The DOI matches its Crossref record; 1 of the 1 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Reconciling anthropogenic climate change with observed temperature 1998–2008
Open accessAbstract
Given the widely noted increase in the warming effects of rising greenhouse gas concentrations, it has been unclear why global surface temperatures did not rise between 1998 and 2008. We find that this hiatus in warming coincides with a period of little increase in the sum of anthropogenic and natural forcings. Declining solar insolation as part of a normal eleven-year cycle, and a cyclical change from an El Nino to a La Nina dominate our measure of anthropogenic effects because rapid growth in short-lived sulfur emissions partially offsets rising greenhouse gas concentrations. As such, we find that recent global temperature records are consistent with the existing understanding of the relationship among global surface temperature, internal variability, and radiative forcing, which includes anthropogenic factors with well known warming and cooling effects.
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Cites
Lamarque, J.-F., Bond, T. C., Eyring, V., Granier, C., Heil, A., Klimont, Z., Lee, D., Liousse, C., Mieville, A., Owen, B., et al. (2010) · Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics · doi:10.5194/acp-10-7017-2010 · Cited by 2,105
Cited by
Tatebe, H., Ogura, T., Nitta, T., Komuro, Y., Ogochi, K., Takemura, T., Sudo, K., Sekiguchi, M., Abe, M., Saito, F., et al. (2019) · Geoscientific Model Development · doi:10.5194/gmd-12-2727-2019 · Cited by 1,121
Coverage bias in the HadCRUT4 temperature series and its impact on recent temperature trends
Cowtan, K., & Way, R. G. (2014) · Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society · doi:10.1002/qj.2297 · Cited by 645
Seasonal climate predictability and forecasting: status and prospects
Doblas‐Reyes, F. J., García‐Serrano, J., Lienert, F., Biescas, A. P., & Rodrigues, L. R. L. (2013) · WIREs Climate Change · doi:10.1002/wcc.217 · Cited by 478
Reconciling controversies about the ‘global warming hiatus’
Medhaug, I., Stolpe, M. B., Fischer, E. M., & Knutti, R. (2017) · Nature · doi:10.1038/nature22315 · Cited by 455
Deo, R. C., & Şahin, M. (2015) · Atmospheric Research · doi:10.1016/j.atmosres.2014.10.016 · Cited by 317
Metadata
- Authors
- Kaufmann, R. K., Kauppi, H., Mann, M. L., & Stock, J. H.
- Venue
- Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
- Published
- 2011-07-05
- Volume
- 108
- Issue
- 29
- Pages
- 11790-11793
- ISSN
- 0027-8424 (ISSN-L)
- 1091-6490
- OpenAlex
- W1978324348
- Cited by
- 366
- References
- 1
- FWCI
- 22.89
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- green
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- Kaufmann, R. K., Kauppi, H., Mann, M. L., & Stock, J. H. (2011). Reconciling anthropogenic climate change with observed temperature 1998–2008. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1102467108
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Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).
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