Cited by 382Climate variability and modelsMeteorological Phenomena and SimulationsClimate Change and Environmental Impact

Does higher surface temperature intensify extreme precipitation?: TEMPERATURE AND EXTREME RAINFALL

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Utsumi, Nobuyuki, Seto, Shinta, Kanae, Shinjiro, Maeda, Eduardo Eiji, Oki, Taikan·2011·Geophysical Research Letters

Abstract

Recently, against the backdrop of current climate, several regional studies have investigated the applicability of the Clausius-Clapeyron relation to the scaling relationship between extreme precipitation intensity and surface air temperature.Nevertheless, the temperature relationship of the extreme precipitation intensity on a global scale is still unclear.We assess, for the first time, the global relationship between the extreme daily precipitation intensity and the daily surface air temperature using in-situ data.The extreme daily precipitation intensity increased monotonically with the daily surface air temperature at high latitudes and decreased monotonically in the tropics.Similarly, the extreme daily precipitation intensity at middle latitudes increased at low temperatures and decreased at high temperatures; this decrease could be largely attributed to the decrease in the wet-event duration.The Clausius-Clapeyron scaling is applicable to the increase in the extreme daily precipitation intensity in a limited number of regions.However, the potential applicability of the Clausius-Clapeyron scaling on sub-hourly timescale was observed, even in regions where the Clausius-Clapeyron scaling on daily timescale was not applicable.This implies the potential of warming to intensify extreme precipitation on sub-hourly timescales.

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  • Similar behavior to the Netherlands record was found in some but not all subsequent studies in different regions.

    “Similar behavior was found in some but not all subsequent studies in different regions [10, 31, 48, 54, 87]; see [92] for an in-depth discussion.”

    From Precipitation Extremes Under Climate Change (2015) · cites this paper as [87]

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References 22 · Cited by 382

Authors
Utsumi, N., Seto, S., Kanae, S., Maeda, E. E., & Oki, T.
Affiliations
  • Institute of Industrial Science, The University of Tokyo (JP)
  • Tokyo Institute of Technology (JP)
  • European Commission (BE)
Venue
Geophysical Research Letters
Published
2011-08
Volume
38
Issue
16
Pages
n/a-n/a
ISSN
0094-8276 (ISSN-L)
OpenAlex
W2155051365
Cited by
382
References
22
Citations by year
2026: 10 · 2025: 24 · 2024: 23 · 2023: 45 · 2022: 52 · 2021: 47 · 2020: 31 · 2019: 28 · 2018: 29 · 2017: 22 · 2016: 24 · 2015: 20 · 2014: 10 · 2013: 8 · 2012: 8
FWCI
7.35
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
Locations
  • Geophysical Research Letters (publishedVersion)
  • Joint Research Centre (European Commission) (submittedVersion)
Funders
  • Ministry of Education, Culture, Sports, Science and Technology
  • Japan Society for the Promotion of Science
Topics
  • Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Climate variability and models
  • Physical Sciences › Earth and Planetary Sciences › Atmospheric Science › Meteorological Phenomena and Simulations
  • Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Climate Change and Environmental Impact
Keywords
heavy rainfall, surface air temperature, Clausius-Clapeyron scaling, precipitation intensity, global warming

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