Cited by 313Family Dynamics and RelationshipsIntergenerational and Educational Inequality StudiesReproductive Health and Contraception

Fertility postponement is largely due to rising educational enrolment

Open access
Ní Bhrolcháin, Máire, Beaujouan, Éva·2012·Population Studies

Abstract

The rise in educational enrolment is often cited as a possible cause of the trend to later childbearing in developed societies but direct evidence of its contribution to the aggregate change in fertility tempo is scarce. We show that rising enrolment, resulting in later ages at the end of education, accounts for a substantial part of the upward shift in the mean age at first birth in the 1980s and 1990s in Britain and in France. The postponement of first birth over that period has two components: a longer average period of enrolment and a post-enrolment component that is also related to educational level. The relationship between rising educational participation and the move to later fertility timing is almost certainly causal. Our findings therefore suggest that fertility tempo change is rooted in macro-economic and structural forces rather than in the cultural domain.

The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.

Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.

A few free checks a day · papers already verified open instantly · results are public

Integrity signals

Registry

Crossref · 10.1080/00324728.2012.697569

Cites

Statistics

Claims the paper makes

The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.

Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.

A few free checks a day · papers already verified open instantly · results are public

Self-check

Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.

The self-check needs the paper’s full text.

The citation lists haven’t been fetched yet

References 76 · Cited by 313

Research works printed but not linked: 6

  1. Neels K. Fertility postponement: cultural dynamics or structural change? 2006 Paper presented at Session 9 ‘Late fertility, twinning, and reproductive technologies’, European Population Conference, Liverpool, June. Available: http://epc2006.princeton.edu/abstractViewer.aspx?submissionId=60310 (accessed: May 2012)
  2. Neels K. Postponement and recuperation of cohort fertility 2009 Paper presented at Session 209 ‘The tempo and quantum of life cycle events’, IUSSP General Conference, Marrakesh, September-October. Available: iussp2009.princeton.edu/download.aspx?submissionld=92062 (accessed: May 2012)
  3. Oppenheimer V. K. Blossfeld H.-P. Wackerow A. Blossfeld H.-P. United States of America The New Role of Women. Family Formation in Modern Societies 1995 Oxford Westview Press 150 173
  4. Pinnelli A. De Rose A. Blossfeld H.-P. Italy The New Role of Women. Family Formation in Modern Societies 1995 Oxford Westview Press 174 190
  5. Robert P. Blossfeld H.-P. Blossfeld H.-P Hungary The New Role of Women. Family Formation in Modern Societies 1995 Oxford Westview Press 211 226
  6. Winkler-Dworak M. Toulemon L. Gender differences in the transition to adulthood in France: is there convergence over the recent period? European Journal of Population—Revue europeenne de Demographie 2007 23 3/4 273 314

Authors
Ní Bhrolcháin, M., & Beaujouan, É.
Affiliations
  • a University of Southampton
  • University of Southampton (GB)
Venue
Population Studies
Published
2012-08-14
Volume
66
Issue
3
Pages
311-327
ISSN
  • 0032-4728 (ISSN-L)
  • 1477-4747
OpenAlex
W2001155830
Cited by
313
References
76
Citations by year
2026: 13 · 2025: 27 · 2024: 33 · 2023: 26 · 2022: 27 · 2021: 26 · 2020: 24 · 2019: 18 · 2018: 23 · 2017: 27 · 2016: 20 · 2015: 19 · 2014: 14 · 2013: 14 · 2012: 2
FWCI
38.95
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
Locations
  • Population Studies (publishedVersion)
  • PubMed Central (publishedVersion)
  • PubMed (publishedVersion)
  • RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (submittedVersion)
  • ePrints Soton (University of Southampton) (submittedVersion)
Funders
Economic and Social Research Council (ES/G027153/1)
Topics
  • Social Sciences › Demography › Family Dynamics and Relationships
  • Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Intergenerational and Educational Inequality Studies
  • Health Sciences › Medicine › Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health › Reproductive Health and Contraception
Keywords
fertility postponement, educational enrolment, age at first birth, educational attainment, educational participation, Great Britain, France
MeSH terms
Adolescent, Adult, Age Factors, Community Participation, Cross-Sectional Studies, Data Collection, Educational Status, Female, France, United Kingdom, Humans, Male, Middle Aged, Schools, Students, Time Factors, Reproductive Behavior, Young Adult

About these checks

Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.

Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.

Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.

What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›

Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review