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Precipitation sensitivity to global warming: Comparison of observations with HadCM2 simulations
Abstract
Recent century‐long experiments performed with global climate models have simulated observed trends in global‐mean temperature quite successfully when both greenhouse gas and aerosol forcing has been included. The performance of these same experiments in simulating observed global‐scale changes in precipitation has not previously been examined. Here we use a gridded terrestrial precipitation dataset for the period 1900 to 1996 to examine the extent to which observed global and zonal‐mean precipitation sensitivities to global warming have been captured by a series of model simulations recently completed by the UK Hadley Centre. There are signs that the model has been able to reproduce at least some of the observed zonal‐mean variations in the precipitation sensitivity to warming. Questions remain both about the quality of the observed precipitation data and about the spatial scale at which anthropogenically‐forced global climate models can be expected to reproduce observed variations in precipitation.
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Citations
Cited by
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Huntington, T. G. (2006) · Journal of Hydrology · doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2005.07.003 · Cited by 2,374
D'Arrigo, R., Wilson, R., Liepert, B., & Cherubini, P. (2008) · Global and Planetary Change · doi:10.1016/j.gloplacha.2007.03.004 · Cited by 838
Tropical Rainfall Trends and the Indirect Aerosol Effect
Rotstayn, L. D., & Lohmann, U. (2002) · Journal of Climate · doi:10.1175/1520-0442(2002)015<2103:trtati>2.0.co;2 · Cited by 409
How reliable are climate models?
Räisänen, J. (2007) · Tellus A: Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography · doi:10.3402/tellusa.v59i1.14859 · Cited by 356
Metadata
- Authors
- Hulme, M., Osborn, T. J., & Johns, T. C.
- Venue
- Geophysical Research Letters
- Publisher
- American Geophysical Union (AGU)
- Published
- 1998-09
- Volume
- 25
- Issue
- 17
- Pages
- 3379-3382
- ISSN
- 0094-8276 (ISSN-L)
- 1944-8007
- OpenAlex
- W2073077593
- Cited by
- 393
- References
- 0
- FWCI
- 8.05
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
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- CoChat. (2026). Citation check: Precipitation sensitivity to global warming: Comparison of observations with HadCM2 simulations. https://app.cochat.ai/papers/10.1029/98gl02562
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- Hulme, M., Osborn, T. J., & Johns, T. C. (1998). Precipitation sensitivity to global warming: Comparison of observations with HadCM2 simulations. Geophysical Research Letters. https://doi.org/10.1029/98gl02562
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Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).
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