The DOI matches its Crossref record.
Impact of vaccination on the spatial correlation and persistence of measles dynamics.
Open accessAbstract
The onset of measles vaccination in England and Wales in 1968 coincided with a marked drop in the temporal correlation of epidemic patterns between major cities. We analyze a variety of hypotheses for the mechanisms driving this change. Straightforward stochastic models suggest that the interaction between a lowered susceptible population (and hence increased demographic noise) and nonlinear dynamics is sufficient to cause the observed drop in correlation. The decorrelation of epidemics could potentially lessen the chance of global extinction and so inhibit attempts at measles eradication.
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Cited by
Spatial Synchrony in Population Dynamics
Liebhold, A., Koenig, W. D., & Bjørnstad, O. N. (2004) · Annual Review of Ecology, Evolution, and Systematics · doi:10.1146/annurev.ecolsys.34.011802.132516 · Cited by 965
The impact of COVID-19 nonpharmaceutical interventions on the future dynamics of endemic infections
Baker, R. E., Park, S. W., Yang, W., Vecchi, G. A., Metcalf, C. J. E., & Grenfell, B. T. (2020) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.2013182117 · Cited by 587
Self-citationSeasonal infectious disease epidemiology
Grassly, N. C., & Fraser, C. (2006) · Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences · doi:10.1098/rspb.2006.3604 · Cited by 574
Metadata
- Authors
- Bolker, B. M., & Grenfell, B. T.
- Venue
- Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
- Published
- 1996-10-29
- Volume
- 93
- Issue
- 22
- Pages
- 12648-12653
- ISSN
- 0027-8424 (ISSN-L)
- 1091-6490
- OpenAlex
- W2040539214
- Cited by
- 158
- References
- 0
- FWCI
- 6.36
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- green
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- CoChat. (2026). Citation check: Impact of vaccination on the spatial correlation and persistence of measles dynamics. https://app.cochat.ai/papers/10.1073/pnas.93.22.12648
- The paper
- Bolker, B. M., & Grenfell, B. T. (1996). Impact of vaccination on the spatial correlation and persistence of measles dynamics. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.93.22.12648
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Bibliographic data: Semantic Scholar, OpenAlex, Crossref.
Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).
Semantic Scholar’s data is described in: Kinney, R., et al. (2023). The Semantic Scholar Open Data Platform. arXiv:2301.10140.
