CoChat
Sign Up
Cited by 19Demographic Trends and Gender PreferencesReproductive Health and ContraceptionSocial Policies and Family

The DOI matches its Crossref record.

The Islamic Republic of Iran’s New Population Policy and Recent Changes in Fertility

Open access
Ladier-Fouladi, Marie·2021·Iranian Studies
DOI 10.1080/00210862.2021.1884970
Open this paper in CoChat — free account

Abstract

After dropping rapidly and steadily over two decades, fertility in Iran stabilized between 2001 and 2011 at around 1.9 to 2 children per woman, before starting to rise slightly between 2012 and 2016, then falling fairly quickly. This coincided with the implementation of the Islamic Republic’s new population policy, with its aggressive and coercive measures, one of whose goals was to reverse the downwards trend in fertility. Given changes in proximate and remote determinants of fertility in Iran, and the decline in fertility since 2016, it is assumed that this new population policy triggered a reduction in intervals between births between 2012 and 2015, leading to a slight rise in the fertility of already married couples. The other latent objective of the Islamic Republic’s new population policy is to drive Iran’s population up to 150 million inhabitants in the near future. This is utopian given Iran’s demographic dynamics, but it conceals the political and ideological goal of asserting Iran’s demographic and geopolitical significance within the region, by drawing on a novel immigration policy to make up for its low fertility.

Overview

Integrity signals

Registry

Crossref · 10.1080/00210862.2021.1884970

Cites

Statistics

Recomputing p-values needs the paper’s full text.

Verification

Claims the paper makes

We couldn’t retrieve this paper’s full text, so its claims and self-check weren’t run. The registry and citation checks still apply.

Claims other papers make about this one

Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?

Citations

Cites

Still being checked.

Research works printed but not linked: 20

  1. 10.1515/pophzn-2016-0005 · DOI
  2. 10.2307/1964793 · DOI
  3. 10.3917/pope.605.0701 · DOI
  4. Moore, 1977, The Population of Iran: A Selection of Readings, 282
  5. Ladier-Fouladi, 2009, Iran un monde de paradoxes
  6. 10.4054/DemRes.2015.32.58 · DOI
  7. De Bel-Air, 2017, Quand la fécondité repart à la hausse de l’Égypte à la Jordanie, Orient, XXI
  8. 10.2307/1973603 · DOI
  9. 2018, Annuaire des statistiques démographiques
  10. Fathi, 2019, Prospects for Fertility in Iran from 2016 to 2018 (Tchashm andazi bar barvari dar iran az sal-e 1395 ta 1398)
  11. Ladier-Fouladi, 2020, La République islamique vue de l’intérieur
  12. Azad Armaki, 2012, Living Together: Emergence of New Family Form in Tehran (Ham Khânegi; peydâyesh shecklhây-e djadid khânevadeh dar tehran), Cultural Sociology (Jâme’eh pajouhi-ye farhangi), 3, 43
  13. Malek Afzali, Hossein . “Jamiyat va tanzime khânevâdeh dar joumhouri-e eslâmi-e irân” [Population and Family Planning under the Islamic Republic of Iran]. Nabz [Pulse] no. 2 (1992): 3–7.
  14. General Population and Housing Census of 1966, 1976, 1986, 1996, 2006 and 2016 (sar shomarie oumoumi nofous va maskan 1345, 1355, 1365, 1375, 1385, 1395), Statistical Center of Iran.
  15. Ladier-Fouladi, 2003, Population et politique en Iran: De la monarchie à la République islamique
  16. 1993, An Analysis of Population Situation in the Islamic Republic of Iran
  17. Aghajanian, 1989, Fertility Policies of Asian Countries, 228
  18. Ladier-Fouladi, Marie . “The Fertility Transition in Iran.” Population: An English Selection no. 9 (1997): 191–214.
  19. 2017, A Selection of Labor Force Survey Results 2016 (Tchekideh tarheh âmârguiri nirouyeh kar sâle 1395)
  20. Ladier-Fouladi, 2012, Iran from the Theocracy to the Green Movement, 137

Cited by

Sorted by citations

Metadata

Authors
Ladier-Fouladi, M.
Affiliations
Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (FR)
Corresponding author
Ladier-Fouladi, Marie
ORCID
Ladier-Fouladi, Marie
Venue
Iranian Studies
Publisher
Cambridge University Press (CUP)
Published
2021-11-02
Volume
54
Issue
5-6
Pages
907-930
ISSN
  • 0021-0862 (ISSN-L)
  • 1475-4819
DOI
10.1080/00210862.2021.1884970
OpenAlex
W3134458159
Cited by
19
References
0
Citations by year
2026: 5 · 2025: 5 · 2024: 4 · 2023: 4 · 2022: 1
FWCI
3.13
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
Licence
Locations
  • Iranian Studies (publishedVersion)
  • HAL (submittedVersion, other-oa)
Topics
  • Social Sciences › Gender Studies › Demographic Trends and Gender Preferences
  • Health Sciences › Medicine › Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health › Reproductive Health and Contraception
  • Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Social Policies and Family
Keywords
population policy, fertility trends, birth interval, fertility determinants, immigration policy, Iran

About these checks

Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.

Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.

Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.

What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›

Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review