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The causal relationship between GDP and domestic air passenger traffic in Brazil
Abstract
This paper examines the causal relationship between economic growth and domestic air passenger transport in Brazil, using Granger's causality test. Total domestic passenger-kilometres are used as a proxy for air transport demand and gross domestic product as a proxy for economic growth. The test spans the period from 1966 to 2006. The results lead to the acceptance of the hypothesis that there is a unidirectional Granger causal relationship from economic growth to domestic air transport demand in Brazil, having a high elasticity in the short term.
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“Previous studies have primarily applied linear models or examined the relationship between air transport and economic growth within a single country (Fernandes and Pacheco, 2010; Hu et al., 2015; Hakim and Merkert, 2016).”
From Passenger and Freight Demand under Macroeconomic Volatility: Evidence from South Korea and The United States (2026) · cites this paper as Fernandes and Pacheco, 2010
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Cited by
Sorted by citations
Jung, N. (2026) · Transport and Telecommunication Journal · doi:10.2478/ttj-2026-0011 · Cited by 1
“While prior research explores macroeconomic factors’ effects on airline demand, several studies assume a linear relationship (Fernandes and Pacheco, 2010; Hu et al ., 2015; Hakim and Merkert, 2016).”
Metadata
- Authors
- Fernandes, E., & Pacheco, R. R.
- Affiliations
- Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro (BR)
- Corresponding author
- Pacheco, Ricardo Rodrigues
- Venue
- Transportation Planning and Technology
- Publisher
- Informa UK Limited
- Published
- 2010-10
- Volume
- 33
- Issue
- 7
- Pages
- 569-581
- ISSN
- 0308-1060 (ISSN-L)
- 1029-0354
- OpenAlex
- W2079222894
- Cited by
- 131
- References
- 0
- Citations by year
- 2026: 4 · 2025: 13 · 2024: 15 · 2023: 11 · 2022: 12 · 2021: 11 · 2020: 16 · 2019: 9 · 2018: 15 · 2017: 4 · 2016: 6 · 2015: 5 · 2014: 3 · 2013: 4 · 2012: 1
- FWCI
- 5.00
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- Transportation Planning and Technology (publishedVersion)
- RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (submittedVersion)
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Economics, Econometrics and Finance › General Economics, Econometrics and Finance › Aviation Industry Analysis and Trends
- Social Sciences › Economics, Econometrics and Finance › Economics and Econometrics › Energy, Environment, Economic Growth
- Social Sciences › Economics, Econometrics and Finance › Economics and Econometrics › Fiscal Policy and Economic Growth
- Keywords
- air passenger traffic, economic growth, gross domestic product, Granger causality, passenger kilometers, Brazil
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- CoChat. (2026). Citation check: The causal relationship between GDP and domestic air passenger traffic in Brazil. https://app.cochat.ai/papers/10.1080/03081060.2010.512217
- The paper
- Fernandes, E., & Pacheco, R. R. (2010). The causal relationship between GDP and domestic air passenger traffic in Brazil. Transportation Planning and Technology. https://doi.org/10.1080/03081060.2010.512217