The DOI matches its Crossref record; 2 of the 2 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Physically based assessment of hurricane surge threat under climate change
Open accessAbstract
Storm surges are responsible for much of the damage and loss of life associated with landfalling hurricanes. Understanding how global warming will affect hurricane surges thus holds great interest. As general circulation models (GCMs) cannot simulate hurricane surges directly, we couple a GCM-driven hurricane model with hydrodynamic models to simulate large numbers of synthetic surge events under projected climates and assess surge threat, as an example, for New York City (NYC). Struck by many intense hurricanes in recorded history and prehistory, NYC is highly vulnerable to storm surges. We show that the change of storm climatology will probably increase the surge risk for NYC; results based on two GCMs show the distribution of surge levels shifting to higher values by a magnitude comparable to the projected sea-level rise (SLR). The combined effects of storm climatology change and a 1 m SLR may cause the present NYC 100-yr surge flooding to occur every 3‐20 yr and the present 500-yr flooding to occur every 25‐240 yr by the end of the century.
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Cites
An Introduction to Statistical Modeling of Extreme Values
Coles, S. (2001) · Springer Series in Statistics · doi:10.1007/978-1-4471-3675-0 · Cited by 7,352
Tropical cyclones and climate change
Knutson, T. R., McBride, J. L., Chan, J., Emanuel, K., Holland, G., Landsea, C., Held, I., Kossin, J. P., Srivastava, A. K., & Sugi, M. (2010) · Nature Geoscience · doi:10.1038/ngeo779 · Cited by 3,194
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Cited by
Tropical cyclones and climate change
Knutson, T. R., McBride, J. L., Chan, J., Emanuel, K., Holland, G., Landsea, C., Held, I., Kossin, J. P., Srivastava, A. K., & Sugi, M. (2010) · Nature Geoscience · doi:10.1038/ngeo779 · Cited by 3,194
Self-citationKnutson, T., Camargo, S. J., Chan, J. C. L., Emanuel, K., Ho, C.-H., Kossin, J., Mohapatra, M., Satoh, M., Sugi, M., Walsh, K., et al. (2020) · Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society · doi:10.1175/bams-d-18-0194.1 · Cited by 1,356
Self-citationTropical cyclones and climate change
Walsh, K. J. E., McBride, J. L., Klotzbach, P. J., Balachandran, S., Camargo, S. J., Holland, G., Knutson, T. R., Kossin, J. P., Lee, T., Sobel, A., et al. (2016) · WIREs Climate Change · doi:10.1002/wcc.371 · Cited by 837
Coastal Flooding by Tropical Cyclones and Sea-Level Rise
Woodruff, J. D., Irish, J. L., & Camargo, S. J. (2013) · Nature · doi:10.1038/nature12855 · Cited by 819
A global reanalysis of storm surges and extreme sea levels
Muis, S., Verlaan, M., Winsemius, H. C., Aerts, J. C. J. H., & Ward, P. J. (2016) · Nature Communications · doi:10.1038/ncomms11969 · Cited by 731
Metadata
- Authors
- Lin, N., Emanuel, K., Oppenheimer, M., & Vanmarcke, E.
- Venue
- Nature Climate Change
- Published
- 2012-02-14
- Volume
- 2
- Issue
- 6
- Pages
- 462-467
- ISSN
- 1758-678X (ISSN-L)
- 1758-6798
- OpenAlex
- W2137587049
- Cited by
- 660
- References
- 2
- FWCI
- 25.91
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- green
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Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).
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