Inference of missing data in photovoltaic monitoring datasets

Abstract

Photovoltaic (PV) systems are frequently covered by performance guarantees, which are often based on attaining a certain performance ratio (PR). Climatic and electrical data are collected on site to verify that these guarantees are met or that the systems are working well. However, in‐field data acquisition commonly suffers from data loss, sometimes for prolonged periods of time, making this assessment impossible or at the very best introducing significant uncertainties. This study presents a method to mitigate this issue based on back‐filling missing data. Typical cases of data loss are considered and a method to infer this is presented and validated. Synthetic performance data is generated based on interpolated environmental data and a trained empirical electrical model. A case study is subsequently used to validate the method. Accuracy of the approach is examined by creating artificial data loss in two closely monitored PV modules. A missing month of energy readings has been replenished, reproducing PR with an average daily and monthly mean bias error of about −1 and −0.02%, respectively, for a crystalline silicon module. The PR is a key property which is required for the warranty verification, and the proposed method yields reliable results in order to achieve this.