The DOI matches its Crossref record; 35 of the 35 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Urban land expansion: the role of population and economic growth for 300+ cities
Open accessAbstract
Global urban populations are projected to increase by 2.5 billion over the next 30 years. Yet, there is limited understanding of how this growth will affect urban land expansion (ULE). Here, we develop a large-scale study to test explicitly the relative importance of urban population and Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth in affecting ULE for different regions, economic development levels and governance types for 300+ cities. Our results show that population growth, more than GDP, is consistently the dominant determinant of ULE during 1970–2014. However, the effect of GDP growth on ULE increases in importance after 2000. In countries with strong governance, economic growth contributes more to ULE than population growth. We find that urban population growth and ULE are correlated but this relationship varies for countries at different developmental stages. Lastly, this study illustrates that good governance is a necessary condition for economic growth to affect ULE.
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Cites
Technical Change and the Aggregate Production Function
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The Worldwide Governance Indicators: Methodology and Analytical Issues
Kaufmann, D., Kraay, A., & Mastruzzi, M. (2011) · Hague Journal on the Rule of Law · doi:10.1017/s1876404511200046 · Cited by 5,621
The Next Generation of the Penn World Table
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Climate change 2007 - mitigation of climate change
Metz, B., Davidson, O. R., Bösch, P., Dave, R., & Meyer, L. (2007) · Cited by 3,484
A Meta-Analysis of Global Urban Land Expansion
Seto, K. C., Fragkias, M., Güneralp, B., & Reilly, M. K. (2011) · PLoS ONE · doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0023777 · Cited by 2,344
Self-citationThe Origins of Scaling in Cities
Bettencourt, L. M. A. (2013) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.1235823 · Cited by 1,480
Future urban land expansion and implications for global croplands
Bren d’Amour, C., Reitsma, F., Baiocchi, G., Barthel, S., Güneralp, B., Erb, K.-H., Haberl, H., Creutzig, F., & Seto, K. C. (2017) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.1606036114 · Cited by 1,378
Self-citationThe dimensions of global urban expansion: Estimates and projections for all countries, 2000–2050
Angel, S., Parent, J., Civco, D. L., Blei, A., & Potere, D. (2011) · Progress in Planning · doi:10.1016/j.progress.2011.04.001 · Cited by 1,343
Research gaps in knowledge of the impact of urban growth on biodiversity
McDonald, R. I., Mansur, A. V., Ascensão, F., Colbert, M., Crossman, K., Elmqvist, T., Gonzalez, A., Güneralp, B., Haase, D., Hamann, M., et al. (2019) · Nature Sustainability · doi:10.1038/s41893-019-0436-6 · Cited by 600
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Metadata
- Authors
- Mahtta, R., Fragkias, M., Güneralp, B., Mahendra, A., Reba, M., Wentz, E. A., & Seto, K. C.
- Venue
- npj Urban Sustainability
- Published
- 2022-02-11
- Volume
- 2
- Issue
- 1
- ISSN
- 2661-8001 (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W4211243518
- Cited by
- 404
- References
- 35
- FWCI
- 30.00
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- gold
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- Mahtta, R., Fragkias, M., Güneralp, B., Mahendra, A., Reba, M., Wentz, E. A., & Seto, K. C. (2022). Urban land expansion: the role of population and economic growth for 300+ cities. npj Urban Sustainability. https://doi.org/10.1038/s42949-022-00048-y
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