Economic and social consequences of human mobility restrictions under COVID-19
Open accessAbstract
Significance: This paper presents a large-scale analysis of the impact of lockdown measures introduced in response to the spread of novel coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) on socioeconomic conditions of Italian citizens. We leverage a massive near–real-time dataset of human mobility and we model mobility restrictions as an exogenous shock to the economy, similar to a natural disaster. We find that lockdown measures have a twofold effect: First, their impact on mobility is stronger in municipalities with higher fiscal capacity; second, they induce a segregation effect: mobility contraction is stronger in municipalities where inequality is higher and income per capita is lower. We highlight the necessity of fiscal measures that account for these effects, targeting poverty and inequality mitigation.
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Mobility restrictions are effective in flattening the curve but immediately affected the economy and societal functions.
“Although mobility restrictions are effective in flattening the curve they immediately affected the economy and societal functions [103].”
From Human-centred artificial intelligence for mobile health sensing: challenges and opportunities (2023) · cites this paper as [103]
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References 26 · Cited by 1,004
Research works printed but not linked: 1
- [17]M. Newman, Networks (Oxford University Press, 2018).
- Authors
- Bonaccorsi, G., Pierri, F., Cinelli, M., Flori, A., Galeazzi, A., Porcelli, F., Schmidt, A. L., Valensise, C. M., Scala, A., Quattrociocchi, W., & Pammolli, F.
- Affiliations
- Politecnico di Milano (IT)
- Institute for Complex Systems (IT)
- University of Brescia (IT)
- University of Bari Aldo Moro (IT)
- Department of Environmental Sciences, Informatics and Statistics, Università Ca’Foscari di Venezia, 30123 Venizia, Italy;
- Istituto dei Sistemi Complessi, Consiglio Nazionale delle Ricerche, 00185 Rome, Italy;
- Ca' Foscari University of Venice (IT)
- Impact, Department of Management, Economics and Industrial Engineering, Politecnico di Milano, 20156 Milano, Italy;
- Corresponding author
- Bonaccorsi, Giovanni
- ORCID
- Venue
- Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
- Publisher
- National Academy of Sciences
- Published
- 2020-06-18
- Volume
- 117
- Issue
- 27
- Pages
- 15530-15535
- ISSN
- 0027-8424 (ISSN-L)
- 1091-6490
- PMC
- PMC7355033
- OpenAlex
- W3023863810
- Cited by
- 1,004
- References
- 26
- Citations by year
- 2026: 29 · 2025: 54 · 2024: 90 · 2023: 148 · 2022: 241 · 2021: 333 · 2020: 108 · 2019: 1
- FWCI
- 176.46
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- hybrid
- doi.org
- Licence
- Locations
- Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (publishedVersion, cc-by-nc-nd)
- PubMed Central (publishedVersion, cc-by-nc-nd)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- arXiv (Cornell University) (submittedVersion)
- Virtual Community of Pathological Anatomy (University of Castilla La Mancha) (submittedVersion, other-oa)
- RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (submittedVersion)
- IRIS Research product catalog (Sapienza University of Rome) (submittedVersion, cc-by-nc-sa)
- ARCA (Università Ca' Foscari Venezia) (submittedVersion, other-oa)
- CINECA IRIS Institutional Research Information System (University of Bari Aldo Moro) (submittedVersion)
- Padua Research Archive (University of Padova) (submittedVersion, other-oa)
- arXiv (Cornell University)
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Economics, Econometrics and Finance › Economics and Econometrics › COVID-19 Pandemic Impacts
- Social Sciences › Transportation › Human Mobility and Location-Based Analysis
- Social Sciences › Political Science and International Relations › Local Government Finance and Decentralization
- Keywords
- COVID-19 lockdown, mobility restrictions, social segregation, income inequality, municipal fiscal capacity, local government revenue, poverty, Italian municipalities
- MeSH terms
- COVID-19, Humans, Italy, Pneumonia, Viral, Quarantine, Socioeconomic Factors, Travel, Coronavirus Infections, Pandemics
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