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Mechanisms for low-frequency variability of summer Arctic sea ice extent
Open accessAbstract
Significance: The observed decline in summer Arctic sea ice has often been attributed, in large part, to the increase in greenhouse gases. However, the contributions from internal low-frequency variability in the climate system are not well understood. Here a multiple regression model is developed for the first time, to the author’s knowledge, to quantify the contributions of three key predictors on the internal low-frequency variability of summer Arctic sea ice extent. If the ocean heat transport into the Arctic were to weaken in the near future due to internal variability, there might be a hiatus in the decline of September Arctic sea ice, and a delay in attaining a summer ice-free Arctic. This plausible scenario with broad ecological and economic impacts should not be ignored.
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Cited by
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Held, I. M., Guo, H., Adcroft, A., Dunne, J. P., Horowitz, L. W., Krasting, J., Shevliakova, E., Winton, M., Zhao, M., Bushuk, M., et al. (2019) · Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems · doi:10.1029/2019ms001829 · Cited by 594
Self-citationZhang, R., Sutton, R., Danabasoglu, G., Kwon, Y., Marsh, R., Yeager, S. G., Amrhein, D. E., & Little, C. M. (2019) · Reviews of Geophysics · doi:10.1029/2019rg000644 · Cited by 573
Self-citationClimate impacts of a weakened Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation in a warming climate
Liu, W., Fedorov, A. V., Xie, S.-P., & Hu, S. (2020) · Science Advances · doi:10.1126/sciadv.aaz4876 · Cited by 322
The Tuning Strategy of IPSL‐CM6A‐LR
Mignot, J., Hourdin, F., Deshayes, J., Boucher, O., Gastineau, G., Musat, I., Vancoppenolle, M., Servonnat, J., Caubel, A., Chéruy, F., et al. (2021) · Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems · doi:10.1029/2020ms002340 · Cited by 36
Metadata
- Authors
- Zhang, R.
- Venue
- Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
- Published
- 2015-03-30
- Volume
- 112
- Issue
- 15
- Pages
- 4570-4575
- ISSN
- 0027-8424 (ISSN-L)
- 1091-6490
- OpenAlex
- W2008397484
- Cited by
- 209
- References
- 0
- FWCI
- 13.75
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- green
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- Zhang, R. (2015). Mechanisms for low-frequency variability of summer Arctic sea ice extent. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1422296112
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Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).
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