How and why criteria defining moderators and mediators differ between the Baron & Kenny and MacArthur approaches.
Open accessAbstract
OBJECTIVE: In recognition of the increasingly important role of moderators and mediators in clinical research, clear definitions are sought of the two terms to avoid inconsistent, ambiguous, and possibly misleading results across clinical research studies. DESIGN: The criteria used to define moderators and mediators proposed by the Baron & Kenny approach, which have been long used in social/behavioral research, are directly compared to the criteria proposed by the recent MacArthur approach, which modified the Baron & Kenny criteria. RESULTS: After clarifying the differences in criteria between approaches, the rationale for the modifications is clarified and the implications for the design and interpretation of future studies considered. CONCLUSIONS: Researchers may find modifications introduced in the MacArthur approach more appropriate to their research objectives, particularly if their research might have a direct influence on decision making.
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To show statistically that a variable is a mediator, several conditions must be met.
“To show statistically that a variable is a mediator, several conditions must be met (Baron & Kenny 1986, Kazdin 2007, Kraemer et al. 2008, MacKinnon et al. 2007).”
From The Role of Common Factors in Psychotherapy Outcomes (2019) · cites this paper as Kraemer et al. 2008
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References 32 · Cited by 600
- Authors
- Chmura Kraemer, H., Kiernan, M., Essex, M., & Kupfer, D. J.
- Affiliations
- Stanford Medicine (US)
- University of Wisconsin–Madison (US)
- University of Pittsburgh (US)
- Venue
- Health Psychology
- Published
- 2008
- Volume
- 27
- Issue
- 2, Suppl
- Pages
- S101-S108
- ISSN
- 0278-6133 (ISSN-L)
- 1930-7810
- PMC
- PMC3376898
- OpenAlex
- W2023501287
- Cited by
- 600
- References
- 32
- Citations by year
- 2026: 13 · 2025: 18 · 2024: 31 · 2023: 28 · 2022: 29 · 2021: 37 · 2020: 35 · 2019: 35 · 2018: 34 · 2017: 41 · 2016: 34 · 2015: 33 · 2014: 56 · 2013: 47 · 2012: 40
- FWCI
- 28.09
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- green
- www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
- Locations
- Health Psychology (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Europe PMC (PubMed Central) (acceptedVersion)
- PubMed Central (acceptedVersion)
- Funders
- MacArthur Network on Development and Psychopathology
- National Institute on Aging (AG17824)
- US Department of Veterans Affairs
- National Heart, Lung and Blood Institute (R29 HL60154)
- American Heart Association
- National Institute of Mental Health (P50 MH069315)
- University of Wisconsin-Madison
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Mathematics › Statistics and Probability › Advanced Causal Inference Techniques
- Social Sciences › Decision Sciences › Statistics, Probability and Uncertainty › Meta-analysis and systematic reviews
- Social Sciences › Decision Sciences › Management Science and Operations Research › Psychometric Methodologies and Testing
- Keywords
- moderators, mediators, mediation analysis, moderation analysis, clinical research, research design
- MeSH terms
- Behavioral Medicine, Humans, Terminology as Topic, Randomized Controlled Trials as Topic
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