The DOI matches its Crossref record; 29 of the 29 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Increasing forest disturbances in Europe and their impact on carbon storage
Open accessAbstract
Disturbances from wind, bark beetles, and wildfires have increased in Europe's forests throughout the 20 th century 1. Climatic changes were identified as a main driver behind this increase 2, yet how the expected continuation of climate change will affect Europe's forest disturbance regime remains unresolved. Increasing disturbances could strongly impact the forest carbon budget 3,4, and are hypothesized to contribute to the recently observed carbon sink saturation in Europe's forests 5. Here we show that forest disturbance damage in Europe has continued to increase in the first decade of the 21 st century. Based on an ensemble of climate change scenarios we find that damage from wind, bark beetles, and forest fires is likely to increase further in coming decades, and estimate the rate of increase to +0.91·10 6 m 3 of timber per year until 2030. We show that this intensification can offset the effect of management strategies aiming to increase the forest carbon sink, and calculate the disturbance-related reduction of the carbon storage potential in Europe's forests to be 503.4 Tg C in 2021-2030. Our results highlight the considerable carbon cycle feedbacks of changing disturbance regimes, and underline that future forest policy and management will require a stronger focus on disturbance risk and resilience.
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“Greater fire activity is not limited to the U.S., with increases observed in regions and ecosystem types across the globe (e.g., Cochrane et al., 2003; Fairman et al., 2015; Seidl et al., 2014).”
From Wildfire Induces Changes in Receiving Waters: A Review With Considerations for Water Quality Management (2022) · cites this paper as Seidl et al., 2014
In the citing paper
“However, protection AR may have larger uncertainties because it is more prone to exposure for longer periods of time to natural disturbances such as insects, diseases, wind, and fire (45), which are not included in this study.”
From Climate-smart forestry through innovative wood products and commercial afforestation and reforestation on marginal land (2023) · cites this paper as [45]
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Cites
Warming and earlier spring increase western U.S. forest wildfire activity.
Westerling, A. L., Hidalgo, H. G., Cayan, D. R., & Swetnam, T. W. (2006) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.1128834 · Cited by 5,176
Climate change impacts, adaptive capacity, and vulnerability of European forest ecosystems
Lindner, M., Maroschek, M., Netherer, S., Kremer, A., Barbati, A., García-Gonzalo, J., Seidl, R., Delzon, S., Corona, P., Kolström, M., et al. (2009) · Forest Ecology and Management · doi:10.1016/j.foreco.2009.09.023 · Cited by 2,430
Self-citationMountain pine beetle and forest carbon feedback to climate change
Kurz, W. A., Dymond, C. C., Stinson, G., Rampley, G. J., Neilson, E. T., Carroll, A. L., Ebata, T., & Safranyik, L. (2008) · Nature · doi:10.1038/nature06777 · Cited by 1,940
Franklin, J. F., Spies, T. A., Pelt, R. V., Carey, A. B., Thornburgh, D. A., Berg, D. R., Lindenmayer, D. B., Harmon, M. E., Keeton, W. S., Shaw, D. C., et al. (2002) · Forest Ecology and Management · doi:10.1016/s0378-1127(01)00575-8 · Cited by 1,797
Raffa, K. F., Aukema, B. H., Bentz, B., Carroll, A. L., Hicke, J. A., Turner, M. G., & Romme, W. H. (2008) · BioScience · doi:10.1641/b580607 · Cited by 1,783
Climate change may cause severe loss in the economic value of European forest land
Hanewinkel, M., Cullmann, A. D., Schelhaas, M., Nabuurs, G. J., & Zimmermann, N. E. (2012) · Nature Climate Change · doi:10.1038/nclimate1687 · Cited by 1,128
Self-citationNatural disturbances in the European forests in the 19th and 20th centuries
