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UNCERTAINTY ANALYSIS FOR MULTI-REGION INPUT–OUTPUT MODELS – A CASE STUDY OF THE UK'S CARBON FOOTPRINT
Abstract
This paper reviews and demonstrates methods available for estimating standard deviations for carbon multipliers in a multi-regional input–output (MRIO) framework. We attempt to capture all possible variations of underlying data and calculation procedures in a global MRIO model constructed with particular focus on the UK. We consider these variations to be random, and determine the stochastic variation of the whole MRIO system using Monte Carlo techniques. 5000 simulation runs were carried out to determine the standard deviations of multipliers. From these, the standard deviations of components of the UK's carbon footprint were estimated using error propagation. We estimate an 89% probability that the UK's carbon footprint has increased between 1994 and 2004.
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Citations
Cited by
Environmental and social footprints of international trade
Wiedmann, T., & Lenzen, M. (2018) · Nature Geoscience · doi:10.1038/s41561-018-0113-9 · Cited by 986
Self-citationMarques, A., Martins, I. S., Kastner, T., Plutzar, C., Theurl, M. C., Eisenmenger, N., Huijbregts, M. A. J., Wood, R., Stadler, K., Bruckner, M., et al. (2019) · Nature Ecology & Evolution · doi:10.1038/s41559-019-0824-3 · Cited by 517
Self-citationWiedmann, T., Wilting, H. C., Lenzen, M., Lutter, S., & Palm, V. (2011) · Ecological Economics · doi:10.1016/j.ecolecon.2011.06.014 · Cited by 405
Self-citationGlobal socio-economic losses and environmental gains from the Coronavirus pandemic
Lenzen, M., Li, M., Malik, A., Pomponi, F., Sun, Y.-Y., Wiedmann, T., Faturay, F., Fry, J., Gallego, B., Geschke, A., et al. (2020) · PLOS ONE · doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0235654 · Cited by 363
Self-citationGlobal land-water nexus: Agricultural land and freshwater use embodied in worldwide supply chains
Chen, B., Han, M. Y., Peng, K., Zhou, S. L., Shao, L., Wu, X. F., Wei, W. D., Liu, S. Y., Li, Z., Li, J. S., et al. (2018) · Science of The Total Environment · doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2017.09.138 · Cited by 357
Metadata
- Authors
- Lenzen, M., Wood, R., & Wiedmann, T.
- Venue
- Economic Systems Research
- Publisher
- Informa UK Limited
- Published
- 2010-03
- Volume
- 22
- Issue
- 1
- Pages
- 43-63
- ISSN
- 0953-5314 (ISSN-L)
- 1469-5758
- OpenAlex
- W1995279433
- Cited by
- 304
- References
- 0
- FWCI
- 17.05
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
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- CoChat. (2026). Citation check: UNCERTAINTY ANALYSIS FOR MULTI-REGION INPUT–OUTPUT MODELS – A CASE STUDY OF THE UK'S CARBON FOOTPRINT. https://app.cochat.ai/papers/10.1080/09535311003661226
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- Lenzen, M., Wood, R., & Wiedmann, T. (2010). UNCERTAINTY ANALYSIS FOR MULTI-REGION INPUT–OUTPUT MODELS – A CASE STUDY OF THE UK'S CARBON FOOTPRINT. Economic Systems Research. https://doi.org/10.1080/09535311003661226
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