The DOI matches its Crossref record; 1 of the 1 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Bayesian Estimation of Uncertainty in Runoff Prediction and the Value of Data: An Application of the GLUE Approach
Abstract
This paper addresses the problem of evaluating the predictive uncertainty of TOPMODEL using the Bayesian Generalised Likelihood Uncertainty Estimation (GLUE) methodology in an application to the small Ringelbach research catchment in the Vosges, France. The wide range of parameter sets giving acceptable simulations is demonstrated, and uncertainty bands are presented based on different likelihood measures. It is shown how the distributions of predicted discharges are non‐Gaussian and vary in shape through time and with discharge. Updating of the likelihood weights using Bayes equation is demonstrated after each year of record and it is shown how the additional data can be evaluated in terms of the way they constrain the uncertainty bands.
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Citations
Cites
BEVEN, K. J., & KIRKBY, M. J. (1979) · Hydrological Sciences Bulletin · doi:10.1080/02626667909491834 · Cited by 6,670
Self-citation
Cited by
Beven, K., & Freer, J. (2001) · Journal of Hydrology · doi:10.1016/s0022-1694(01)00421-8 · Cited by 2,189
Self-citationComparing uncertainty analysis techniques for a SWAT application to the Chaohe Basin in China
Yang, J., Reichert, P., Abbaspour, K. C., Xia, J., & Yang, H. (2008) · Journal of Hydrology · doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2008.05.012 · Cited by 800
Equifinality of formal (DREAM) and informal (GLUE) Bayesian approaches in hydrologic modeling?
Vrugt, J. A., ter Braak, C. J. F., Gupta, H. V., & Robinson, B. A. (2009) · Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment · doi:10.1007/s00477-008-0274-y · Cited by 455
Appraisal of the generalized likelihood uncertainty estimation (GLUE) method
Stedinger, J. R., Vogel, R. M., Lee, S. U., & Batchelder, R. (2008) · Water Resources Research · doi:10.1029/2008wr006822 · Cited by 386
Uncertainties Associated with Digital Elevation Models for Hydrologic Applications: A Review
Wechsler, S. P. (2007) · Hydrology and Earth System Sciences · doi:10.5194/hess-11-1481-2007 · Cited by 280
Metadata
- Authors
- Freer, J., Beven, K., & Ambroise, B.
- Venue
- Water Resources Research
- Publisher
- American Geophysical Union (AGU)
- Published
- 1996-07
- Volume
- 32
- Issue
- 7
- Pages
- 2161-2173
- ISSN
- 0043-1397 (ISSN-L)
- 1944-7973
- OpenAlex
- W1987017697
- Cited by
- 763
- References
- 1
- FWCI
- 21.46
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
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- Freer, J., Beven, K., & Ambroise, B. (1996). Bayesian Estimation of Uncertainty in Runoff Prediction and the Value of Data: An Application of the GLUE Approach. Water Resources Research. https://doi.org/10.1029/95wr03723
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Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).
Semantic Scholar’s data is described in: Kinney, R., et al. (2023). The Semantic Scholar Open Data Platform. arXiv:2301.10140.
