Use of an artificial neural network (ANN) for classifying nursing care needed, using incomplete input data

Abstract

Background In German nursing insurance, the act of classifying the client into four categories of disability is based on legally defined distinct criteria. When classifying deceased persons it is often impossible to collect all the required information. Primary objective We aimed to determine the ability of an artificial neural network (ANN) to calculate the category of disability, to investigate the response of the ANN to input items of different nature, quantity and data quality, and to estimate the minimum number of training data required. Research design The investigation was conducted as a retrospective observational study. Methods and procedures The analysis was based on routine records of 14000 adult clients of the nursing insurance. Several ANNs were trained, varying nature, number and quality of the input items as well as the size of the training data set. Each ANN's classification competence was tested on independent validation data, judging the ANN's conformance to the result of the individual expert assessment, using kappa statistics. Main results Fed with all 30 input items available, the net classified 80% of cases correctly (weighted kappa = 0.78). Using three input items, weighted kappa was 0.63. Severe misclassification (deviation by more than one category in either direction) ranged between 0.2% (all 30 input items) and 3.7% (3/30 items). The less complete the individual input items were, the less accurate was the net's estimate. A 20% rate of missing values…