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Cited by 361Global Cancer Incidence and ScreeningCancer Risks and FactorsWomen's cancer prevention and management

The DOI matches its Crossref record; 33 of the 33 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.

Global trends and forecasts of breast cancer incidence and deaths

Open access
Xu, Yuyan, Gong, Maoyuan, Wang, Yue, Yang, Yang, Liu, Shu, Zeng, Qibing·2023·Scientific Data
DOI 10.1038/s41597-023-02253-5PMC PMC10224917
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Abstract

Breast cancer (BC) is one of the major public health challenges worldwide. Studies that address the new evidence on trends of BC are of great importance for preventing and controlling the occurrence and development of diseases and improving health. The aim of this study was to analyze the outcomes for the global burden of disease (GBD), incidence, deaths, and risk factors for BC from 1990 to 2019, and predict the GBD of BC until 2050 to inform global BC control planning efforts. In this study, the results show that the regions with low levels of socio-demographic index (SDI) will have the largest disease burden of BC in the future. The leading global risk factor for death attributable to BC in 2019 was metabolic risks, followed by behavioral risks. This study supports the worldwide urgent need for comprehensive cancer prevention and control strategies to reduce exposure, early screening, and improve treatment to effectively reduce the GBD of BC.

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Fig. 1 Global GBD and temporal trends of BC incidence in 204 countries or territories. ASR: age standardized rate; BC: breast cancer; EAPC: estimated annual percentage change; GBD: global burden of disease. (a) The ASR per 100,000 people in 1990; (b) The ASR per 100,000 people in 2019; (c) The change in cancer cases; (d) EAPC in different countries or territories.
Fig. 1 Global GBD and temporal trends of BC incidence in 204 countries or territories. ASR: age standardized rate; BC: breast cancer; EAPC: estimated annual percentage change; GBD: global burden of disease. (a) The ASR per 100,000 people in 1990; (b) The ASR per 100,000 people in 2019; (c) The change in cancer cases; (d) EAPC in different countries or territories.CC BY · PubMed Central
Fig. 2 Global GBD and temporal trends of BC deaths in 204 countries or territories. ASR: age standardized rate; BC: breast cancer; EAPC: estimated annual percentage change; GBD: global burden of disease. (a) The ASR per 100,000 people in 1990; (b) The ASR per 100,000 people in 2019; (c) The change in cancer cases; (d) EAPC in different countries or territories.
Fig. 2 Global GBD and temporal trends of BC deaths in 204 countries or territories. ASR: age standardized rate; BC: breast cancer; EAPC: estimated annual percentage change; GBD: global burden of disease. (a) The ASR per 100,000 people in 1990; (b) The ASR per 100,000 people in 2019; (c) The change in cancer cases; (d) EAPC in different countries or territories.CC BY · PubMed Central
Fig. 3 GBD of BC attributable to risk factors in 1990 and 2019. BC: breast cancer; GBD: global burden of disease; SDI, socio-demographic index.
Fig. 3 GBD of BC attributable to risk factors in 1990 and 2019. BC: breast cancer; GBD: global burden of disease; SDI, socio-demographic index.CC BY · PubMed Central
Fig. 4 Factors Influencing EAPC in the GBD. ASR: age standardized rate; ASIR: age standardized incidence rate; ASDR: age standardized death rate; BC: breast cancer; EAPC: estimated annual percentage change; GBD: global burden of disease; HDI: human development index. (a) The correlation between EAPC and ASR in 1990. (b) The correlation between EAPC and ASR in 2019. (c) The correlation between EAPC and HDI in 1990. (d) The correlation between EAPC and HDI in 2019.
Fig. 4 Factors Influencing EAPC in the GBD. ASR: age standardized rate; ASIR: age standardized incidence rate; ASDR: age standardized death rate; BC: breast cancer; EAPC: estimated annual percentage change; GBD: global burden of disease; HDI: human development index. (a) The correlation between EAPC and ASR in 1990. (b) The correlation between EAPC and ASR in 2019. (c) The correlation between EAPC and HDI in 1990. (d) The correlation between EAPC and HDI in 2019.CC BY · PubMed Central
Fig. 5 Future Forecasts of GBD in BC. ASIR: age standardized incidence rate; ASDR: age standardized death rate; BC: breast cancer. (a) The ASIR per 100,000 for male; (b) The ASDR per 100,000 for male; (c) The ASIR per 100,000 for female; (d) The ASDR per 100,000 for female.
Fig. 5 Future Forecasts of GBD in BC. ASIR: age standardized incidence rate; ASDR: age standardized death rate; BC: breast cancer. (a) The ASIR per 100,000 for male; (b) The ASDR per 100,000 for male; (c) The ASIR per 100,000 for female; (d) The ASDR per 100,000 for female.CC BY · PubMed Central

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Metadata

Authors
Xu, Y., Gong, M., Wang, Y., Yang, Y., Liu, S., & Zeng, Q.
Affiliations
  • Guiyang Medical University (CN)
  • Affiliated Hospital of Guizhou Medical University (CN)
Corresponding author
  • Liu, Shu
  • Zeng, Qibing
ORCID
Venue
Scientific Data
Publisher
Springer Science and Business Media LLC
Published
2023-05-27
Volume
10
Issue
1
Pages
334-334
ISSN
2052-4463 (ISSN-L)
DOI
10.1038/s41597-023-02253-5
PMC
PMC10224917
OpenAlex
W4378574331
Cited by
361
References
33
Citations by year
2026: 96 · 2025: 145 · 2024: 110 · 2023: 10
Type
data paper
Language
en
Open access
Licence
Locations
  • Scientific Data (publishedVersion, cc-by)
  • PubMed Central (publishedVersion, cc-by)
  • PubMed (publishedVersion)
  • DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals) (submittedVersion, cc-by-sa)
Funders
National Key Research and Development Program of China (2017YFC0907301)
Topics
  • Health Sciences › Medicine › Oncology › Global Cancer Incidence and Screening
  • Health Sciences › Medicine › Oncology › Cancer Risks and Factors
  • Health Sciences › Medicine › Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health › Women's cancer prevention and management
Keywords
breast cancer, global burden of disease, breast cancer incidence, breast cancer mortality, risk factors, socioeconomic status, metabolic risk factors, behavioral risk factors, cancer prevention, cancer control planning, incidence and mortality trends, 2050 projections
MeSH terms
Global Burden of Disease, Breast Neoplasms, Female, Humans, Risk Factors, Incidence, Quality-Adjusted Life Years

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CoChat. (2026). Citation check: Global trends and forecasts of breast cancer incidence and deaths. https://app.cochat.ai/papers/10.1038/s41597-023-02253-5
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Xu, Y., Gong, M., Wang, Y., Yang, Y., Liu, S., & Zeng, Q. (2023). Global trends and forecasts of breast cancer incidence and deaths. Scientific Data. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41597-023-02253-5

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Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).

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