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Global sea level linked to global temperature
Open accessAbstract
We propose a simple relationship linking global sea-level variations on time scales of decades to centuries to global mean temperature. This relationship is tested on synthetic data from a global climate model for the past millennium and the next century. When applied to observed data of sea level and temperature for 1880–2000, and taking into account known anthropogenic hydrologic contributions to sea level, the correlation is >0.99, explaining 98% of the variance. For future global temperature scenarios of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change's Fourth Assessment Report, the relationship projects a sea-level rise ranging from 75 to 190 cm for the period 1990–2100.
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Cramer, W., Guiot, J., Fader, M., Garrabou, J., Gattuso, J.-P., Iglesias, A., Lange, M. A., Lionello, P., Llasat, M. C., Paz, S., et al. (2018) · Nature Climate Change · doi:10.1038/s41558-018-0299-2 · Cited by 1,540
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Kates, R. W., Travis, W. R., & Wilbanks, T. J. (2012) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.1115521109 · Cited by 1,289
Sea-level rise and its possible impacts given a ‘beyond 4°C world’ in the twenty-first century
Nicholls, R. J., Marinova, N., Lowe, J. A., Brown, S., Vellinga, P., de Gusmão, D., Hinkel, J., & Tol, R. S. J. (2011) · Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences · doi:10.1098/rsta.2010.0291 · Cited by 555
Metadata
- Authors
- Vermeer, M., & Rahmstorf, S.
- Venue
- Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
- Published
- 2009-12-22
- Volume
- 106
- Issue
- 51
- Pages
- 21527-21532
- ISSN
- 0027-8424 (ISSN-L)
- 1091-6490
- OpenAlex
- W2065232353
- Cited by
- 1,219
- References
- 1
- FWCI
- 60.96
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- green
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- Vermeer, M., & Rahmstorf, S. (2009). Global sea level linked to global temperature. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.0907765106
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Bibliographic data: Semantic Scholar, OpenAlex, Crossref.
Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).
Semantic Scholar’s data is described in: Kinney, R., et al. (2023). The Semantic Scholar Open Data Platform. arXiv:2301.10140.
