- 47
- Issue
- 4
- ISSN
- 0043-1397 (ISSN-L)
- 1944-7973
- OpenAlex
- W2130408869
- Cited by
- 263
- References
- 40
- FWCI
- 7.39
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review
How to cite
Cite CoChat for the checks on this page, and the paper for its own findings.
- This page
- CoChat. (2026). Citation check: Impact of climate change on the hydroclimatology of Lake Tana Basin, Ethiopia. https://app.cochat.ai/papers/10.1029/2010wr009248
- The paper
- Setegn, S. G., Rayner, D., Melesse, A. M., Dargahi, B., & Srinivasan, R. (2011). Impact of climate change on the hydroclimatology of Lake Tana Basin, Ethiopia. Water Resources Research. https://doi.org/10.1029/2010wr009248
Data sources
Bibliographic data: Semantic Scholar, OpenAlex, Crossref.
Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).
Semantic Scholar’s data is described in: Kinney, R., et al. (2023). The Semantic Scholar Open Data Platform. arXiv:2301.10140.
