The DOI matches its Crossref record; 37 of the 37 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Continent-wide risk assessment for the establishment of nonindigenous species in Antarctica
Open accessAbstract
Invasive alien species are among the primary causes of biodiversity change globally, with the risks thereof broadly understood for most regions of the world. They are similarly thought to be among the most significant conservation threats to Antarctica, especially as climate change proceeds in the region. However, no comprehensive, continent-wide evaluation of the risks to Antarctica posed by such species has been undertaken. Here we do so by sampling, identifying, and mapping the vascular plant propagules carried by all categories of visitors to Antarctica during the International Polar Year's first season (2007–2008) and assessing propagule establishment likelihood based on their identity and origins and on spatial variation in Antarctica's climate. For an evaluation of the situation in 2100, we use modeled climates based on the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change's Special Report on Emissions Scenarios Scenario A1B [Nakićenović N, Swart R, eds (2000) Special Report on Emissions Scenarios: A Special Report of Working Group III of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK)]. Visitors carrying seeds average 9.5 seeds per person, although as vectors, scientists carry greater propagule loads than tourists. Annual tourist numbers (∼33,054) are higher than those of scientists (∼7,085), thus tempering these differences in propagule load. Alien species establishment is currently most likely for the Western Antarctic Peninsula. Recent founder populations of several alien species in this area corroborate these findings. With climate change, risks will grow in the Antarctic Peninsula, Ross Sea, and East Antarctic coastal regions. Our evidence-based assessment demonstrates which parts of Antarctica are at growing risk from alien species that may become invasive and provides the means to mitigate this threat now and into the future as the continent's climate changes.
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Citations
Cites
Ecological responses to recent climate change.
Walther, G.-R., Post, E., Convey, P., Menzel, A., Parmesan, C., Beebee, T. J. C., Fromentin, J.-M., Hoegh-Guldberg, O., & Bairlein, F. (2002) · Nature · doi:10.1038/416389a · Cited by 9,975
Special report on emissions scenarios
Nakićenović, N., Alcamo, J., Davis, G. R., de Vries, B. J. M., Fenhann, J. V., Gaffin, S., Gregory, K., Grübler, A., Jung, T. Y., Kram, T., et al. (2000) · Cited by 6,085
MERRA: NASA’s Modern-Era Retrospective Analysis for Research and Applications
Rienecker, M. M., Suarez, M. J., Gelaro, R., Todling, R., Bacmeister, J., Liu, E., Bosilovich, M. G., Schubert, S. D., Takacs, L., Kim, G.-K., et al. (2011) · Journal of Climate · doi:10.1175/jcli-d-11-00015.1 · Cited by 4,852
Trade, transport and trouble: managing invasive species pathways in an era of globalization
Hulme, P. E. (2009) · Journal of Applied Ecology · doi:10.1111/j.1365-2664.2008.01600.x · Cited by 2,615
Alien species in a warmer world: risks and opportunities
Walther, G.-R., Roques, A., Hulme, P. E., Sykes, M. T., Pyšek, P., Kühn, I., Zobel, M., Bacher, S., Botta-Dukát, Z., & Bugmann, H. (2009) · Trends in Ecology & Evolution · doi:10.1016/j.tree.2009.06.008 · Cited by 1,424
Invasive Species, Environmental Change and Management, and Health
Pyšek, P., & Richardson, D. M. (2010) · Annual Review of Environment and Resources · doi:10.1146/annurev-environ-033009-095548 · Cited by 1,406
Grasping at the routes of biological invasions: a framework for integrating pathways into policy
Hulme, P. E., Bacher, S., Kenis, M., Klotz, S., Kühn, I., Minchin, D., Nentwig, W., Olenin, S., Panov, V., Pergl, J., et al. (2008) · Journal of Applied Ecology · doi:10.1111/j.1365-2664.2007.01442.x · Cited by 1,044
Are invasive species the drivers of ecological change?
Didham, R. K., Tylianakis, J. M., Hutchison, M. A., Ewers, R. M., & Gemmell, N. J. (2005) · Trends in Ecology & Evolution · doi:10.1016/j.tree.2005.07.006 · Cited by 880
Biological invasions in the Antarctic: extent, impacts and implications
Frenot, Y., Chown, S. L., Whinam, J., Selkirk, P. M., Convey, P., Skotnicki, M., & Bergstrom, D. M. (2005) · Biological Reviews · doi:10.1017/s1464793104006542 · Cited by 714
Self-citationLockwood, J. L., Cassey, P., & Blackburn, T. M. (2009) · Diversity and Distributions · doi:10.1111/j.1472-4642.2009.00594.x · Cited by 620
Cited by
Biological invasions, climate change and genomics
Chown, S. L., Hodgins, K. A., Griffin, P. C., Oakeshott, J. G., Byrne, M., & Hoffmann, A. A. (2015) · Evolutionary Applications · doi:10.1111/eva.12234 · Cited by 284
Self-citationBuckley, Y. M., & Catford, J. (2016) · Journal of Ecology · doi:10.1111/1365-2745.12501 · Cited by 163
Heindler, F. M., Alajmi, F., Huerlimann, R., Zeng, C., Newman, S. J., Vamvounis, G., & van Herwerden, L. (2017) · Ecotoxicology and Environmental Safety · doi:10.1016/j.ecoenv.2017.03.029 · Cited by 147
Islands in the ice: Potential impacts of habitat transformation on Antarctic biodiversity
Lee, J. R., Waterman, M. J., Shaw, J. D., Bergstrom, D. M., Lynch, H. J., Wall, D. H., & Robinson, S. A. (2022) · Global Change Biology · doi:10.1111/gcb.16331 · Cited by 74
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Metadata
- Authors
- Chown, S. L., Huiskes, A. H. L., Gremmen, N. J. M., Lee, J. E., Terauds, A., Crosbie, K., Frenot, Y., Hughes, K. A., Imura, S., Kiefer, K., Lebouvier, M., Raymond, B., Tsujimoto, M., Ware, C., Van de Vijver, B., & Bergstrom, D. M.
- Venue
- Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
- Published
- 2012-03-05
- Volume
- 109
- Issue
- 13
- Pages
- 4938-4943
- ISSN
- 0027-8424 (ISSN-L)
- 1091-6490
- OpenAlex
- W2155546647
- Cited by
- 369
- References
- 37
- FWCI
- 27.55
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- green
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- Chown, S. L., Huiskes, A. H. L., Gremmen, N. J. M., Lee, J. E., Terauds, A., Crosbie, K., Frenot, Y., Hughes, K. A., Imura, S., Kiefer, K., Lebouvier, M., Raymond, B., Tsujimoto, M., Ware, C., Van de Vijver, B., & Bergstrom, D. M. (2012). Continent-wide risk assessment for the establishment of nonindigenous species in Antarctica. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1119787109
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Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).
Semantic Scholar’s data is described in: Kinney, R., et al. (2023). The Semantic Scholar Open Data Platform. arXiv:2301.10140.