Schelhaas, M., Nabuurs, G. J., & Schuck, A. (2003) · Global Change Biology · doi:10.1046/j.1365-2486.2003.00684.x · Cited by 1,058
Self-citationClimate-induced boreal forest change: Predictions versus current observations
Soja, A. J., Tchebakova, N. M., French, N. H. F., Flannigan, M., Shugart, H. H., Stocks, B. J., Иванович, С. А., Parfenova, E. I., Chapin, F. S., & Stackhouse, P. W. (2006) · Global and Planetary Change · doi:10.1016/j.gloplacha.2006.07.028 · Cited by 760
Continued warming could transform Greater Yellowstone fire regimes by mid-21st century
Westerling, A. L., Turner, M. G., Smithwick, E. A. H., Romme, W. H., & Ryan, M. G. (2011) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.1110199108 · Cited by 648
Unraveling the drivers of intensifying forest disturbance regimes in Europe
Seidl, R., Schelhaas, M., & Lexer, M. J. (2011) · Global Change Biology · doi:10.1111/j.1365-2486.2011.02452.x · Cited by 609
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Forest disturbances under climate change
Seidl, R., Thom, D., Kautz, M., Martin-Benito, D., Peltoniemi, M., Vacchiano, G., Wild, J., Ascoli, D., Petr, M., Honkaniemi, J., et al. (2017) · Nature Climate Change · doi:10.1038/nclimate3303 · Cited by 2,878
Self-citationPervasive shifts in forest dynamics in a changing world
McDowell, N. G., Allen, C. D., Anderson‐Teixeira, K. J., Aukema, B. H., Bond‐Lamberty, B., Chini, L. P., Clark, J. S., Dietze, M. C., Grossiord, C., Hanbury‐Brown, A. R., et al. (2020) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.aaz9463 · Cited by 1,412
Self-citationBuildings as a global carbon sink
Churkina, G., Organschi, A., Reyer, C. P. O., Ruff, A., Vinke, K., Liu, Z., Reck, B. K., Graedel, T. E., & Schellnhuber, H. J. (2020) · Nature Sustainability · doi:10.1038/s41893-019-0462-4 · Cited by 1,045
Plant functional traits have globally consistent effects on competition
Künstler, G., Falster, D. S., Coomes, D. A., Hui, F. K. C., Kooyman, R. M., Laughlin, D. C., Poorter, L., Vanderwel, M. C., Vieilledent, G., Wright, S. J., et al. (2015) · Nature · doi:10.1038/nature16476 · Cited by 1,015
How much does climate change threaten European forest tree species distributions?
Dyderski, M. K., Paź‐Dyderska, S., Frelich, L. E., & Jagodziński, A. M. (2017) · Global Change Biology · doi:10.1111/gcb.13925 · Cited by 982
Metadata
- Authors
- Seidl, R., Schelhaas, M.-J., Rammer, W., & Verkerk, P. J.
- Affiliations
- BOKU University (AT)
- Wageningen University & Research (NL)
- European Forest Institute (FI)
- Corresponding author
- Seidl, Rupert
- Venue
- Nature Climate Change
- Published
- 2014-08-03
- Volume
- 4
- Issue
- 9
- Pages
- 806-810
- ISSN
- 1758-678X (ISSN-L)
- 1758-6798
- PMC
- PMC4340567
- OpenAlex
- W2063267306
- Cited by
- 1,224
- References
- 29
- Citations by year
- 2026: 97 · 2025: 112 · 2024: 145 · 2023: 114 · 2022: 128 · 2021: 148 · 2020: 113 · 2019: 88 · 2018: 86 · 2017: 73 · 2016: 60 · 2015: 53 · 2014: 6
- FWCI
- 52.57
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Update notices
- erratum (2014-09-25)
- Open access
- green
- www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
- Locations
- Nature Climate Change (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- PubMed Central (acceptedVersion)
- Socio-Environmental Systems Modeling (acceptedVersion)
- RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (submittedVersion)
- Data Archiving and Networked Services (DANS) (submittedVersion)
- Topics
- Life Sciences › Agricultural and Biological Sciences › Forestry › Forest Management and Policy
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Fire effects on ecosystems
- Life Sciences › Agricultural and Biological Sciences › Forestry › Forest ecology and management
- Keywords
- forest disturbance, forest carbon storage, wind damage, bark beetles, forest fires, climate change, climate change scenarios, forest management, forest resilience, European forests, carbon cycle feedbacks
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