What are the Preconditions for Turnarounds in Failing States?
Abstract
This paper analyzes the preconditions for sustained policy turnarounds in failing states. Our dependent variable is the probability of the commencement of a turnaround that eventually becomes both sustained and substantial. We focus upon the explanatory variables of resource rents, education, and aid, distinguishing between finance and technical assistance. Overall, we find that these variables have significant and large effects on the duration of state failure. Appropriate donor intervention can radically shorten state failure, whereas additional finance, whether from aid or resource rents, has the opposite effect.
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Resource rents significantly reduce the speed of exit from dysfunctional policies, as measured by a low score on the World Bank's CPIA indicator.
“Chauvet and Collier (2008) find that resource rents significantly reduce the speed of exit from dysfunctional policies, as measured by a low score on the World Bank's Country Policy and Institutional Assessment (CPIA) indicator.”
From Using Natural Resources for Development: Why Has It Proven So Difficult? (2016) · cites this paper as Chauvet and Collier (2008)
Cites
Economic Shocks and Civil Conflict: An Instrumental Variables Approach
Miguel, E., Satyanath, S., & Sergenti, E. (2004) · Journal of Political Economy · doi:10.1086/421174 · Cited by 2,460 · see citing works
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Using Natural Resources for Development: Why Has It Proven So Difficult?
Venables, A. J. (2016) · Journal of Economic Perspectives · doi:10.1257/jep.30.1.161 · Cited by 634 · see citing works
Growth, history, or institutions
Bertocchi, G., & Guerzoni, A. (2012) · Journal of Peace Research · doi:10.1177/0022343312452420 · Cited by 85 · see citing works
- Authors
- Chauvet, L., & Collier, P.
- Affiliations
- Institut de Recherche pour le Développement (FR)
- University of Oxford (GB)
- Corresponding author
- Collier, Paul
- ORCID
- Chauvet, Lisa
- Venue
- Conflict Management and Peace Science
- Publisher
- SAGE Publications
- Published
- 2008-09
- Volume
- 25
- Issue
- 4
- Pages
- 332-348
- ISSN
- 0738-8942 (ISSN-L)
- 1549-9219
- OpenAlex
- W2097996631
- Cited by
- 83
- References
- 1
- Citations by year
- 2026: 3 · 2024: 1 · 2023: 6 · 2022: 2 · 2021: 4 · 2020: 2 · 2019: 3 · 2018: 4 · 2017: 2 · 2016: 6 · 2015: 4 · 2014: 8 · 2013: 2 · 2012: 8
- FWCI
- 28.94
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- Conflict Management and Peace Science (publishedVersion)
- RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (submittedVersion)
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Political Conflict and Governance
- Social Sciences › Economics, Econometrics and Finance › General Economics, Econometrics and Finance › Natural Resources and Economic Development
- Social Sciences › Development › International Development and Aid
- Keywords
- state failure, resource rent, foreign aid, technical assistance, donor interventions
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